Best Bet: O219.5 (-112) at bet365
Best Bet: GSW +12.5 (-109) at bet365
Score Prediction: Spurs 116, Warriors 104
The Pick: Spurs 116, Warriors 104
We’ll take the Over based on head-to-head data and Golden State stats on the road, while the Warriors covering is supported with similar data points.
Game Betting Analysis
With Curry probably out, this won’t look good for the Warriors who saw their eight-game winning streak end on the road against Houston. Now, they face a similar situation only against a much bigger foe in the San Antonio Spurs who are on a current 10-game winning streak. With Curry out, the spread has dipped to +12.5-points for Golden State who has covered the spread in seven of eight games against the Western Conference. Golden State has also covered the spread in four of six meetings with San Antonio, including the last three played inside Frost Bank Center. The Over has also hit in four of six meetings, while Golden State owns a 12-6 O/U mark when playing as the road underdog off a day of rest. The Warriors have also hit the Over in their last four road games – so there’s conviction in either market but the Spurs’ winning ways will have our faith camped in the total market first.
Warriors-Spurs Odds (Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under)
Deciding Factor: Spurs’ Elite Two-Way Efficiency vs. Warriors’ Historic Offensive Flooding
San Antonio’s 10-game winning streak isn’t just a hot stretch — it’s built on real two-way numbers. The Spurs’ 118.3 offensive rating is essentially identical to Golden State’s, but their 106.7 defensive rating is the best mark either team has posted this season, producing a league-leading +11.6 net rating. Victor Wembanyama is the engine, averaging 30.3 points, 11.7 rebounds and 4.4 blocks, and the two-way impact was on full display Nov. 4 against Dallas when he played through illness and an ankle tweak to post a career-high 52 points, 24 rebounds and 8 blocks in a 112-111 win. A team scoring at an elite rate while also holding opponents under 107 points per 100 possessions over a 10-game run is as complete a team as there is in the league right now.
Golden State’s answer has been to simply outscore everybody. After an 0-3 start, the Warriors ripped off 8 straight wins — the first team in NBA history to open 0-3 and then win eight in a row — posting their own 118.4 offensive rating behind efficient, high-volume three-point shooting (roughly 19-of-46 a night, near 41%), stingy first-quarter ball security, and a bench that’s carried real weight, outscoring New Orleans 60-41 in the Nov. 9 blowout alone. The swing variable is Stephen Curry: he played just 6 minutes in Tuesday’s 115-105 loss at Houston before exiting with abdominal soreness, and Steve Kerr called the concern level “high” afterward. If Curry’s good to go and Golden State’s offense is playing at the level that produced an 8-game streak, this sets up as one of the best games of the season; if he’s limited, the Warriors’ margin against the league’s stingiest defense over the last two weeks gets a lot thinner.
Game Information
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Kickoff: 9:30 p.m. (ET)
- Network: APVO
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Venue: Frost Bank Center – 224.8 ppg; 2-3 O/U
Key Players
Golden State Warriors
- Steph Curry (O) — Last Game: 3 points
- Yaxel Lendeborg — Last Game: 25 points, 10 rebounds
San Antonio Spurs
- Victor Wembanyama — Last Game: 32 points, 9 rebounds
- Dylan Harper — Last Game: 18 points, 6 rebounds, 10 assists
Photo Credit: REUTERS