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We’ve got an intriguing interconference matchup this week on Sunday Night Football, as a Falcons team that’s gotten quite the boost from having Michael Penix under center hosts a Ravens squad without Lamar Jackson (ankle).
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Without further ado, let’s dive into three player props to consider for Sunday night’s action. Don’t forget to check out our NFL betting trends page for game data and insights on the week ahead.
Ravens-Falcons Best NFL Week 5 Player Props
- Mark Andrews Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
- Bijan Robinson Over 18.5 Rush Attempts
- Zay Flowers Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
Mark Andrews Over Receiving Yards
The switch of Lamar to Tyler Huntley at quarterback naturally represents an overall ceiling downgrade for the Ravens offense. However, there are steeper dropoffs around the league than this one, especially since Huntley has a fair share of mobility and a high degree of familiarity with many of his skill-position weapons.
One of those certainly is Andrews, who’s had plenty of experience serving as one of Huntley’s trusted short- and mid-range options throughout their multiple seasons on the Ravens. The veteran tight end has opened the season back in possession of a No. 1 role following the departure of Isaiah Likely this offseason, and he’s mustered an 18-149-1 line on 24 targets over the first four games.
Andrews has come just one yard short of going 4-0 to the Over on this prop thus far this season, and he’s facing a Falcons team that’s allowed an average of 53.8 receiving yards per game to the position thus far. Given the rapport Andrews enjoys with Huntley and the low bar to clear, this Over is in play.
Original Line Publish: 24.5
Bijan Robinson Over Rush Attempts
While Penix’s Week 3 season debut undoubtedly lit a spark under the Falcons as noted earlier, Robinson has unsurprisingly made the biggest impact overall, partly because defenses have had to start respecting Atlanta’s passing game again. Robinson has averaged 24 carries for 169.5 yards in Huntley’s first two games, often finding ample running room and exploiting it. The matchup on the ground Sunday night is notably tougher than that of the last two weeks, but there’s still a path to an Over on the star running back.
Baltimore is allowing 3.8 yards per carry to running backs and will undoubtedly be devoting some resources to Bijan, so we’ll steer clear of the yardage prop and instead bank on a typically solid workload. Atlanta will undoubtedly want to keep putting the ball in the hands of one of its top playmakers, and Robinson has at least 19 carries in three of the first four games of the season. The one exception was a Week 2 loss to the Panthers where the game eventually got completely away from the Falcons with Cooper Rush and Jack Strand under center, and Robinson still came close with 16 carries in that game.
The Ravens have faced an average of 20.8 running back rush attempts over the first four weeks, and the fact this is a home game for the Falcons ups the odds of matters remaining competitive. Atlanta is favored by 3.5 points as it is, so the chances of a game script that remains positive for the run game is high.
Original Line: 18.5
Zay Flowers Over Receiving Yards
While it’s likely Huntley remains fairly conservative when he can Sunday, the veteran signal-caller certainy isn’t above taking some shots downfield. That will likely be a necessity anyhow, given the Falcons’ offense is on the rise with Penix and has its fair share of playmakers that the Ravens will have to be cognizant of keeping pace with. Consequently, a fairly busy night for Flowers could very well be in store.
The standout receiver’s yardage prop actually went down from 65.5 when there was still some uncertainty on Lamar’s availability, so this figure presents us with a nice reduction that Flowers is perfectly capable of exceeding with Huntley at the wheel. Flowers is listed as questionable with foot injury on the final injury report of the week, but he did manage to practice all week in limited fashion and is expected to be out there Sunday night.
He’s recorded at least 84 receiving yards in his three 2026 appearances to date, including a 150-yard tally in less than a half of play in Week 1, and the Falcons will still be without shutdown cornerback A.J. Terrell (IR, groin) for this contest. Additionally, Atlanta is tied with several teams for the fourth-most receptions (58) allowed to wide receivers, and the Falcons have also yielded the fifth-most receiving yards (781) and 13.5 yards per catch to the position.
Original Line: 59.5
Photo Credit: REUTERS
