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Top Goal Picks: J.T. Miller , Zach Hyman & Tomas Hertl
Anytime Goal Prop Predictions & Odds: NHL Best Bets for Wednesday, November 11th
With six games dropping puck on Wednesday night, there are plenty of Anytime Goal Scorer props to groom through, including J.T. Miller who is in a favorable position to score while weaving the puck through a defense that struggles to defend the crease.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards Zach Hyman and Tomas Hertl with the duo expected to pressure the net at a higher rate while their linemates help stretch out the opposing coverage. Before Wednesday’s slate gets underway, check out our NHL betting trends page for the latest daily game odds, insight, and data.
J.T. Miller (Rangers vs. Flames) Goal Odds
After failing to play at a competitive level last year, the New York Rangers have been able to round back into form this season, climbing into the top-10 in Expected Goals For. J.T. Miller has played a major role in the Rangers resurgence on offense, averaging 0.38 Expected Goals per game.
With the Calgary Flames on deck, Miller will be able to snap his five game scoreless streak by taking advantage of a back line that resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Even with Devin Cooley walling off shots at a high rate, the Rangers versatility will force the Flames goalie to scramble across the crease, creating larger gaps beside him for Miller to exploit.
When in 5-on-4 Situations, Miller’s usage rate ticks up while leading the Rangers second unit. With the Flames incapable of keeping a defender near the vicinity of shot attempts, Miller will be able to rifle off a higher volume of Shots on Goal, increasing his chances of finding the back of the net.
Zach Hyman (Oilers vs. Flyers) Goal Odds
With injuries holding him back, Zach Hyman has fallen into a cold stretch of play, failing to score a Goal in his last six starts. During his skid, Hyman has still been productive, averaging 0.30 Expected Goals while generating nearly two Shots on Goal per game.
Fortunately for Hyman, he will have a great opportunity to get back on the sheet against the Philadelphia Flyers by relentlessly attacking a back line that ranks well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Dan Vlader harshly regressing while trying to protect the Flyers net, giving up 3.27 Goals Against per game while averaging a Save Percentage of .880.
In the Power Play, Hyman is accompanied by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, two lethal scorers who help stretch out the defense with their gravity, creating more room in the middle for the Oilers forward to operate. When left unattended, the quality of Hyman’s Shots on Goal will improve, making it difficult for Vlader to keep a clean sheet.
Tomas Hertl (Golden Knights vs. Mammoth) Goal Odds
Since the calendar flipped to November, Tomas Hertl has been white hot, scoring four Goals in his last three outings. Hertl’s recent hot stretch of play has mirrored his aggression this season, averaging 0.44 Expected Goals per game.
While a matchup against the Utah Mammoth normally indicates negative regression is looming large, the Vegas Golden Knights high powered offense will help pull defensive attention away from Hertl, making it easier to pressure the net. When left unprotected, Karel Vejmelka has been unable to stand his ground, conceding 3.29 Goals Against per game.
Like Hyman, Hertl also gets the benefit of playing alongside a pair of dominant skaters with Jack Eichel and Mitch Marner joining him in the Golden Knights first Power Play unit. With the offense revolving around Eichel and Marner from the blue line, Hertl will be able to anchor in front of the crease, putting himself in an excellent position to score off of a rebound.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
