MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Wednesday, August 5, 2026

We got shut out on Tuesday, as Royce Lewis, Griffin Conine, and Isaac Paredes each failed to hit home runs. Let’s try to get back on track with the Wednesday slate.

Today, we’re going with Salvador Perez, Luis Garcia Jr., and Dylan Crews. I like the spot for each of these hitters.

Remember to be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.

Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.

2026 MLB HR Props Record: 74-281 (+1.06 units)

Top Options For MLB Trading

1

4.5/5 Rating

$100 In Predicts Bonus

$100 In Predicts Bonus

FanDuel Predicts Review

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

FanDuel Predicts Review

4.5/5 Rating

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

Trade Now No Code Needed

2

4.3/5 Rating

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

OG Review

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

OG Review

4.3/5 Rating

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

3

4.4/5 Rating

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

Polymarket Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Polymarket Review

4.4/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

4.1/5 Rating

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

ProphetX Review

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

ProphetX Review

4.1/5 Rating

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

5

4.2/5 Rating

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

DraftKings Predictions Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

DraftKings Predictions Review

4.2/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

Trade Now No Code Needed

6

4.5/5 Rating

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Crypto.com Review

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Crypto.com Review

4.5/5 Rating

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Trade Now No Code Needed

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Wednesday, August 5

Salvador Perez Home Run Odds

Salvador Perez has had a great career as one of the best-hitting catchers in MLB, but the 36-year-old has shown severe signs of decline this season, slashing .216/.262/.379 with 16 home runs in 446 plate appearances. His barrel rate has fallen from 14.7% to 10.2%, but at least he’s still on pace for nearly 25 homers.

I like the spot on Perez here because he’s showing encouraging signs at the plate. Perez has hit safely in six of his last seven games, with three multi-hit games during this stretch. We saw him homer as recently as August 1st. Perez has been much better at home this season as well, putting up a .185 ISO (.143 ISO on the road).

The Twins are sending out Dean Kremer, who is making his debut with the team after being acquired at the trade deadline. The 30-year-old right-hander has had major issues with the long ball this season, as highlighted by a 3.00 HR/9. We’ve seen Kremer allow 2+ home runs in three of his seven outings.

We’re getting longer than +450 odds on Perez at the time of this article, so it’s a good spot to take him to hit No. 17 on the season.

Luis Garcia Jr. Home Run Odds

Luis Garcia Jr. had been having a career year for the Nationals, slashing .285/.314/.564 with 24 home runs in 382 plate appearances. His barrel rate is at a career-high 12.5%, which is a sizeable increase from last year’s 9.0% rate. Then, the Nationals traded him to the Yankees at the deadline.

As a left-handed hitter, playing with the short porch in right field for Garcia. We’ve already seen him hit one home run for his new team, going yard in his debut on Monday, August 3rd. I’ll ride with him again in a home start vs. Cardinals’ right-hander Andre Pallante, who has a tougher time vs. lefties (.321 wOBA) than righties (.270 wOBA).

I like that we’re getting longer than +400 odds on Garcia here, making him one of the better values among Yankee hitters for this matchup. We’ll take a shot on him to hit No. 25 in this spot. Risk 0.1 units.

Dylan Crews Home Run Odds

Dylan Crews is currently slashing .222/.301/.378 with nine home runs in 256 plate appearances. While this is an underwhelming slash line, at least he has a 10.4% barrel rate. While Crews has gotten off to a slow start in August, he had his best month in July, putting up an .801 OPS.

With Luis Garcia Jr. dealt to the Yankees and James Wood on the injured list, Crews has been moved to the leadoff spot. This makes him a more appealing target because he’ll have a chance at more plate appearances.

I like the spot against Andrew Painter, as he’s struggled this year, putting up a 5.23 xERA and a 1.90 HR/9 on the season.

We’re getting longer than +500 odds on Crews, so I like this price in this spot. It’s a projected high-scoring game with a 9.5-run total, making it worth a look. Risk 0.1 units.

Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.

Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions

1

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

Play Now

Copy promo code BETLINEUPS

2

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

Play Now No Code Needed

3

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

Play Now No Code Needed

5

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPSBET

Photo Credit: IMAGN IMAGES