2026 3M Open Preview: Everything To Know About TPC Twin Cities

The 3M Open returns to Minnesota with another 2026 PGA TOUR contest slated for TPC Twin Cities. Find longer golf odds at the best betting sites to increase your potential 3M Open payouts. Scottie Scheffler, Kurt Kitayama, and Maverick McNealy are the favorites for this year’s 3M Open.

We turn the page from the Open to another Open, as the PGA Tour schedule resumes in the Twin Cities. 2026 3M Open odds require handicapping for a familiar course. TPC Twin Cities again plays host to this relatively new event (since 2019).

It will be far less “open” on the course itself than bettors have grown used to of late. The links swing overseas offered back-to-back events exposed to the elements in sloping, firm, and fast fairway conditions. Now, we’ll see a return to the familiar confines of parkland golf. That means more grown-out rough, fairways lined with trees, and ample water hazards. It also means a reward for control off the tee again and creates an appealing buy-low opportunity for any players that showed us links golf may not be their cup of tea.

Let’s run through the key facts and info about TPC Twin Cities. We’ll see if we can cook up a winning outright ticket from 2026 3M Open odds.

3M Open Odds: The Favorites

To compare odds across golf betting sites, scroll to the bottom of this post.

The Field At A Glance

One can hardly expect the masses from the Open Championship to make the journey to Minnesota for this fledgling event. The 3M Open lacks the same prestige, historical significance, purse, or FedEx Cup points. And yet, sticking out like a sore thumb in Blaine, Minnesota, is World No. 1 himself, Scottie Scheffler. Scheffler committed to this event several months ago and will make his 3M Open debut this week as the prohibitive betting favorite. He appears to be desperately in search of another win on the PGA Tour this season, and will have a prime opportunity in front of him, with no other OWGR top-30 players in the field.

With just two events remaining on the PGA Tour schedule before the playoffs begin, most top players who made the trip to Minnesota did so out of desperation. They’re jockeying for position to secure a place in the top 70 of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

With the playoffs tightening from the traditional 125 to 70, the depth of the 3M Open field has made a notable improvement over the last few years. With the playoff bubble in mind, 27 players in this field fall between No. 55 and No. 85 in the current FedEx Cup Standings.

After Scheffler, the next tier of favorites in this week’s field includes defending champion Kurt Kitayama, Maverick McNealy, Hideki Matsuyama, and Tom Kim. Big names in lesser form such as Tony Finau, Max Homa, Sungjae Im, and Brian Harman, have come to Blaine, Minnesota out of desperation. They are each on the outside of the top-70 in the FedEx Cup standings, and will need to pick up points quickly this week and the following in order to secure a tee time at the FedEx St Jude Championship. 

Tony Finau parlayed a hot final round at the British Open in 2022 into a 3M Open victory. Conversely, Lee Hodges flew back to Minnesota after an early exit from Hoylake prior to his 2023 3M Open victory. Last year’s champion, Kurt Kitayama, did not qualify for The Open, but came to TPC Twin Cities in good form after a solid T14 showing at the Barracuda Championship, played opposite of The Open in the week prior. With that said, whether a player is coming back from Europe or staying local in the weeks prior, there has been no correlation either way with their performance at this event. 

Kurt Kitayama, Lee Hodges, Cameron Champ, and Tony Finau represent the list of former champions who are back to tee it up at TPC Twin Cities.

Introduction To TPC Twin Cities

TPC Twin Cities is your quintessential TPC layout. It features a steady mix of birdie opportunities on short par 4s, reachable par 5s, and stadium-style par 3s to keep the crowds engaged. Water hazards are threatening throughout, so Bogey Avoidance and control OTT will be at a premium here. As a 7,431-yard par-71, length is an advantage, and its oversized greens render SG: ARG almost completely inconsequential.

The 3M Open was added to the Tour rotation in 2019. TPC Twin Cities went through a renovation project following the 2018 3M Championship to adapt the course and present more of a challenge to modern Tour players. That project primarily consisted of pushing tees back. It added nearly 300 yards in length and expanded water hazards to pose more of a persistent threat.

As a result, we’ve seen this new layout reward the best total drivers who control their misses, avoid hazards, and position themselves to attack pins on large, receptive greens. Moderate winning scores of -17 and -15 in the last three years make TPC Twin Cities more than a pure birdie-fest.

Tournament founder Hollis Cavner gave a description of how he wants the 3M Open to play. “We want birdies and train wrecks, and we don’t want to be the hardest golf course on the tour,” he said. Birdies and train wrecks are the easiest way to capture the interest of fans at large. This event, despite lacking star power in its field, has done an excellent job of producing dramatic conclusions. 

