2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Bets, Props, OAD
FedEx St. Jude bets are next on tap at the best golf betting sites, as TPC Southwind gets ready to host in Memphis. First-round play begins Thursday. Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele headline FedEx St. Jude Championship bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting apps for each player.
The 2026 season has finally come to a close, with the FedEx Cup Playoffs officially now upon us. TPC Southwind, a familiar venue on the PGA Tour, will host this field of 69 in the opening round of the playoffs after Daniel Berger’s withdrawal, as we get set for the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship this Thursday.
In sweltering conditions with over-grown rough surrounding these narrow fairways, course history and control off-the-tee have proven to be crucial in handicapping before placing your FedEx St. Jude bets. Below, we’ll go through my FedEx St. Jude Championship bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place FedEx St. Jude Championship wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my FedEx St. Jude Championship preview.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds: The Favorites
Find the comparison table at the bottom of this post for FedEx St. Jude Championship odds and the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.
How I Built My FedEx St. Jude Championship Betting Card
Scottie Scheffler has been excellent, but not dominant, in 2026, so I still do not feel compelled to bet in the “Without Scheffler” market with such a limited field. A look through the list of past winners (Rose, Matsuyama, Zalatoris, Glover, Ancer, Thomas, Koepka) shows a consistent trend of aggressive ball-strikers who are capable of spike approach performances on risk-reward courses. As such, I looked to construct a much tighter card with players who are capable of leading this field in SG: Approach, and who have shown high upside with their putting on Bermuda greens.
From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship.
- Outrights — 3.5U in to pay 25U each
- FRL — 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
- Full tournament matchups — 1U in to pay out 2U
- Props — 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each
FedEx St. Jude Championship Bets: Outrights (3.5 Units)
Tommy Fleetwood
My Bet: +2600
Best Available Odds:
I am ready to get hurt again after enduring the full Tommy Fleetwood experience one year ago at this event. He led by multiple strokes late on Sunday, but ultimately watched as his playing partner Justin Rose took charge of the tournament and fell one stroke shy of a playoff. That marked Fleetwood’s second top-3 finish over the last three years at this event; he is the only player in this field who can make that claim.
I thought the floodgates might have opened for Fleetwood after his TOUR Championship win last August. While that may not have happened just yet, I do feel the onus of winning will weigh far less heavily if he puts himself in contention yet again at TPC Southwind. This is a course that accentuates all of Fleetwood’s greatest strengths: approach play, driving accuracy, and Bermuda putting.
His form is as solid as ever leading into this week, with seven top-15 finishes over his last eight starts. It’s crucial to have complete control over all aspects of your game leading into the playoffs, and it’s no surprise that Fleetwood capitalized on his hot end-of-season form this time last year, finishing T4-T4-1st in the 2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs. Having proven he can handle the Memphis heat, Fleetwood enters the 2026 FedEx Cup St. Jude with the fewest question marks surrounding his course fit and current form. The only thing left for him to do now is to win.
Sam Burns
My Bet: +2700
Best Available Odds:
The hottest golfer in the world right now may be Sam Burns, and a trip to TPC Southwind’s Bermuda setup is just what he needs to keep the momentum going. Burns ranked 2nd overall in my model behind only Scottie Scheffler, a credit to this sustained run of hot form this summer. Burns has three top-4 finishes over his last five starts, including a 2nd place finish at the U.S. Open and 3rd place finish in his most recent start at The Open.
Burns has good history at TPC Southwind, losing in a playoff here in 2021, along with another top-5 finish here in 2024. This season, Burns has made vast improvements with his ball-striking, ranking 11th in SG: APP and 30th in SG: OTT over the last 36 rounds. Profiling as the best Bermuda putter in this field, that is a lethal combination as he comes to this positional setup in Memphis.
Collin Morikawa
My Bet: +3100
Best Available Odds:
I was looking for a reason not to bet Collin Morikawa this week, and I simply could not find one. Morikawa’s name is always in consideration when we get to a shorter, positional venue like TPC Southwind, and he’s done plenty to justify the fit over the course of his career. He’s finished no worse than T26 at the FedEx St Jude Championship over six career appearances, highlighted by a career-best T5 finish here in 2022.
It’s the putter that gives me confidence in Morikawa this time around, as he ranks 12th in SG: P over the last 36 rounds. His ball-striking remains in peak form too, ranking top-10 in this field in Driving Accuracy, SG: Ball Striking, and SG: APP. With six top-10 finishes already this season, Morikawa looks poised to contend this week on an ideal course fit for his game.
Tom Kim
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
TPC Southwind falls under the category of short, positional courses by PGA Tour standards, and that is where Tom Kim has delivered his best work, picking up three of his first four wins at TPC Summerlin and Sedgefield CC. He continued to pay off his fit on short, positional venues last week, with another top-5 finish at the Wyndham Championship. Elite approach play is a necessity at TPC Southwind, and no one has been better than Kim in that category over the last 36 rounds. He’ll carry a streak of 11 consecutive starts in which he’s gained strokes on the field on approach.
