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Top TD Picks: Mark Andrews , Brian Robinson Jr.
We’re all set for an intriguing Week 5 Sunday Night Football between the Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons. Both teams are coming off wins, but the Ravens are very likely without Lamar Jackson for this game. It wouldn’t surprise me if it’s low-scoring, which means that we’re going to look for more longshot TD props here.
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This is reflected in the game total, which currently sits at 43.5. With that in mind, we’re going with a pair of anytime touchdown picks at odds at +250 or longer for this one.
Be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game, along with our touchdown props below.
Mark Andrews Touchdown Odds
Mark Andrews has only one touchdown on the season, but he’s one of the primary red-zone threats for the Ravens. We’ve seen him score as many as 11 touchdowns in one year, back in 2024, so it’s clear that he can make an impact between the 20s.
With Tyler Huntley under center, it’s likely that he’ll look to his safety valve in his veteran tight end over the middle. It’s also worth noting that the Falcons are stout in run defense, ranking 1st in EPA. If they can stuff Derrick Henry on a red-zone carry, we could see a target go to Andrews.
The Falcons have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends so far this season, so we’ll take a chance on Andrews at +250 odds at the time of this article. I like the value at that price.
Brian Robinson Jr. Touchdown Odds
Bijan Robinson has been an absolute stud for the Falcons. But I thought he was going to see more volume. It’s been surprising to see Brian Robinson mix in as much as he has, but it’s clearly working for Atlanta. Not only is this keeping Bijan fresh, but Brian has been effective as well.
We just saw Brian score three touchdowns. The “other Robinson” is clearly a threat in the red zone. Head coach Kevin Stefanski is not afraid to mix in his power back, especially on tough runs up the gut.
With the Falcons as 3.5-point favorites in this one, it could be another positive game script, where they play with a lead and can run the ball more. That’s why I’m taking a shot on Brian Robinson at +240 odds.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
