UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal Betting Trends, Odds & Data

By Thom Cunningham | Apr 24, 2026, 10:31pm

UFC goes back to Las Vegas for UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal on Saturday, April 25. The event is set to take place at the Meta APEX with Aljamain Sterling facing Youssef Zalal in a featherweight bout for the main event. Let’s go through the entire fight card odds, betting data and trends for this weekend’s event.

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal Betting Trends

Talita Alencar vs. Julia Polastri Fight Trends

Talita Alencar has won 7 of 9 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 32.3% chance to beat Julia Polastri.

Talita Alencar has seen 5 of 6 fights go the distance and faces Julia Polastri, given a 73.3% chance to go the distance.

Talita Alencar has entered Round 3 in 6 straight fights and faces Julia Polastri, given a 76.7% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela Fight Trends

Victor Valenzuela has won 7 of 8 fights and is the favorite against Max Griffin, given a 58.3% chance to win.

Victor Valenzuela has seen a finished result in 7 straight fights but faces Max Griffin, given a 47.6% chance to see a finished result despite this.

Victor Valenzuela has failed to enter Round 3 in 6 straight fights but faces Max Griffin, given a 41.7% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds despite this.

Francis Marshall vs. Lucas Brennan Fight Trends

Lucas Brennan has won 11 of 13 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 20.8% chance to beat Francis Marshall.

Lucas Brennan has seen a finished result in 7 of 9 fights and faces Francis Marshall, given a 56.5% chance to see a finished result.

Lucas Brennan has seen 6 of 9 fights end in Round 1 and faces Francis Marshall, given a 52.4% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds.

Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden Fight Trends

Cody Durden has lost 4 straight fights and is the underdog against Jafel Filho, given a 16.9% chance to win.

Jafel Filho has seen a finished result in 13 of 14 fights and faces Cody Durden, given a 77.8% chance to see a finished result.

Jafel Filho has seen 3 of 4 fights end in Round 1 and faces Cody Durden, given a 55.6% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague Fight Trends

Michelle Montague has won 7 straight fights and is the favorite against Mayra Bueno Silva, given a 79.8% chance to wi.

Mayra Bueno Silva has seen 4 straight fights go the distance when facing a younger opponent. She faces Michelle Montague given a 63.6% chance to go the distance.

Michelle Montague has failed to enter Round 3 in 4 of 5 fights but faces Mayra Bueno Silva, given a 37.7% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds despite this.

Jackson McVey vs. Sedriques Dumas Fight Trends

Sedriques Dumas has failed to win 4 of 5 fights and is the underdog, given a 38.5% chance to beat Jackson McVey.

Sedriques Dumas has seen a finished result in 3 straight fights as an underdog. He is the underdog against Jackson McVey with an 86.7% chance to see a finished result.

Sedriques Dumas has seen 3 of 5 fights end in Round 1 and faces Jackson McVey, given a 58.3% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Eric Mcconico Fight Trends

Eric Mcconico has won 6 of 8 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 29.9% chance to beat Rodolfo Vieira.

Rodolfo Vieira has seen a finished result in 3 of 4 UFC prelim card fights and faces Eric Mcconico, given a 56.5% chance to see a finished result.

Rodolfo Vieira has entered Round 3 in 3 straight fights and faces Eric Mcconico, given a 55.6% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Marcus Buchecha vs. Ryan Spann Fight Trends

Ryan Spann has lost 3 straight UFC main card fights and is the underdog against Marcus Buchecha, given a 46.5% chance to win.

Ryan Spann has seen a finished result in 10 straight fights when fighting in the United States. He faces Marcus Buchecha given an 86.7% chance to see a finished result.

Ryan Spann has seen 8 of 11 fights end in Round 1 and faces Marcus Buchecha, given a 63.6% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

Montel Jackson vs. Raoni Barcelos Fight Trends

Montel Jackson has won 9 straight fights when fighting in the United States and faces Raoni Barcelos as the favorite, given a 64.9% chance to win.

Raoni Barcelos has seen 8 of 9 fights go the distance and faces Montel Jackson, given a 60% chance to go the distance.

Montel Jackson has entered Round 3 in 4 of 6 fights and faces Raoni Barcelos, given a 64.3% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti Fight Trends

Adrian Luna Martinetti has won 15 straight fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 46.5% chance to beat Davey Grant.

Adrian Luna Martinetti has seen a finished result in 4 of 5 fights but faces Davey Grant, given a 47.6% chance to see a finished result despite this.

Davey Grant has entered Round 3 in 7 of 8 fights and faces Adrian Luna Martinetti, given a 63.6% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds. ‘

Rafa Garcia vs. Alexander Hernandez Fight Trends

Alexander Hernandez has won 5 straight lightweight fights and is the favorite, given a 56.5% chance to beat Rafa Garcia.

Alexander Herndanez has seen 5 straight fights go the distance when fighting as the favorite. He faces Rafa Garcia as the favorite given a 66.7% chance to go the distance.

Rafa Garcia has entered Round 3 in 5 of 6 fights and faces Alexander Hernandez, given a 72.1% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Norma Dumont vs. Joselyne Edwards Fight Trends

Norma Dumont has won 6 straight fights and is the favorite, given a 68.3% chance to beat Joselyne Edwards.

Norma Dumont has seen 10 straight fights go the distance and faces Joselyne Edwards, given an 80% chance to go the distance.

Norma Dumont has entered Round 3 in 11 of 12 fights and faces Joselyne Edwards, given an 83.3% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal Fight Trends

Youssef Zalal has won 8 straight fights and is the favorite, given a 57.4% chance to beat Aljamain Sterling.

Youssef Zalal has seen a finished result in 7 of 8 fights but faces Aljamain Sterling, given a 45.5% chance to see a finished result despite this.

Aljamain Sterling has entered the final round in 5 of 7 fights. He faces Youssef Zalal with a 64.3% chance to go Over 4.5 rounds.

Photo Credit: AP/Gregory Payan

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.