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We’re on the board baby! Officially 1-2 on our daily first basket picks just three days into the season. Jarrett Allen, we love you at Lineups.com. Still need to hit two more of these before Thanksgiving to avoid wearing a dress in the Brickell mall. Don’t get too excited.
Our NBA first basket pick for today is Brandon Miller at odds. Let’s see if we can keep this heater going. Happy Friday, everyone.
Why Brandon Miller For First Basket
In Wednesday’s opener against Brooklyn, Miller led the team with 36 minutes and 21 field goal attempts. First basket bets are all about volume, and nobody on the Hornets is getting more early looks than Miller.
Yes, the shot wasn’t falling in Brooklyn. Miller went 7-of-21 from the field and 3-of-14 from deep, but that’s exactly the kind of cold night that bounces back. Now he’s back home at the Spectrum Center against the Hawks at 7 p.m. ET, and with Kon Knueppel and Coby White both listed as day-to-day, there could be even more first-possession touches funneled his way.
At , the book is giving Miller roughly a 14% implied chance to score first, and that feels light for a player who can get there from anywhere: catch-and-shoot threes, pull-ups, or a run-out off a Hawks miss. As of late last season, Miller took Charlotte’s first shot over 30% of the time, one of the highest rates in the NBA.
NBA First Basket Tracker
| Date | Pick | Odds | Units Wagered | Overall Record | Overall ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23/2026 | Brandon Miller | +600 | 1.00 | ?? | ?? |
| 10/22/2026 | Jarrett Allen | +600 | 1.00 | 1-2 | ▲ 4.00 |
| 10/21/2026 | Anthony Edwards | +600 | 1.00 | 0-2 | ▼ 2.00 |
| 10/20/2026 | Jaylen Brown | +700 | 1.00 | 0-1 | ▼ 1.00 |