How It Breaks Down

TPC Twin Cities is a par-71 standing at 7,431 yards, which is slightly above-average in terms of length on the PGA TOUR. The layout includes three par-5s, each sitting between 550-600 yards, four par-3s (each over 175 yards), and 11 par-4s, with a very balanced distribution of hole ranges. There are two par-4s listed as under 400 yards on the official scorecard, however, we’ve commonly seen the tee boxes on the 411-yard par-4 16th pushed up to become a driveable par-4 as well. In total, 13 holes have a scoring average under par; the five holes on the property which do not are the four 450+ yard par-4s and the longest par-3on the course, the 228-yard 13th.

While it may lack the historical significance of other finishing holes on Tour, the par-5 18th is one of my favorites on TOUR. The hole doglegs with water on the right throughout, which is in play on both the tee shot and approach if players want to get aggressive with a 220+ yard approach over water to reach in two. Matthew Wolff won in climactic fashion at the inaugural 2019 3M Open, responding to Bryson DeChambeau’s eagle on 18 with an eagle of his own from just off the fringe. In 2021, Cameron Champ bailed out into the left trees, but scrambled his way to a 5 to claim victory.

Traits And Recent Notable Facts

There are a number of unique characteristics of TPC Twin Cities that make it stand out on the PGA TOUR schedule. The greens are above-average in size, measuring 6,500 square feet on average, which has produced a gaudy 73% of greens in regulation from the field. That’s helped in part due to the 3-inch rough, which has not posed much of an impediment to players who narrowly miss the fairway. Players are also producing above-average driving distance and fairways in regulation at TPC Twin Cities, meaning this is a layout where the best total drivers can thrive, as long as they can mitigate any wayward shots towards the hazards.

Just under 50% of approach shots will come from over 175 yards, a distinct change of pace from the driver-wedge set ups we’ve seen the last two weeks at the Scottish and British Opens. That creates an interesting buy-low opportunity for the top long iron players in this field. 

Cameron Champ’s field day on the greens last year would suggest that these must be easy greens to read, and the data supports that notion as well. In each of its first three years on the PGA TOUR, TPC Twin Cities has ranked in the bottom-3 of putting difficulty. Without much nuance or undulation to these greens, it opens the door for ball strikers who are deficient in putting to still contend. Not all poor putters are immune, however, as Sergio Garcia still managed to erase his 13.2 strokes gained T2G with 7.3 strokes lost on the greens.

TPC Twin Cities Course Specs 

• Yards: 7,431
• Par: 71 (4x 3s / 11x 4s / 3x 5s)
• Greens: Bent (Fast)
• Average Green Size: 6,500 sq. ft. (Above-average)
• Average Fairway Width: 35 Yards (Average)
• Rough: 4″ Bluegrass/Fescue (Thick)
• Architect: Arnold Palmer (2018 Renovation from Steve Wenzloff)
• Comp Courses: TPC Louisiana, PGA National, Detroit Golf Club, Silverado Resort, TPC Deere Run, TPC Summerlin, TPC San Antonio, TPC Toronto

Course History and Course Comps

Course history has not proven to be very predictive for the eventual winners of this event through its first 7 years on the PGA Tour schedule (with the exception of betting favorite Tony Finau in 2022). Matthew Wolff won here in his fourth career start on the PGA Tour. Michael Thompson finished last among those who made the cut at the 2019 3M Open before his victory in 2020. Cameron Champ missed the cut in his only prior appearance at this event. Lee Hodges, Jhonattan Vegas, and Kurt Kitayama did look serviceable in one prior appearance, finishing T16, T2, and T6, respectively in the last appearances before their win. The 3M Open has an ongoing trend of winners finishing outside the top 10 in SG: T2G. So, recent performance on the course can be overlooked if you’re able to make up for it on the greens.

Between the LIV defectors and the 3M Open’s new position on the PGA TOUR schedule immediately following the Open, plenty of players with sustained course history at this event will be absent. In fact, six of the top 20 players in terms of total strokes gained at the 3M Open – Charl Schwartzel, Matthew Wolff, Bryson DeChambeau, Louis Oosthuizen, Carlos Ortiz, and Pat Perez – now reside on the LIV Tour. 

Tony Finau

In 2022, Finau broke a streak of champions randomly popping at the 3M Open, despite their lack of prior results at the event. Understandably, Finau’s game translates to many golf courses, and it’s not dependent on an exact course fit. A 3M Open resume that includes finishes of T23, T3, T28, 1st, T7, and T12 is an encouraging baseline for Finau, and he’ll look to get back on track this week in the midst of a lackluster 2026 PGA Tour season.

