PGA Tour Golf Odds, Picks, Predictions: Final 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Card, OAD
PGA Tour golf continues with Colonial CC next on tap to host the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge in Dallas, Texas, this Thursday. This week, Ludvig Aberg, Russell Henley, and Justin Thomas headline among Charles Schwab Challenge bets. John Haslbauer provides his favorite PGA Tour picks from the available golf odds. Below, you’ll find each player’s best odds at legal betting sites.
PGA Tour action is back, teeing off this Thursday at the new and improved Colonial Country Club for the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge. Standing just under 7,300 yards, Colonial Country Club has a longstanding history of testing the game’s best throughout their bag on this challenging, positional layout.
While this marks the second consecutive week of golf in Texas, Colonial CC will play nothing like TPC Craig Ranch. Far from a birdie-fest, the Charles Schwab Challenge has typically been won between 8 to 14 under par. With a steep penalty for missing the fairway, this is a venue that rewards precision and elite ball striking to separate.
Let’s review all my bets for the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge.
Click on any of the Charles Schwab Challenge odds below for the best available prices at sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.
How I Built My Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Card
I am a Ludvig Aberg truther, and a regreatable back nine at The Players will not deter me from feeling confident in his ability to win on this second-tier PGA Tour event. As such, I’ve constructed my card around him, with exposure to some longshots to round out my Charles Schwab Challenge betting card.
We’ve seen a mix of favorites and longshots contend here over the years, and my betting card is fully representative of that diversity. Overall, I’m looking for in-form golfers who can consistently keep the ball in the fairway off the tee, and hold these firm Bentgrass greens at a high rate on approach.
With all of that in mind, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the Charles Schwab Challenge:
- Outrights — 3.5U in to pay 25U each
- FRL — 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
- Full tournament matchups — 1U in to pay out 2U
- Props — 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each
Charles Schwab Challenge Bets: Outrights (3.5 Units)
Ludvig Äberg
My Bet: +1150
Best Available Odds:
The narrative has swung too far on Äberg as a prolific non-winner and as a steadfast Ludvig truther, I believe he has fallen victim of his own success. I choose to believe it is not a bad thing that Äberg has finished top-10 in six of his last 7 starts, and while he’s still chasing his first win in 2026, it’s not as if he’s forgotten how to win since his 2025 Genesis Invitational victory.
Äberg was the No. 1 player in my model by a significant margin this week, ranking 1st in the field in SG: TOT (L16 & L36), SG: T2G, SG: Ball Striking, SG: APP, and Birdie or Better Percentage. His odds are in a class of his own as the prohibitive favorite, and that is justified by the numbers. He is set to make his Charles Schwab Challenge debut this week, but will have the local crowd on his side from his collegiate days playing at Texas Tech.
J.J. Spaun
My Bet: +3200
Best Available Odds:
The 2025 U.S. Open champion has been on a mission to prove he was not just a one year wonder. After a sluggish start to 2026, Spaun has returned to his elite 2025 form, with a win and three top-25 finishes over his last six starts.
SG: Ball Striking, SG: Approach, Prox: 100-200, and Good Drives Gained are the foAur stat categories I’ve weighted most heavily for Colonial CC, and Spaun ranks top-15 in each. It’s his approach play that’s carried him throughout this recent run of hot form, as he’s averaging over a full stroke gained per round on approach over his last 8 events. A T6 finisher at this event last year, Spaun’s game is in great shape to chase his second victory in Texas this season.
Andrew Putnam
My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds:
At an event that has crowned short-hitting plodders like Zach Johnson, Kevin Na, Kevin Kisner, and Chris Kirk over recent years, Andrew Putnam profiles well to add to that trend.
Putnam’s history at Colonial has been strong with a T3 and two additional top-20s over eight career appearances. He’s been in excellent form of late, with a T5 at the Valero Texas Open and T18 at the Cadillac Championship over his last six starts. As one of the shortest hitters on Tour, Putnam has survived a stretch of behemoths like Doral and Quail Hollow, and now stands to take advantage of this more getable layout at Colonial. Putnam’s best result this season – a T2 at The American Express – came on a positional course of a similar yardage.
Putnam ranks No. 11 in my model this week, a credit to ranking top-10 in Good Drives Gained, SG: Short Game, SG: ARG, and Bogey Avoidance. He’s flown under the radar so far this season, but has a great opportunity to strike this week while in excellent form.
Austin Eckroat
My Bet: +13000
Best Available Odds:
The Oklahoma native may be a bit distracted by his Oklahoma City Thunder’s performance in the NBA Western Conference Finals this week, but he, too, will need to prevail over Texas to achieve his ultimate goal. Eckroat is already a two-time winner on the PGA Tour, battling the wind to win at the Mexico Open and Cognizant Classic. He credited his upbringing in Oklahoma as a key to navigating the wind under difficult conditions, and that should play a role at Colonial CC this week as well.
Eckroat’s form has turned a corner recently, finishing top-20 in three of his last four starts. Throughout that stretch, he’s leaned on the strengths of his iron play (5th in SG: APP over the last 36 rounds). Eckroat posted a career-best T16 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2023, and is playing well enough to add to his total of PGA Tour wins this week.
