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Best Bets: Lions () , Dolphins () & Titans ()
Best NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread
- Lions ()
- Dolphins ()
- Titans ()
New England Patriots vs. Detroit Lions ()
Live from Munich, Germany, we have a game between the Patriots and the Lions. The Lions have won four straight games, while the Patriots are 2-2 in their last four and coming off a massive home loss. That home loss was to the Green Bay Packers, and they not only allowed 45 points, but wide receivers Christian Watson and Matthew Golden each went for well over 100 receiving yards.
Now, their secondary has to contend with Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Isaac TeSlaa, and Sam LaPorta. Over the last four weeks, the Patriots have allowed 168 yards of production or more to wide receivers. Also, over their last three games, the Patriots have allowed 30 points to the Chicago Bears, 19 to the Miami Dolphins (which I’d consider a lot for them), and 45 to the Packers.
Another factor is the Patriots’ injury report. Wide receiver A.J. Brown has been limited in practice, running back TreVeyon Henderson has been ruled out, and fellow running back Rhamondre Stevenson is questionable and unlikely to play. As for the Lions defense, they mix up coverages, but they play Cover-3 more than anything else. Against Cover-3, Patriots quarterback Drake Maye has been OK, averaging 7.3 yards per attempt and throwing four touchdowns and three interceptions.
Miami Dolphins () vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts dealt a lot of players ahead of the NFL trade deadline, including Quenton Nelson, DeForest Buckner, Josh Downs, and Keenan Allen. They held onto Jonathan Taylor, but this team is gutted, and the morale has to be at an all-time low. At home, they’ll take on a Dolphins team that’ll have Kyle McCord under center with Malik Willis injured.
McCord is a sixth-round pick from the 2025 NFL Draft. He spent time with the Philadelphia Eagles before being released and landing with the Green Bay Packers. His time with the Packers matters because former Packers defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley became the Dolphins’ head coach, and they traded a Day 3 2028 draft pick to bring him to Miami. In college, McCord played for Ohio State before transferring to Syracuse for his final season, where he threw for more than 4,700 yards.
This is certainly a projection; McCord will also have running back Ollie Gordon to help. The Colts have allowed 158 rushing yards or more in each of the last two games.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans ()
The Jaguars made headlines at the NFL trade deadline, trading for Jordan Davis, Jessie Bates, and Davon Godchaux. These moves helped replace injured players like Davon Hamilton and Eric Murray. These moves are certainly creating buzz, but the Titans offense has been picking up steam lately.
Over their last three games, the Titans are averaging 28.6 points per game. In their last game, quarterback Cam Ward completed 26 of 40 passes for 304 yards and two touchdowns. The Jaguars defense is allowing more than 236 passing yards per game, and they’re also coming off a bout against the Ravens where they surrendered 142 total rushing yards to running backs.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
