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MLB Championship Series Props: Steven Kwan and Junior Caminero Best Bets

Our best MLB player prop picks for today’s ALCS action, featuring Steven Kwan and Junior Caminero, plus the odds and reasoning.
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Juan Carlos Blanco Avatar
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The MLB Playoffs continue Friday with a one-game slate, as the defending champion Dodgers saw their dreams of a three-peat come to an end at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday.

The Rays and Guardians meet for a pivotal Game 4, one that will result in either Cleveland taking a commanding 3-1 series lead or Tampa Bay knotting matters up at 2-2.

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Without further ado, let’s dive into a trio of player props for today’s matchups. Don’t forget to check out our MLB daily trends page for game odds, data, and insights.

Best MLB Championship Series Player Props

  • Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Singles
  • Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases

Steven Kwan Over Singles

Kwan has long been one of baseball’s most reliable contact hitters, and he posted a minuscule 9.7% strikeout rate this past regular season. The veteran posted an 88.5% contact rate overall, and as usual, the majority of his hits went for just one base. Kwan laced 125 of his 152 knocks during the season for singles, and all seven of his hits thus far this postseason have also fit that description.

Kwan went 0-for-4 in Game 3 on Thursday, but he has a favorable track record against Rays starter Nick Martinez. Kwan has gone 3-for-7 with a pair of doubles and two RBI in his career against Martinez, and he posted a .291 average and .353 wOBA against right-handed pitching at home during the regular season. Kwan also produced an even tinier 8.8% strikeout rate in that split, and 42 of his 52 hits off righties at Progressive Field went for singles. 

Original Line Publish: 0.5

Junior Caminero Over Total Bases

There’s no announced Guardians starter yet, but Caminero’s prodigious power always puts the Over for his Total Bases prop in play. The slugger is having a solid postseason, posting a .294 average and .812 OPS with a pair of doubles among his five hits. He has seven total bases in five games overall, but he’s yet to go deep after doing so on 42 occasions during the regular season.

Caminero averaged a home run once every 16.7 plate appearances during the season, as well 2.0 total bases per game, so he could well be due for a bit of positive regression in terms of his power. He’s also got a solid track record at Progressive Field in terms of getting good wood on the ball – six of his 10 career hits there have gone for extra bases. He averaged 1.9 total bases per road game this past regular season as well, further fueling this prop. 

Original Line Publish: 1.5

PHOTO CREDIT: REUTERS

About the Author
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Juan Carlos Blanco has spent more than a decade writing about fantasy sports and sports betting. His work includes picks, industry news, analysis and profiles of people in both spaces. His articles have appeared on leading sports, fantasy sports and sports betting sites, including RotoWire, RotoBaller, The Game Day, TheLines, Legal Sports Report, CBS Sports, Yahoo Sports, NBA.com, Pro Football and Sports Network and Forbes. Juan Carlos has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, CFL, USFL, XFL, UFL and BIG3 Basketball.

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