A wise man once said to never fade Garnett in Minnesota. Brice “The Big Ticket” Garnett has been as consistent as they come at the 3M Open with finishes of T23, T26, T16, T31, T53, T33, and T57 over his first seven appearances at this event.

Just nine players made it through each cut at the 3M Open (min. three appearances): David Skinns, Mackenzie Hughes, Sam Stevens, Chad Ramey, Matti Schmid, Brice Garnett, Camilo Villegas, Nick Hardy, and Cameron Champ.

There are seven players who have recorded multiple top-15 finishes in this event: Keith Mitchell, Kurt Kitayama, Taylor Moore, Sam Stevens, Tony Finau, Emiliano Grillo, and Cameron Champ.

The top-10 players in Course History at TPC Twin Cities are Kurt Kitayama, Emiliano Grillo, Tony Finau, Sam Stevens, Taylor Moore, Lee Hodges, Cam Davis, Doug Ghim, Cameron Champ, and Adam Hadwin.

Course Comps

PGA National, host of the Cognizant Classic, stands out to me as the top comp course from both the eye test and overlapping leaderboards. Both PGA National and TPC Twin Cities place an emphasis on total driving with a true penalty for wayward drives thanks to persistent water hazards. Michael Thompson has two career PGA TOUR wins, coming at the 3M Open and Cognizant Classic. Sungjae Im is a past Cognizant Classic champion with a T2 at the 3M Open. Even 2022 Cognizant Classic champion Sepp Straka has had some success here, ranking No. 2 in SG: Ball Striking.

Though difficult to track through SG data, TPC Louisiana is also a strong comp, featuring many persistent water hazards and some strong leaderboard overlap. Six players finished top 20 in both events in 2021. Additionally, Brian Stuard was the last to win the Zurich Classic at TPC Louisiana as an individual stroke play event in 2016, and he posted a T6 finish in his 3M Open debut.

Aside from the overlapping leaderboard trend, it also makes sense that TPC Louisiana would reward a similar profile of player. Both layouts sit at 7,400 yards with water hazards throughout. That rewards an aggressive style of play to attack pins for birdies.

Detroit Golf Club, Silverado Resort, TPC Deere Run, TPC Summerlin, TPC Toronto, and TPC San Antonio all share similar scoring conditions, yielding winning scores in the high teens under par and a premium on SG: OTT. 

Combine performance across this list, and the top 10 players in Comp Course History here are Davis Thompson, Doug Ghim, Tony Finau, Denny McCarthy, Max Homa, Emiliano Grillo, Corey Conners, Lucas Glover, Brian Harman, and Matt Kuchar. 

Key Stats To Consider With 3M Open Odds

• SG: OTT
• SG: APP
• SG: Ball Striking
• Birdies or Better Gained (Easy Scoring Conditions) / Opportunities Gained
• Par-5 Scoring
• SG: OTT (Difficult-to-hit Fairways)
• SG: Putting (Bent)
• Course & Comp Course History

2021 3M Open champion (and triple-digit longshot) Cameron Champ was bottom 10 on the PGA TOUR in SG: P on the 2021 season entering the 3M Open. He proceeded to lead the field in SG: P, gaining 8.5 strokes for the week. In 2022, Tony Finau also entered in inconsistent form on the greens, ranking No. 92 in SG: P over his last 50 rounds leading in. Then again in 2024, Jhonattan Vegas ranked outside the top-100 in SG: Putting on the season and finished No. 9 in SG: Putting for the week. With oversized greens that lack nuance, TPC Twin Cities has opened the door for lesser putters to spike. It’s a week in which I put some of the lowest weight on short game stats. Instead, I lean all in on the top ball strikers.

From a ball-striking standpoint, I’m putting the most weight in my model on SG: OTT, isolating the players best equipped to handle the length of this course while also avoiding the constant water hazards. The top 10 in SG: OTT are Michael Brennan, Cameron Champ, Neal Shipley, Keith Mitchell, Doug Ghim, Scottie Scheffler, Gary Woodland, Jordan Smith, Jesper Svensson, and Johnny Keefer. The top-10 players in Total Driving, which combines the weighting of driving distance and driving accuracy, are: Cameron Champ, Neal Shipley, Preston Stout, Gary Woodland, Scottie Scheffler, Kurt Kitayama, Keith Mitchell, Johnny Keefer, Michael Brennan, and Doug Ghim.

Opportunities Gained

All of the contenders at the 3M Open have leaned on spike approach play. That’s nothing new for a PGA TOUR event, but with a very balanced distribution of hole ranges, I’m looking broadly at the top players in terms of SG: APP. The top 10 include Scottie Scheffler, Tom Kim, Zac Blair, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Ben Kohles, Tom Hoge, John Parry, Joel Dahmen, William Mouw, and Jackson Suber.

