PGA Tour Odds: 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Preview at Port Royal Golf Course

Bermuda, best known for its grass, shorts, and triangles, is the next stop on the “International” swing during the fall series as the field heads to Port Royal Golf Course for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Let’s run through key course info and odds for the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship.

Handicapping PGA Tour odds in a weaker field will be a challenge this week. At the least, it’s a beautiful setting, right on Bermuda’s coastline, with views of the Atlantic horizon throughout. This tournament has proven to be one of the most weather-impacted of any on tour. It is one of the few instances per year where I’ve found myself practicing patience with my betting card construction. As of this Monday, the forecast in Bermuda calls for persistent rain and winds as high as 20 mph from Thursday to Sunday. It may not be as severe as the 40 MPH winds that Adam Schenk survived last year, but it’s safe to say navigating the coastal winds will be a sought-after skill this week.

When winds are down, this is a short course that has rewarded the plodders in the field. But when the winds kick up, the bombers have been able to find separation. That, in short, explains how players like Brian Gay and Brendon Todd, as well as Lucas Herbert and Taylor Pendrith, have each enjoyed success at this event despite being opposite player types. The field strength is lacking once again. But somebody has to win. So let’s get into the key facts and info about Port Royal GC before betting on Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds.

Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds: The Favorites

Here are the favorites for Butterfield Bermuda Championship golf odds. Scroll to the bottom of this post to compare odds for the entire field at betting sites in your state. And don’t forget to lock in the best sportsbook promo codes before making any wagers.

Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds: Field At A Glance

Last year, the Butterfield Bermuda Championship drew the weakest Official World Golf Ranking field rating of any primary PGA Tour event that did not run opposite another. That was influenced in part by some weather-related travel complications. But in any case, this year’s event looks just as uninspired.

The field of 120 players features only eight players inside the OWGR top-100. That is a stark step down from the last Fall Series event in Japan, where Michael Brennan prevailed over a star-studded field that included the likes of Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Wyndham Clark, and Justin Thomas. Ben James will be the headliner in Bermuda, his first time entering a tournament as the standalone favorite. James is without a doubt the hottest player in the field – and arguably in all of professional golf at the moment – as he’s finished 3rd, 2nd, and T5 over his last three starts. 

Corey Conners, Austin Smotherman, Rasmus Hojgaard, Eric Cole, Andrew Novak, and Ben Kohles join James as the only OWGR top-100 players in this field. They’ll be joined by Rico Hoey, Seamus Power, and Neal Shipley as presumptive favorites. Lacking any sort of intimidating star power, this event truly has a wide-open feel to it.

In the absence of established stars in this field, there is a youth movement coming to Bermuda that is worth watching out for. Acclaimed 17-year-old amateur Miles Russell is in the field this week, joined by Nixon Lauritzen, Kihei Akina, and Austin Lemieux as young talents with untapped potential. Lemieux is notably the son of hockey legend Mario Lemieux.

Defending champion Adam Schenk is back to chase a repeat. He famously survived 40 MPH winds with “one hand on the wheel”, putting one-handed to pick up his first career PGA Tour win. He’ll be joined by Rafael Campos, Camilo Villegas, Seamus Power, and Brendon Todd to represent the list of past champions in the field. 

Introduction To Port Royal GC

Port Royal Golf Course is a Robert Trent Jones-designed public course in Southampton, Bermuda. It was founded in 1965, underwent renovation in 2009, and has been on the PGA Tour schedule since 2020. In its first year, the Bermuda Championship ran opposite the WGC-HSBC China event. But in the ensuing five years as a primary event, it has still struggled to attract a formidable field.

The elements will always play a significant factor in determining a winner at the Bermuda Championship. In 2023, Taylor Pendrith gave up a sizable lead on Sunday, playing through afternoon rain and wind that eventually forced a temporary stoppage. Last year, Braden Thornberry carded an 80 on Sunday after entering the final round as the 54-hole leader. So, while the scorecard yardage and hole layouts may not look intimidating, the ability to flight tee shots and approaches through the wind and navigate steep elevation changes are unique skill sets needed at Port Royal GC.

How It Breaks Down

At 6,828 yards, Port Royal GC is the shortest par-71 on tour and the second shortest overall behind only TPC River Highlands. It has produced consistent results from short-course specialists like Brendon Todd, Brian Gay, and Ryan Armour. With that said, we’ve also seen an advantage to bombers when the elements pick up, given the persistence of headwinds on this highly exposed coastal setup.

There is not much hidden yardage on this course. All three par-5s are under 555 yards, six par-4s measure under 400 yards, and only one par-4 measures above 450 yards. With that said, the wind will make this course play more difficult than the scorecard yardage would suggest, and only eight holes have a scoring average under par.

With this course sitting outside the continental United States, we do not have the luxury of strokes gained data to draw conclusive trends. However, the basic stats available can still paint a helpful picture. Driving accuracy has fallen below 55% in each of the first six years played at this event, down significantly from the tour average of 65%. That is a factor of the narrow fairways, but more likely a result of high winds blowing tee shots off course. The 2-inch Zoysia rough isn’t imposing enough of a penalty for players to actively club down for accuracy. Greens in regulation percentage is also down by about 5% compared to the tour average, which we can assume is caused by a combination of the high winds and weak fields.

Average driving distance was well above the tour average at the 2020 Bermuda Championship and well below average in the following five contests. That is a direct correlation with the severity of the wind. So if the forecast holds, a weather-impacted event should penalize the shorter hitters and reward the bombers.

