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Best Bets: Munetaka Murakami , Ben Rice & Matt Olson
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Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Wednesday, October 7th
Three elimination-adjacent games on the slate Thursday, and each one sets up a power hitter in a spot to cash: a Game 4 at Yankee Stadium with New York’s season on the line, a White Sox-Guardians ALDS clash at a hitter-friendly Rate Field, and a win-or-go-home night for the Braves at one of baseball’s most home-run-happy parks. Here are our three most confident home run picks for the day, backed by the stats, matchups and conditions behind each one.
Munetaka Murakami (White Sox vs. Guardians) Home Run Odds
Murakami leads the White Sox with 35 home runs as a rookie and has already gone deep against this exact Guardians pitching staff this season. Rate Field is one of the more forgiving parks in baseball for a left-handed pull hitter, and the forecast is clean — mid-60s, clear skies, no wind concerns — with neither club having named a starter yet, raising the odds of an unproven arm or early bullpen look Murakami can jump on early.
Ben Rice (Yankees vs. Rays) Home Run Odds
Rice paces the Yankees with 41 homers and has a track record of torching Tampa Bay specifically, including a two-homer game against the Rays this season. Yankee Stadium’s short right-field porch is tailor-made for his lefty pull power, conditions are mild (mid-70s, no rain) to help the ball carry, and the Rays still haven’t announced a Game 4 starter — a soft spot for a Yankees lineup facing elimination and needing to be aggressive early.
Matt Olson (Braves vs. Dodgers) Home Run Odds
Olson leads Atlanta with 41 homers and already has a home run this postseason, going deep in the Division Series-clinching win over Philadelphia. Truist Park has been rated one of the most home-run-friendly stadiums in the majors, Atlanta is facing a win-or-go-home Game 4 that should bring out max aggression in the middle of the order, and Tyler Mahle anchoring the mound for the Braves keeps Olson’s bat in the lineup for every at-bat in a game Atlanta can’t afford to play passively.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
