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If you are in doubt about some players in a tough spot this week, or players that haven’t produced yet this season, you have come to the perfect spot. We dive into a few names to start in borderline matchups, and also talk about players to fade. You can also check out our rankings area to see where players on your team rank and their projections heading into Week 17. Be sure to check out the rest of our weekly fantasy football content.
Gus Edwards Vs. Pittsburgh
Gus Edwards is going to draw the start this week with Mark Ingram out, but also the Ravens are resting bigger names anyway. Gus Edwards and Justice Hill are both going to see plenty of work this week. Edwards will likely give passing game work to Hill, but Edwards should still see a bulk of the carries. He has rushed for 5.1 yards per carry this season, and is behind a solid offensive line. While Pittsburgh is a tough matchup, ranking third against the run, but Edwards is a flyer to go with in Week 17.
Sony Michel Vs. Miami
Sony Michel has had a poor season, averaging just 55.8 rushing yards per game, and three of his six rushing touchdowns came in one week. Michel has rushed 21, 19, 5, 10, and 20 times over the last five games. We saw the games that were favorable game scripts, and this week will be one. He finished with 21 rushing attempts in the prior meeting, and should see a ton of touches this week. While he is a touchdown dependent back, Miami has allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game to opposing backs.
Devin Singletary Vs. New York
The Jets have been a solid run defense this season, and it has been a while since Devin Singletary played them. He is now the lead back in Buffalo so the nine touch 98 yard game earlier this season isn’t going to be there this week. He has seen 16, 23, 23, 17, and 22 touches over the last five weeks. The volume is going to trump the matchup here, especially at home in what should be a favorable game script. Singletary has not found the end zone of late but the yardage continues to pile up.
Damien Williams Vs. Los Angeles
I was off the Chiefs backs last week, but we saw Damien Williams come back and he had 19 touches, going for 65 rushing yards, 27 receiving yards, and a receiving touchdown. He is home this week, and they get the Chargers, who rank 23rd in DVOA against the run this season. The Chargers have allowed the 14th most fantasy points per game to opposing backs so this is a decent spot for Williams to finish what was a disappointing season health wise.
DeAndre Washington @ Denver
While Jon Gruden keeps suggesting Josh Jacobs could return, I don’t understand it. So this is something we need to keep an eye on, but if Jacobs is ruled out, DeAndre Washington is going to see plenty of work again. In the two gams Jacobs has missed over the last three weeks, he has seen 25 and 20 touches. Washington, unlike Jacobs this season, has seen work in the passing game, and has 16 targets over the last four weeks, and ten in the games Jacobs has missed. Denver is a tough matchup, but the volume is key here.
Fantasy Football Strategy Podcast Week 17 (Free)
David Montgomery @ Minnesota
David Montgomery has failed to capitalize on plus matchups down the stretch, and while Aaron Jones ran right through this Vikings defense, this is still a defense I don’t start fringe backs again. They rank 4th against the run, and are in the top third in fantasy points allowed to running backs. Montgomery is giving snaps and touches away to Tarik Cohen lately, and his lack of touches the last two weeks are a concern. I will pass this week for someone who sees higher volume or in a better matchup.
Pittsburgh Running Backs @ Baltimore
James Conner left the game late, and even playing this season he has been unreliable in playing a whole game. If Conner comes back, I have no interest starting him due to the way the Steelers offense has operated this season, but his durability is a big concern. Jaylen Samuels and Benny Snell Jr would be the backups in this spot, and get some work if Conner is out. Samuels would see some passing game work, while Snell has more of the between the tackles guy. Although this has been an unattractive offense to buy into the backfield.
Adrian Peterson @ Dallas
Dallas is allowing 18 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season, and a lot of it is coming through the air. This game likely isn’t going to be a favorable game script, and his touchdown rate is keeping him afloat over the second half of the season. I will fade Peterson here for some of the backs in better spots.
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