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Best Bet: GSW +6.5 (-113) at DraftKings
Best Bet: O222.5 (-106)
Score Prediction: Houston 114, Golden State 108
The Pick: Houston 114, Golden State 108
We’ll take the Warriors’ spread based on their current winning streak and ATS success in Houston, while the Over is on the table based on head-to-head data.
Game Betting Analysis
The Over has some life to it here, hitting in seven of 10 road games for Golden State when playing as an underdog and coming off a win. While Houston has hit the Under in four of five games, its a different story – usually – when facing Dub Nation. The Over has hit in the last two meetings along with five of the last seven head-to-heads. Taking the Golden State spread isn’t a terrible idea either, currently on an eight-game winning streak while the Rockets have dropped the spread in nine of 11 home games when hosting Golden State.
Warriors-Rockets Odds (Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under)
Deciding Factor: Warriors’ Win Streak vs. Rockets’ Two-Way Punch at Home
Golden State rolls into Houston at 8-3 and winners of eight straight, a stretch fueled by one of the hottest scoring runs of Stephen Curry’s season: he dropped 41 on Orlando and followed it with 44 at Minnesota, while Yaxel Lendeborg has emerged as a legitimate second scoring option with 37 points against the Clippers and 31 at Denver, and Draymond Green has orchestrated the offense with 13 assists against the Magic and 11 against Miami. That combination of elite shot-making and ball movement has carried the Warriors through a stretch that’s included wins over playoff-caliber teams like the Lakers and Suns, and if Curry’s current heater continues on the road, Golden State has every reason to believe it can push this streak to nine.
The Rockets, meanwhile, just answered their own adversity, snapping a two-game skid by beating Denver 110-100 on Monday behind 23 points from Kevin Durant and 20 from Alperen Sengun, who posted a 17-point, 12-rebound, 10-assist triple-double in the loss to Minnesota just five days earlier. That two-way frontcourt punch is the engine of this Houston team, but it’s operating without real depth behind it: Clint Capela (ankle) and Steven Adams are both out, and Oscar Tshiebwe was sidelined for Monday’s game with an illness, leaving a rotation that already got out-rebounded 45-41 in the loss to Minnesota. Golden State isn’t fully healthy either, playing without Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, and Brandon Williams, with Will Richard possibly gutting through a thumb injury, so this is a game where frontcourt size and depth could decide things more than star power. If Houston’s thin center rotation gets exposed on the glass again against a red-hot Warriors team, Golden State’s streak likely reaches nine; but if Durant and Sengun’s two-way weight proves too much for a shorthanded Warriors roster to handle for 48 minutes, Houston snaps the streak at home.
Game Information
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Kickoff: 9:30 p.m. (ET)
- Network: ESPN, ESPN+
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Venue: Toyota Center – 220.2 ppg; 3-3
Key Players
Golden State Warriors
- Steph Curry — Last Game: 25 points, 5 rebounds
- Yaxel Lendeborg — Last Game: 23 points, 7 rebounds
Houston Rockets
- Kevin Durant — Last Game: 23 points, 12 rebounds, 8 assists
- Alperen Sengun — Last Game: 20 points, 12 rebounds, 8 assists
Photo Credit: REUTERS