To take a step further beyond approach play, this shapes up to be the perfect setup to lean into the Birdies or Better Gained stat, as aggressive players who attack pins have proven to be rewarded over the years at TPC Twin Cities. That top 10 includes Preston Stout, Jake Knapp, Keith Mitchell, Tyler Duncan, Tom Hoge, Scottie Scheffler, Tony Finau, Mac Meissner, Kevin Yu, and Jackson Suber.

It may sound like a given every single week on the PGA Tour, but in an event designed to generate birdies and train wrecks, it’s going to be crucial to find the players who are in control of their games in terms of both Birdie or Better Gained and Bogey Avoidance.  There are just 10 players who rank top 30 in both categories: Scottie Scheffler, Maverick McNealy, Tom Kim, Jake Knapp, Stephen Jaeger, Mac Meissner, Steven Fisk, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Erik van Rooyen, and Adrien Dumont de Chassart.

The perfect player profile for this week should be above average in SG: OTT, SG: APP, Birdies or Better Gained, Bogey Avoidance, and Comp Course History. Ten players rank in the top 40 in each of those categories: Scottie Scheffler, Kurt Kitayama, Doug Ghim, Keith Mitchell, Jake Knapp, William Mouw, Ben Kohles, Gary Woodland, Michael Brennan, and Rico Hoey.

Correlations

Looking at the correlation charts this week, they are starting to tell a more consistent story after six years of data. Par-3 Scoring and P4: 450-500 see a great decline in importance compared to the Tour average. Some outlier performances from Cameron Champ and Michael Thompson have driven SG: OTT down the board in favor of SG: P. However, it’s still fair to say that trending OTT form entering this event is far more predictive than putting form.

It’s SG: APP and Par-4: 350-400 that make the biggest jump in importance at this event. That checks out, considering the number of drivable par-4s and the premium on generating birdie opportunities from these wider fairways.

Top-10 Correlated Stats with SG: TOT Top-10 Correlated Stats with SG: TOT at TPC Twin Cities

Only seven players in the field rank above average in each of the above 10 key stat categories: Scottie Scheffler, Keith Mitchell, William Mouw, Michael Brennan, Doug Ghim, Rico Hoey, and Ben Kohles.

Player Spotlight: Doug Ghim

The profile of players who have won the 3M Open each year since it joined the PGA Tour in 2019 is very specific: Elite ball-strikers with plus distance who have a proven track record in birdie-fests. Since short game has proven to be so inconsequential at this event over the years, it casts a pretty wide net of potential contenders in great ball-striking form, but it’s Doug Ghim who stands out to me as the most appealing value in this field.

Distance has not always been a part of Ghim’s game, but he’s made significant improvements in that department over the last year. He ranks top-30 in Driving Distance in this field over the last 36 rounds, and ranks 9th in Total Driving as a result, having maintained his usual accuracy amidst this recent hike in distance. 

Ghim has developed into a very well-rounded player this season, ranking 3rd overall in my model this week behind only Scheffler and Kitayama. He finished T6 at the John Deere Classic earlier this month, which marked his 4th top-20 finish over his last seven starts. He has plenty of familiarity around TPC Twin Cities, playing this event in each of the last six years with four top-30 finishes over that span. He continues to trend up, and will have a serious chance to contend on this ideal course fit for his game.

2026 3M Open Odds: DFS Player Pool

With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the player pool below. Naturally, I’m looking their way in the 2026 3M Open odds as well. I’ve broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.  

3M Open Odds: Model Results & Breakdown

2026 3M Open Model Breakdown

In my model, I’m emphasizing SG: OTT, SG: APP, Comp Course History, Opportunities Gained, and Birdies or Better Gained, followed by a more balanced mix of Par-5 Scoring, Good Drives Gained, and SG: P (Bent).

Model Favorites

Scottie Scheffler is in the 3M Open field for the first time in his career, and by his sheer presence alone, his claims the No. 1 spot in my model by a significant margin. Deservedly, Scheffler is a prohibitive favorite this week, and continues to circle closer and closer to picking up his first win since his first start of the season at The AmEx.

After Scheffler, the rest of my model’s top 10 is rounded out by: Kurt Kitayama, Doug Ghim, Keith Mitchell, Jake Knapp, William Mouw, Ben Kohles, Gary Woodland, and Jackson Koivun.

When 2026 3M Open odds are released on Monday, I’ll look to target Jackson Suber, Doug Ghim, and William Mouw, depending on where the odds ultimately fall.

Check back in later this week for more updates, and best of luck navigating the 2026 3M Open odds!

Compare 2026 3M Open Odds

Find full 3M Open odds below when sportsbooks release them on Monday.