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Top Goal Picks: Vasily Podkolzin , Beckett Sennecke & Victor Olofsson
Anytime Goal Prop Predictions & Odds: NHL Best Bets for Sunday, November 15th
Even though there are only five games taking place on Sunday night, there are still plenty of Anytime Goal Scorer props to build our cards with, including Vasily Podkolzin who has been able to take advantage of the extra space Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl provide with their gravity.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards Beckett Sennecke and Victor Olofsson with the duo facing off against a pair of back lines that underwhelm in coverage. Before Sunday night’s slate gets underway, check out our NHL betting trends page for the latest daily game odds, insight, and data.
Vasily Podkolzin (Oilers vs. Flyers) Goal Odds
While the Edmonton Oilers front line have regressed as a whole, Vasily Podkolzin has still been able to play at a competitive level, averaging 0.33 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Sunday night’s contest against the Philadelphia Flyers, Podkolzin will be able to keep the Oilers afloat by attacking a back line that resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Dan Vlader struggling to recapture the same success he had last season, giving up 3.24 Goals Against per game while averaging a Save Percentage of .879.
Positive regression is also looming large over Podkolzin in 5-on-4 Situations with the Flyers struggling to smother shot attempts, leading to an uptick in his usage rate. Even if Joseph Woll gets the start instead of Vladar, playing on the second half of a back-to-back will affect the speed of his cuts, widening Podkolzin’s shooting lanes.
Beckett Sennecke (Ducks vs. Flame) Goal Odds
Since the start of the regular season, Beckett Sennecke has been able to consistently pressure the net while playing alongside Cutter Gauthier, averaging 0.43 Expected Goals and 2.47 Shots on Goal per game.
With the Calgary Flames on deck, Sennecke will be able to continue to light the lamp while skating circles around a back line that struggles to defend the net per their bottom ten marks in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Even with Devin Cooley playing at a high level, the Flames goalie will struggle to keep a clean sheet while trying to ward off the Ducks pressure, creating larger gaps beside him for Sennecke to exploit.
When in the Power Play, Gauthier moves to the back line, giving Sennecke the ability to anchor in front of the net while playing off the puck. Not only does this help Sennecke convert his shot attempts into Shots on Goal at a higher rate, it also leads to a higher volume of rebound opportunities, increasing his chances of scoring.
Victor Olofsson (Golden Knights vs. Canucks) Goal Odds
When healthy, Victor Olofsson has arguably been one of the more productive skaters in the Vegas Golden Knights front line, averaging 0.40 Expected Goals per game. Olofsson’s production has played a key role in the Golden Knights success on offense this season, contributing to a group that ranks sixth overall in Expected Goals For.
In a favorable matchup against the Vancouver Canucks, Olofsson will have a great opportunity to extend his scoring streak to three games by picking apart a defense that ranks dead last in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots in All Situations. With the Canucks incapable of keeping their opponents out of the crease, Leevi Merilainen has been unable to wall off shots for the full duration of his starts, averaging a Save Percentage of .885.
In 5-on-4 Situations, Olofsson is accompanied by Mark Stone, Jack Eichel, and Mitch Marner, a formidable trio that helps stretch out the coverage, making it easier for Olofsson to pressure the net. To help diversify your risk, place a smaller wager on Olofsson to score the first Goal as well.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
