MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Saturday, August 1, 2026

We made a small profit on Thursday, as Jake Bauers homered, helping make up for losses on Dominic Canzone and Francisco Alvarez.

Today, we’re going with Spencer Torkelson, Jac Caglianone, and Matt Olson. I like the spots for each of these hitters.

Remember to be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.

Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.

2026 MLB HR Props Record: 71-273 (+0.79 units) 

Top Options For MLB Trading

1

4.5/5 Rating

$100 In Predicts Bonus

$100 In Predicts Bonus

FanDuel Predicts Review

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

FanDuel Predicts Review

4.5/5 Rating

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

Trade Now No Code Needed

2

4.7/5 Rating

Trade $25, Get $25 Exclusive Bonus at Kalshi

Trade $25, Get $25 Exclusive Bonus at Kalshi

Kalshi Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at Kalshi. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See Kalshi for more information.

• Trade on Sports, Politics, and MORE

• Largest Prediction Market in the US

• Hundreds of Markets to Choose From

Kalshi Review

4.7/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at Kalshi. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See Kalshi for more information.

• Trade on Sports, Politics, and MORE

• Largest Prediction Market in the US

• Hundreds of Markets to Choose From

Trade Now

Copy promo code VAULTLU

3

4.3/5 Rating

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

OG Review

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

OG Review

4.3/5 Rating

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

4.4/5 Rating

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

Polymarket Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Polymarket Review

4.4/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

5

4.1/5 Rating

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

ProphetX Review

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

ProphetX Review

4.1/5 Rating

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

6

4.2/5 Rating

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

DraftKings Predictions Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

DraftKings Predictions Review

4.2/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

Trade Now No Code Needed

7

4.5/5 Rating

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Crypto.com Review

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Crypto.com Review

4.5/5 Rating

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Trade Now No Code Needed

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Saturday, August 1

Spencer Torkelson Home Run Odds

Spencer Torkelson has underwhelming season-long numbers, including a .216/.308/.426 with 20 home runs in 427 plate appearances. However, Torkelson has been hitting much better lately.

In the last 14 days, Torkelson is slashing .289/.346/.556 with four home runs in 52 plate appearances. During this stretch, he’s striking out only 19.2% of the time while putting up a 10.8% barrel rate. We saw him homer on July 29th against the Orioles, and I like the spot for him tonight.

For one, this game is at Sutter Health Park, which is one of the most homer-friendly environments in MLB. It’s a projected high-scoring game, which is reflected in tonight’s total of 10.5 runs.

On top of that, Jack Perkins is on the mound for the A’s. The 26-year-old righty has had some issues with the long ball, as highlighted by a 1.45 HR/9. He’s also been worse vs. righties like Torkelson (.346 wOBA) compared to lefties (.316 wOBA).

Even though we need to pay up for this prop at nearly +300 odds, it still feels worth it with how Torkelson is swinging the bat lately. Risk 0.1 units.

Jac Caglianone Home Run Odds

Jac Caglianone is slashing a respectable .251/.310/.450 with 17 home runs in 394 plate appearances in his first full season in the big leagues. This includes an excellent 14.6% barrel rate.

Caglianone has gotten better as the season has gone along. Since June 1st, he’s slashing .266/.317/.516 with 12 home runs in 199 plate appearances. We saw him homer on July 30th, so perhaps he’s getting hot once again, since we often see home runs come in bunches.

I like that we’re getting him at longer than +300 odds at Coors Field, which we all know is one of the best hitters’ parks in baseball. The Rockies are going with right-hander Ryan Feltner, who has a 5.85 xERA and a 1.91 HR/9 this season. This is exactly the type of pitcher you want when targeting a home run prop.

With that in mind, this feels like the right matchup to ride with Caglianone. Risk 0.1 units.

Matt Olson Home Run Odds

Matt Olson is having a nice resurgence after a down year last season, slashing .263/.340/.529 with 29 home runs in 483 plate appearances. This includes an impressive 14.1% barrel rate.

Olson has homered three times in his last eight games, which bodes well against tonight’s favorable matchup vs. Miles Mikolas, who has a 5.20 xERA and a 2.03 HR/9 this season.

It’s also encouraging to see that Olson has had success against Mikolas throughout his career, putting up two home runs and a .913 expected slugging percentage in 17 plate appearances.

Despite that, I was surprised to see that we’re getting longer than +300 odds on one of the best power hitters in MLB in this favorable spot. Perhaps it’s because Mikolas doesn’t go deep into games, but Olson should still get two plate appearances against him.

In a projected high-scoring game with a 9.5-run total, we’ll ride with Olson to hit his 30th homer of the season. Risk 0.1 units.

Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.

Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions

1

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

Play Now

Copy promo code BETLINEUPS

2

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

Play Now No Code Needed

3

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

Play Now No Code Needed

5

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPSBET

Photo Credit: IMAGN IMAGES