USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Preview, Picks & Odds for Friday, June 12, 2026

By Thom Cunningham | Jun 11, 2026, 7:43pm

In an anticipated 2026 World Cup debut match, the co-host United States will hit the pitch against Paraguay from Inglewood, California on Friday night. Let’s see what the betting markets, odds, trends and data have for us in this Group D meeting with many wondering how the Americans will come out in an interesting group.

USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Betting Analysis

Despite being the favorite, the USA enters with a loss in three of four matches while Paraguay enters winning three of four matches. While the USA is also favored to win the group, it’s not as clear cut with plus-odds to do so and solid squads from top-to-bottom. This makes the moneyline intriguing, but also avoidable unless you like the underdog outright. If so, perhaps the spread is a market to look at with Paraguay getting -120 to cover +0.5-goals. Going through the trends, however, it seems the total might be the safest place to wager this match.

The Over has hit in six of eight matches for the Americans, while Paraguay has hit the Over in five of seven matches. Paraguay has scored at least one goal in seven of eight matches, while the USA has scored two or more goals in five of seven matches. The American defense is also a big question mark and the weak spot for this club, allowing two or more goals in five straight matches and seeing the BTS hit in seven of eight matches overall.

USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Best Bet, Pick & Prediction

Best Bet: Paraguay +0.5 (-120) at DraftKings
Best Bet: USA/PAR Over 2.5 (+125) at DraftKings
Best Bet: USA/PAR BTS Yes (+105)
Score Prediction: USA 2, Paraguay 2

USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Odds

USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Information

Date: Friday, June 12, 2026
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Network: FOX
Location: Inglewood, California
Venue: SoFi Stadium – n/a
Group: Group D

USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Betting Resources

USA vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Key Players

USA

Christian Pulisic – Last Game: TBD
Folarin Balogun – Last Game: TBD
Weston McKennie – Last Game: TBD

Paraguay

Miguel Almirón – Last Game: TBD
Gustavo Gómez – Last Game: TBD
Julio Enciso – Last Game: TBD

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Photo Credit: AP/Jorge Saenz

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.