Port Royal Golf Course Specs

• Yards: 6,828
• Par: 71 (4x 3’s / 11x 4’s / 3x 5’s)
• Greens: Bermuda
• Architect: Robert Trent Jones
• Historical cut line: Even
• Comp courses: PGA National, Pebble Beach, Corales GC, Coco Beach, El Camaleon, Sea Island GC, Waialae CC, El Cardonal at Diamante
• Official Scorecard

Course History And Course Comps

Looking at total course history over the first five years, the top 10 at Port Royal in this field are Seamus Power, Vince Whaley, Denny McCarthy, Justin Lower, Camilo Villegas, Adam Schenk, Brendon Todd, Mark Hubbard, Max McGreevy, and Andrew Novak. It’s hard to draw any strong trends from that group. But it does seem to predominantly favor players who are strong Bermuda putters and good ball-strikers in windy, coastal conditions.

Course Comps

I won’t be putting as heavy of an emphasis on comp course history this week as I normally would, given the drastic influence of the weather and unique importance of driving distance for a 6,900-yard course. We are also without the aid of strokes gained data from past events at Port Royal GC. So the perceived important characteristics at this event are less objective.

With all of that said, I lean toward PGA National, host of the Honda Classic, as the top overall comp to Port Royal GC. Both courses are played on Bermuda greens, have been exposed to high winds and rain, and reward driving distance despite the lack of overall scorecard yardage.

PGA National aside, Pebble Beach, Corales GC, Grand Reserve, El Camaleon, El Cardonal at Diamante, Sea Island GC, and Waialae CC all share coastal layouts, heavily influenced by the wind on similar agronomy and similar strengths of field. These coastal, wind-exposed venues should serve as a good barometer for players who can execute flighted approaches against gusting coastal winds.

Combine performance across this list, and the top 10 players in comp course history here are Brice Garnett, Joel Dahmen, Lucas Glover, Denny McCarthy, Eric Cole, Austin Eckroat, Chris Kirk, Emiliano Grillo, Ben Martin, and Henrik Norlander. 

Key Stats To Consider Before Betting PGA Tour Odds

• SG: T2G (Recent Form)
• Driving distance
• Good drives gained / driving accuracy
• SG: APP / SG: Ball striking
• SG: ARG
• SG: TOT (high winds)
• Par-3 Scoring
• SG: P (L36, Bermuda)
• Course and comp course history

Looking at the list of top-performing players at this event over its first three years, the ideal formula would seem to include above-average ranks in SG: T2G, SG: Ball Striking, SG: TOT (high winds), comp course history, and SG: P (Bermuda). Seven players who fit that criteria: Austin Eckroat, Patrick Fishburn, Brice Garnett, Will Gordon, Emiliano Grillo, Justin Lower, and Kevin Roy.

Player Spotlight: Rico Hoey

A native Puerto Rican, Rico Hoey is no stranger to coastal winds in this part of the country. Hoey was actually the betting favorite at this event last year, and performed passably with a T22 finish. That marked his second top-25 finish in two years, finishing T17 in his 2024 debut at this event.

The floor could not be higher for Hoey leading into this week. He’s one of just four players in this field to rank top-12 in terms of both Course History and Recent Form over the last five events. Hoey has a pair of top-15s over that stretch, including a T10 in his most recent start at the Bank of Utah Championship.

Though Port Royal is one of the shortest courses on Tour, it’s gusting winds and lack of penal rough still make it susceptible to bombers like Hoey, who will be able to take advantage of having lesser clubs into these elevated greens. Hoey ranks 2nd overall in my model this week, a credit to his top-10 ranks in SG: T2G, SG: Ball Striking, and SG: TOT (High Winds) over the last 36 rounds. His putter will be the difference-maker, but having gained on the greens in three of his last four starts, there’s plenty to feel optimistic about when it comes to Hoey in Bermuda.

2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Player Pool And Model Results

With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. Naturally, I’m looking their way in the PGA Tour odds as well. I’ve broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.

Model Breakdown

In my model, I’m emphasizing SG: T2G, SG: APP, SG: Ball striking, SG: P (L36 & Bermuda), and comp course history, followed by a more balanced mix of good drives gained, SG: TOT (high winds), SG: ARG & Scrambling, and Driving Distance.

Model Favorites

Ben Kohles claims the top spot in my model this week, as there is no man hotter over the last 36 rounds than him. Kohles has finished top-30 in each of his last five starts and inside the top-20 in each of his last three. Poor Sunday showings have been his downfall, but with few other intimidating presences around him in this field, this may be his best opportunity yet to exorcise those demons and pick up his first career PGA Tour win. 

After Kohles, the rest of my model’s top 10 features Rico Hoey, Kevin Roy, Ben James, Davis Thompson, Trace Crowe, Chris Kirk, Kevin Yu, Corey Conners, and Emiliano Grillo.

When odds open on Monday, I’ll be looking to build a longer card to hedge against the randomness of these extreme weather conditions, starting with a longer card around Rico Hoey, Chris Kirk, and Andrew Novak. However, I’ll likely wait to place my bets until further details on weather splits are released later in the week.

Check back in later this week for more updates, and best of luck betting Butterfield Bermuda Championship PGA Tour odds!

Complete PGA Tour Odds: Butterfield Bermuda Championship

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