Mark Hubbard
My Bet: +17500
Best Available Odds:
With no shortage of opportunities, Hubbard continues to search for his first career PGA Tour win in his age-37 season. He came dangerously close in Myrtle Beach just two starts ago, where Brandt Snedeker ultimately chased him down to win by one stroke.
Even still, he’s shown us the approach play is in top form at the moment, gaining over 15 strokes on approach over his last two events. Hubbard is not a long hitter, but has held his own on shorter tracks like Colonial CC, which level the playing field for bombers and plodders alike. Hubbard’s history at the Charles Schwab Challenge includes a T9 finish in 2023, and he has not missed a cut over his seven career appearances. If the irons remain hot, he has a fighting chance to pick up his elusive first win this week.
Charles Schwab Challenge Bets: First-Round Leader (0.5 Units)
Keith Mitchell
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:
It is cliché to back Keith Mitchell in the FRL market, but he continues to give us no reason to doubt him on Thursdays. Mitchell came out hot at last week’s CJ Cup Byron Nelson, where he fired an opening round of -7. His ball striking is in great form, which should lead to ample birdie looks at Colonial CC if that continues.
Matt McCarty
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
McCarty is a proven birdie-maker, thriving on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2024 and pacing the field in the opening round of the Cadillac Championship three starts ago. Streaky on approach and putting, McCarty can heat up in a round quickly, and suits the course well at Colonial CC.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
My Bet: +7600
Best Available Odds:
Distance is not a prerequisite at Colonial CC, but is has definitely proven to be advantageous for the top total drivers in the field over the years. Yellamaraju has been incredibly consistent in that category throughout his rookie season, gaining in terms of both Driving Distance and Driving Accuracy in nine of his last 10 starts. He’s gone low on positional venues before, posting a season-best T5 finish at The Players Championship.
Tom Hoge
My Bet: +9800
Best Available Odds:
It’s a home game for Tom Hoge, who will have all of the TCU faithful from his college days here to support him. With no Aaron Rai in the field, Hoge is a reliable stand-in option as a set-and-forget FRL play.
Mark Hubbard
My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:
It takes elite approach play and putting to generate birdies, and that is what Hubbard has been doing best over the last month; he ranks in the top 15 in both categories over the last 16 rounds. A T9 finisher at this event in 2023, Colonial CC is a great fit for Hubbard’s game as he looks to remain in hot form.
Charles Schwab Challenge Prop Bets (2.5 Units)
Full Tournament Matchup: J.J. Spaun over Akshay Bhatia
My Bet: -125
I am very bullish on J.J. Spaun this week and bearish on Akshay Bhatia. It’s always nice when the matchup markets allow us to capitalize on both assertions with one bet. There is no doubt that each of these players loves themselves some Texas golf. They’ve collectively won three of the last five Valero Texas Opens. Focusing on recent form and course fit for Colonial CC, however, it’s Spaun who has the distinct edge.
Spaun is at his best on shorter, positional layouts that do not disadvantage him for his lack of distance, and instead reward accurate ball striking. He paid off that course fit at this event last year, finishing T6. Spaun has finished in the top 15 in two of his last three starts by leaning on that same profile of accurate ball striking. Bhatia, on the other hand, has struggled mightily off the tee since March and has lost strokes on approach in each of his last three starts.
Top-20 Finish: J.J. Spaun
My Bet: +160
Best Available Odds:
Continuing with the Spaun love this week, his consistent tee-to-green form over the last three months makes him a high-floor option in the placement markets. Spaun finished T14 at the Cadillac Championship and T5 at the Truist Championship, and did so despite losing distance to the field on these 7,600+ yard courses. At Colonial CC, Spaun can better flex his strengths as an accurate driver and elite approach player from inside 200 yards.
Top-20 Finish: Mark Hubbard
My Bet: +550
Best Available Odds:
Hubbard nearly won the Myrtle Beach Classic on a similar short and positional venue. He’s looked solid at Colonial CC in recent years as well, finishing T28 and T9 here over his last three appearances. Hubbard has never missed a cut in seven prior visits at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and is in great form leading in. He ranked 2nd in SG: APP at last week’s CJ Cup Byron Nelson.
One And Done
My Pick: J.J. Spaun
As much as I would love to choose Äberg this week in OAD, he’s been off the board for me since the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Spaun is not a bad consolation prize, however, and this seems to be as good a spot as we have remaining the rest of the season to roll him out.
Colonial CC is a great fit for Spaun’s game, as he proved with a T6 showing here last year. He’s returned to his U.S. Open-winning form once again in 2026, with a win at the Valero Texas Open and three top-25 finishes over his last six starts. With his iron game in peak form, he should be one of the favorites to contend come Sunday at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
If not Spaun, I would also consider playing Rickie Fowler, Ben Griffin, or Ludvig Aberg in OAD.
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Charles Schwab Challenge Bets: The Card
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own Charles Schwab Challenge bets, and see you on Sunday for the Memorial Tournament preview.
Photo Credit: AP/Chris Carlson
