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Top Goal Picks: John Carlson & Joel Eriksson Ek
Anytime Goal Prop Predictions & Odds: NHL Best Bets for Tuesday, November 3rd
With 11 games dropping puck on Tuesday night, there are an abundance of Anytime Goal Scorer props to wager on. We turn our attention towards John Carlson and Joel Eriksson Ek with both aggressive skaters locked into a battle with a pair of back lines that struggle to defend the net. Before Tuesday night’s slate gets underway, check out our NHL betting trends page for the latest daily game odds, insight, and data.
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Up to $1,000 Back in Bonus Bets Over First 10 Days*
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John Carlson (Lightning vs. Red Wings) Goal Odds
Even when playing from the blue line, John Carlson has been able to convert his shot attempts from a distance into Shots on Goal at a high rate, generating nearly three Goals Against per game.
In a divisional matchup against the Detroit Red Wings, Carlson will be able to pressure the net at a higher rate by picking apart a back line that gives up high quality Expected Goals at an alarming rate per their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots. Like Skinner, John Gibson has also been unable to find his footing after playing at a high level earlier in the year, giving up 3.37 Goals Against per game.
When in 5-on-4 Situations, Carlson’s usage rate has remained unscathed while playing in the second line, leading the group in Shots on Goal with an average of 0.38 per penalty. With the Red Wings struggling to shift their coverage across the ice, Carlson will be able to inch closer to the net without fear of getting countered, applying more pressure on Gibson while the Red Wings goalie scrambles between the pipes.
Joel Eriksson Ek (Wild vs. Flyers) Goal Odds
Since the start of the regular season, Joel Eriksson Ek has been able to match Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy’s output in the top line, averaging 0.60 Expected Goals while rifling off 3.31 Shots on Goal per game.
Heading into Tuesday night’s matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers, Eriksson Ek will be able to build on his momentum by attacking a back line that ranks 29th overall in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Philadelphia’s regression on defense has also made it near impossible for Dan Vlader to stand his ground in the Flyers net, averaging a Save Percentage of .885 in eight starts.
Eriksson Ek has also been able to thrive in the Power Play, outpacing the Wild star duo in Expected Goals with an average of 0.16 per penalty. With Kaprizov and Boldy stretching out the Flyers coverage, Eriksson Ek will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts in front of the net, leading to his sixth Goal of the season.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
