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A classic NFC East matchup serves as this week’s edition of Thursday Night Football.
The Washington Commanders and New York Giants are seemingly headed in opposite directions as their primetime clash approaches.
The Commanders are just 2-5-1 overall and have yet to win a road game in three tries, while the 5-2-1 Giants are surging despite dealing with several key injuries during the first half of the season.
These two teams played to a tie back in Week 5, and it remains to be seen if another wire-to-wire battle awaits.
With the stage set, let’s dive into three player props to consider for Thursday’s action. Be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game.
Commanders-Giants Best NFL Week 10 Player Props
- Jayden Daniels Over 199.5 Passing Yards
- Isaiah Likely Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
- Malik Nabers Over 66.5 Receiving Yards
Jayden Daniels Over Passing Yards
The aforementioned Week 5 tie between these two clubs saw Daniels seemingly lose track of the clock in the waning seconds of overtime and cost Washington a chance at a potential game-winning field goal. Since that contest, the talented signal-caller, who threw for exactly 199 yards in that contest, has averaged 263.7 passing yards per game while completing 66.3% of his throws against three quality defenses in those of the 49ers, Eagles and Rams.
The Giants have been one of the league’s stingiest pass defenses, surrendering an AFC-low 161.8 passing yards per home game. New York is also conceding an NFL-low 7.9 yards per completion at home, so the assignment is far from easy here. However, with lead back Jacory Croskey-Merritt still on injured reserve, Daniels is likely to continue throwing somewhere in the vicinity of the 34.7-pass-attempt clip he’s kept in the last three contests.
The 199.5 passing yards isn’t an inordinately high bar to clear, and the G-Men are ranked inside the top half of the league in opponent pass play rate (55.9%). Consequently, I’m in the camp of the Over, even if it’s not cleared by much.
Original Line Publish: 199.5
Isaiah Likely Over Receiving Yards
Likely has already put together a career-best line of 46 receptions and 448 receiving yards, and he’s also recorded a career-high-tying six touchdown catches. The veteran tight end is getting his first opportunity to serve as a team’s true No. 1 pass-catching option at the position – ironically, under the same head coach that somewhat denied him that opportunity in Baltimore – and Likely has found a way to thrive irrespective of who’s been under center for New York.
The matchup Thursday is an appealing one from a positional perspective, as the Commanders have surrendered an elevated 11.2 yards per reception on the 49 catches they’ve conceded to the position over 65 targets. Washington is also allowing a fairly robust 10.3 yards per completion on the road, and Likely already has five catches of 20+ yards and is averaging a career-high 1.75 yards per route run.
Likely struck for 11 catches for 94 yards and two touchdowns against the Commanders in the Week 5 meeting between the teams, furthering the case for taking shot on this prop.
Original Line: 48.5
Malik Nabers Over Receiving Yards
Expectations for the Giants’ passing game are fairly robust for Thursday’s game, considering the Commanders are surrendering 240.0 passing yards per game overall and the aforementioned 10.3 yards per completion per road contest. Nabers is naturally always a prime candidate to benefit whenever New York experiences some success through the air, and the star receiver, like Likely, has produced with all three quarterbacks he’s played with to date this season.
Nabers boasts a 53-648-2 line on 78 targets through eight games, and he already has four 100-yard efforts on his 2026 resume. One of those came against this same Commanders squad, who he lit up for 11 receptions, 121 yards and a touchdown in Week 5. Nabers is 4-1 to the Over on his yardage prop in the last five as well, and the Commanders have yielded a 66.3% catch rate to wide receivers.
Nabers is also drawing a whopping 30.1% of the Giants’ targets and 35.5% of the team’s air yards, furthering his case.
Original Line: 66.5
Photo Credit: REUTERS
