WNBA Best Player Prop Picks, Odds, Predictions for Thursday, August 6, 2026
We’re set for a three-game slate Thursday highlighted by an Aces-Fever showdown that opens the night and also featuring the dominant Minnesota Lynx in action. With plenty of star power hitting the floor, we focus on a trio of player props to ponder.
Be sure to also check out our daily WNBA betting trends page for odds, data and insights of every game.
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Thursday’s Best WNBA Player Props
- Kelsey Mitchell (IND) – Over Points
- Olivia Miles (MIN) – Over Points + Assists
- Maria Conde (TOR) – Over Points + Rebounds
2026 WNBA Betting Record: 50-28 (+16.50 units)
Kelsey Mitchell (IND) – Over Points
Mitchell is on an offensive tear for the ages at the moment, as she comes into Thursday averaging 28.1 points on 53.4% shooting, including 52.5% from three-point range, over her last 13 games. Mitchell has gone for at least 30 points on four occasions in that span, and she’s scored at least 24 points in all but two games in the sample. She’s also managing a streak of 14 straight 20-point games, the second-longest such stretch in WNBA history.
Mitchell is averaging 24.5 points per home game this season while shooting a blistering 54.2%, including an elite 47.5% from three-point range. She’s dropped 27 points in each of her prior two games against Las Vegas, which both came on the road. The Aces are allowing the seventh-most made three-pointers per game as well (8.8), furthering Mitchell’s case in a game that could very likely be a buzzer-to-buzzer battle.
Original Line Publish: 23.5
Olivia Miles (MIN) – Over Points + Assists
Miles’ stellar rookie season currently sees her averaging 25.5 points + assists per contest over 29 games while shooting 50.2%, including 38.0% from three-point range. The star guard has unsurprisingly gotten better as her first year in the professional ranks has unfolded, as she comes into Thursday averaging 28.4 points + assists with the help of 50.0% three-point shooting over the nine games she’s suited up for since a two-game absence in early July.
Thursday, Miles faces a Sparks team that’s struggled defensively all season. Los Angeles has allowed 47.9% shooting on the road, including 36.3% from downtown. The Sparks have been especially generous in their last three games — a sample that includes two road contests — surrendering a 52.1% success rate, including a WNBA-high 46.1% from three-point range. LA is also conceding the second-most assists per game (22.8), helping cement Miles’ outlook.
Original Line Publish: 25.5
Maria Conde (TOR) – Over Points + Rebounds
Conde has had an up-and-down rookie season as a scorer, as her shooting has been anything but steady. However, as she demonstrated in blowing past her points prop Tuesday against the Valkyries — when we’d backed the Under, no less — Conde can get cooking from three-point range and pile up the scoring quickly. Conde went 5-for-10 from behind the arc versus Golden State on her way to 17 points, her 13th game with 12 points or more this season.
Conde gets a premium matchup Thursday against the Fire, which are allowing the third-most points per game (92.1), as well as the third-highest shooting percentage (47.3). Portland is also giving up the third-highest success rate from three-point range (36.1%) and the sixth-most made threes (9.3) per home contest, as well as 26.1 points per game to guards overall. On the rebounding front, the Fire is conceding the fourth-most rebounds per game (43.0) and fourth-highest defensive rebounding rate at home (77.6%), and Conde comes in having gone 9-4 to the 14.5 figure since June 25.
Original Line Publish: 14.5
Photo Credit: REUTERS
