Share 
We have a compact five-game slate Saturday evening, and after some concerns about potential cancellations due to flight issues, it appears all games will go off as scheduled.
Let’s dive into three player props that catch our eye for Saturday’s action. Be sure to check out the NBA betting trends page for odds, data and insights on every game.
Best NBA Saturday Props
- Zion Over 21.5 Points
- Daniss Jenkins Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Ayo Dosunmu Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Zion Williamson (Pelicans vs. Nuggets) Over Points
Williamson is authoring another one of his typically productive seasons as a scorer, averaging 21.7 points while shooting a career-best 62.2%. Williamson is putting up a career-low 12.3 field-goal attempts per contest, but he’s still getting to the line at a solid 7.8 free-throw attempts per contest and converting those at a career-high 77.9% clip. Additionally, Zion should be in store for more offensive involvement than usual Saturday due to New Orleans’ patchwork first unit.
Dejounte Murray has requested a trade out of New Orleans and therefore isn’t expected to play, while Trey Murphy (knees) and Ives Missi (knee) may also sit out. Williamson is averaging 24.8 points per 36 minutes with Murray off the floor and that figure jumps to a team-high 27.2 when adding a Murphy absence to the equation. The Nuggets also happen to be allowing an NBA-high 33.4 offensive efficiency rating and 30.3 points per game to power forwards, along with NBA-high 51.1 shooting to the position.
Williamson has at least 22 points in eight of 11 games, so the odds are certainly in favor of the Over here.
Original Line Publish: 21.5
Daniss Jenkins (Pistons vs. Heat) Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
Jenkins has been making very good use of his starting opportunity the last two games, averaging 31.5 points + rebounds + assists across 39.0 minutes while shooting 48.1%, including 45.5% from three-point range. What’s more, Jenkins was just as impressive off the bench against the Lakers the game prior to the pair of starts, furnishing 31 points, five rebounds, four assists and one steal, a game where he drained a whopping eight three-pointers.
The Heat could certainly facilitate another high-percentile performance from the talented third-year guard, as Miami is, first and foremost, playing at the league’s fourth-highest pace (106.4). That naturally should give Jenkins some extra opportunities to pile up numbers, and Miami is also conceding an Eastern Conference-high 28.0 offensive efficiency rating to two-guards, while also surrendering 40.2 points + rebounds + assists per contest to the position.
Additionally, Miami is also yielding 38.0% three-point success rate to twos, while Jenkins is shooting a career-best 44.4% from behind the arc on a career-high 4.9 three-point attempts per game.
Original Line Publish: 23.5
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves vs. Bulls) Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
Dosunmu has capitalized on the extended starting opportunity afforded by Anthony Edwards’ knee injury, as the veteran shooting guard is averaging 29.7 points + rebounds + assists per contest across 33.5 minutes per contest. Dosunmu is getting it done with highly efficient shooting, draining 53.3% of his 15.0 field-goal attempts per game, including 47.5% of his 5.0 three-point tries per contest in that span. The sixth-year pro is also making good on 95.7% of his average of 2.9 free-throw attempts, and Saturday, he draws the very inviting matchup presented by his former Bulls squad.
Chicago is playing at a league-high pace of 109.0 possessions per road game. The Bulls are also ranked No. 26 in offensive efficiency rating allowed to two-guards, surrendering 37.7 points + rebounds + assists per contest to the position. Chicago is also giving up 38.8% three-point shooting to twos, and while the Timberwolves’ status as big home favorites is a bit concerning, but Minnesota’s slate-high implied team total of 125.25 points also lends credence to the notion Dosunmu could be in store for another productive night where he eclipses this prop for the sixth time in the last seven contests.
Original Line Publish: 26.5
Photo Credit: REUTERS
