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Top TD Picks: Jordyn Tyson , Kaleb Johnson
It’s time for the Sunday afternoon Week 10 slate, so we’re going to zone in on two anytime touchdown props. Last week on the Sunday slate, I whiffed on each of my picks, as Malik Willis and Ashton Jeanty had poor games. We’ll try to get back on track with a pair of appealing prices on touchdown picks for Week 10.
The targets for Week 10 Sunday touchdown props include Jordyn Tyson and Kaleb Johnson. I’m a big believer in Tyson’s talent, while I expect Johnson to carry the load for the Packers’ running game with Josh Jacobs sidelined. As always, be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game.
Jordyn Tyson (Saints vs. Panthers) Touchdown Odds
Jordyn Tyson is a talented rookie wideout who the Saints selected in the first round of this year’s draft. You may not remember because we’re in midseason now, but back in training camp, Tyson was making headlines seemingly every day. The first-year receiver was showing phenomenal separation skills. But then he got injured with a hamstring issue, which kept him out of action until Week 9.
In his season debut last week, Tyson caught 4-of-5 targets for 30 yards. He came close to finding the end zone, but ended up losing a fumble on that play. While the production looks modest, here’s the key: Tyson ran routes on only 35.6% of dropbacks in that game. That was fourth among Saints’ wideouts, behind Chris Olave, Devaughn Vele, and Bryce Lance. This limited usage was to be expected, since it was Tyson’s first game after a long layoff.
With five targets in such a limited role, the arrow is pointing up for Tyson. Clearly, he showed the ability to get open, making Tyler Shough look for him whenever he was on the field. The Saints have already publicly stated that they plan to get him more involved against the Panthers. This is a game with massive implications for the NFC South, so expect Tyson to play a prominent role. You can get him around +200 odds to find the end zone at the time of this article, which is an enticing price.
Kaleb Johnson (Packers vs. Vikings) Touchdown Odds
Josh Jacobs is dealing with a finger injury, forcing the Packers into an ugly committee backfield once again, or is it? Back when Jacobs was out, Green Bay couldn’t get anything going on the ground, so it’s unlikely to see them take a similar approach. There’s a good chance that we see them ride the hot hand this time around.
I’m betting that it will be Kaleb Johnson who gets 12-15 carries this time, especially since he looked quite good against the Packers. Johnson showed more burst than other running backs on the team, going for 68 yards and a touchdown on 14 attempts.
While Pierre Strong should factor in on passing situations, and Marshawn Lloyd should be back in action, Johnson is the best bet for production here. Facing a tough Vikings defense, the Packers will need to find a way to be less one-dimensional on offense. That means trying to get the running game going. You can get Johnson at around +200 odds to find the end zone this week, which is an appealing price for the likely lead back of this committee.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