Kim is peaking at the right time now as we head into the playoffs, with finishes of T5, T20, and 1st over his last four starts. It’s been his improvements on the greens that have made the difference of late, as Kim has been a positive putter in five of his last eight starts. He’s passed the eye test at TPC Southwind thus far in his career, with finishes of T13, T24, and T50 over his first three visits. Ranking 5th in SG: T2G over the last 36 rounds, Tom Kim passes the test in terms of both current form and course fit leading into the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Rickie Fowler
My Bet: +7800
Best Available Odds:
It has been a very underrated 2026 season for Fowler, who has done enough to qualify for East Lake, if the season were to end today. Unfortunately, he cannot simply fast forward two weeks, so he still has his work cut out for him to build on his current positon of 28th in the FedEx Cup standings. It has been a season of runs for Fowler, but he’s hot at the right time now with finishes of T15, T18, and T8 over his last three starts. His best results this season have come on similar Bermuda courses, posting a stretch of three consecutive top-10 finishes earlier this season at the RBC Heritage (T8), Cadillac Championship (T9), and Truist Championship (T2).
It’s been a mixed bag of results for Fowler at TPC Southwind, but that includes three top-15 finishes over six career appearances, His best result came this time last year, where he finished T6 and ranked top-5 in SG: OTT and SG: Ball Striking. Fowler is a strong Bermuda putter with solid course history in great current form. He is leaning on the strength of his ball striking and putting at this stage of the season, which is exactly the combination I’m looking for in a FedEx St Jude Championship contender.
Ryan Fox
My Bet: +17500
Best Available Odds:
Last we saw Ryan Fox, he was hoisting the Claret Jug at Royal Birkdale, putting on one of the most resilient and clutch back nine performance we’ve in recent major history. Oddsmakers seem to have forgotten about that performance just four weeks later, as Fox’s odds remain amongst the longest of any player in this field. Fox many not be the first name that comes to mind on a short and positional venue, but that didn’t hold him back at Royal Birkdale either.
The Kiwi is done celebrating his first major win and has settled back in at his home away from home in Jupiter, Florida to prepare for this playoff push. His Florida residency has prepared him well to putt on Bermuda greens, winning his first career PGA Tour win in Myrtle Beach last season. He may not seem like an ideal fit for TPC Southwind, but it’s the irons and putting that have been the strengths of Fox’s game in the closing stretch of this season. Assuming the post-Open hangover has passed, Fox looks to me like the most mis-priced player in this field.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Bets: First-Round Leader (0.5 Units)
Jackson Koivun
My Bet: +4400
Best Available Odds:
Koivun needed to finish 30th in his last two starts of the PGA Tour regular season, and he effectively did exactly that, hanging on to the 70th spot in this week’s field. That makes him the first man off on Thursday, and he’ll play as a single after Daniel Berger’s withdrawal made this tournament a field of 69. Koivun is a fast player, and may enjoy the freedom of a quick round played at his own pace as he makes his playoff debut on Thursday.
Tom Kim
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
The best iron player in the world right now is none other than Tom Kim, and he’ll come to TPC Southwind’s short, positional setup ready to confidently fire at pins. Kim is peaking at the right time now, with finishes over T5, T20, and 1st within his last four starts. His putter has been hot too throughout this recent stretch, as he ranked 8th in SG: P at last week’s Wyndham Championship.
Aaron Rai
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
Aaron gave us a good sweat for most of Thursday at last week’s Wyndham Championship, and steps into yet another course setup this week, which should cater to his strengths of accuracy and aggressively firing at tucked pin locations. Lucas Glover proved you can parlay form from Sedgefield CC to TPC Southwind when winning both events back-to-back in 2023, so Rai will have the opportunity to build off of a strong T29 showing last week.
Ryan Fox
My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:
A very boom-or-bust player this season, Fox’s three professional wins since 2025 prove he has the upside to go low any given round. His best results have not come exclusively on driver-heavy venues either, as Fox picked up a pair of top-20 finishes earlier this season at TPC Sawgrass and TPC River Highlands.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Bets: Props (2.0 Units)
Full Tournament Matchup: Collin Morikawa > Ludvig Aberg
My Bet: -110
I came into this week thinking I would love this spot for Aberg after a strong T9 showing at The Open in his most recent start. Ultimately, however, I feel he’s over-priced relative to his current form. Aberg’s T9 at The Open broke a streak of five consecutive starts without a top-15 finish. By comparison, Morikawa enters this week amidst a stretch of three consecutive top-20 finishes.
From a course fit standpoint, TPC Southwind caters better to the strengths of Morikawa’s game, as Aberg has lagged in accuracy of late. Expecting a more significant penalty on misses off-the-tee from this thick Bermuda rough and constant threat of water, I’m drawn to a marksman like Morikawa who enters in excellent form.
Top-20 Finish: Tommy Fleetwood
My Bet: -110
Best Available Odds:
I really do not love the value in the placement markets in these limited-field, no-cut events, but with all players ensured four full rounds, the cream should rise to the top by week’s end. With it be current form, course history, or course fit, all signs point toward Fleetwood faring well at TPC Southwind, so I’m comfortable taking this prop at near-even odds in a field of just 69 players.
One And Done
My Pick: Hideki Matsuyama
Two weeks remain on the OAD season, so it’s time to roll out the best man available. For me, that’s Hideki Matsuyama, one of the most popular bets of the week. Matsuyama leads the field in course history at TPC Southwind, winning here in 2024 and falling in a playoff in 2021. He’s in excellent form once again, finishing top-15 in each of his last five starts.
If not Matsuyama, I would also consider playing Tommy Fleetwood, Sam Burns, or Collin Morikawa in OAD.
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FedEx St. Jude Championship Bets: The Card
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own FedEx St. Jude Championship bets, and see you on Sunday for the BMW Championship preview.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
