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Top TD Picks: Dalton Kincaid & Blake Corum
We’re all set for a potential Super Bowl preview on Week 5 Monday Night Football between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams. The Bills are coming off a disappointing loss at home to their division rivals, the New England Patriots. Meanwhile, the Rams did a great job making a second-half comeback on the road vs. the Rams.
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This is an interesting game between two of the best teams in the NFL. It’s a great spot for touchdown props as well, as it’s a projected shootout, as highlighted by the 54.5-point total. With that in mind, we’ll dive into why we’re on a Bills’ tight end and Rams’ running back for this one. Be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game.
Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid got off to a terrific start this season, combining for 263 yards in his first three games. However, he’s slowed down considerably lately, putting up only 45 yards in his last two games. While the Rams are tough on opposing tight ends, allowing the fewest yards to the position, I still like the value on Kincaid to find the end zone in this projected shootout. You can get him at +180 odds at the time of this article.
Bills’ head coach Joe Brady spoke publicly about needing to get Kincaid more involved, stating that he didn’t play him enough in Week 4 against the Patriots. Perhaps that will lead to more usage for Kincaid in this Monday Night Football matchup.
With that in mind, we’ll ride with Kincaid to score his second touchdown of the year here.
Blake Corum
Blake Corum has taken a backseat to Kyren Williams in the last couple of weeks, combining for only 11 touches for 29 yards in the last two games. But this is a good matchup against the Bills, who are 22nd in Rush EPA this year.
With the Rams as three-point favorites at home here, this could be a favorable game script, which results in more rushing volume. The lack of touches in the last two games has given us a rock-solid discount on Corum, as we can get him at +270 odds.
Given the projected game environment with a 54.5-point total, it’s worth the shot of taking Corum here.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
