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We’re teed up for what should be a fun Week 10 slate, one that features the rookie starting debuts of Carson Beck and Fernando Mendoza, as well as plenty of new faces in new places following a busy trade deadline. There are also several noteworthy matchups on tap, including some intriguing division and interconference games.
Without further ado, let’s break down a trio of appealing player props to focus on. Be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page as well, for data and odds on every game.
Best NFL Week 10 Player Props
- Bryce Young Over 239.5 Passing Yards
- Kenneth Walker III Over 112.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
- Christian McCaffrey Over 97.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Bryce Young (Panthers vs. Saints) Over Passing Yards
The Panthers have an uneven 3-5 record, but Young has by and large taken another step forward in Dave Canales’ QB-friendly offense this season. The 2023 first overall pick has thrown for 274.6 passing yards per game, and he’s posted an impressive 16:6 TD:INT as well. Young is also unsurprisingly averaging a career-high 7.1 yards per attempt, and Sunday, he get a crack at the vulnerable secondary of a division rival in a dome environment.
The Saints have allowed the seventh-highest yards per completion (11.4) at home, along with a bloated 70.2% completion rate in that split. A lot of the chunk plays New Orleans is surrendering are coming from wide receivers – and Young has two particularly dynamic ones in Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker – as the Saints are giving up 14.4 yards per grab to wideouts. Sunday’s game has a projected total of 48.5 points (up from 43.5 on the early line), so a relatively high-scoring, competitive game is expected where Young should have to keep his foot on the gas.
Original Line Publish: 239.5
Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs vs. Falcons) Over Rushing + Receiving Yards
Walker has been an outstanding fit in Andy Reid’s offensive system, thriving as both a runner and receiver over his first eight games. The veteran back has accumulated 1,044 scrimmage yards over that span, along with 11 total touchdowns. Walker has had a couple of more modest games recently against the tough defenses of the Seahawks and Broncos, but he’s typically exploited favorable matchups like the one he’ll draw Sunday.
Atlanta is allowing 4.7 yards per carry to running backs, but they haven’t just gotten to the Falcons on the ground. They’ve also surrendered a 46-290-3 receiving line to the position, while Walker comes in averaging 109.0 rushing yards and 21.5 receiving yards per contest. Sunday’s game is projected to be a close, high-scoring affair, so Walker should be heavily involved throughout and have an excellent chance of eclipsing this figure on the fast track of Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Original Line Publish: 112.5
Christian McCaffrey (49ers vs. Cowboys) Over Rushing + Receiving Yards
The 49ers and Cowboys will play out the latest installment of their storied rivalry on Sunday at AT & T Stadium, and San Francisco’s top healthy skill-position players will all be in very favorable spots against Dallas’ suspect defense. With Mike Evans (Achilles) expected to miss another game, no one player may be in a better overall spot than McCaffrey, who’ll likely see some extra pass-catching work in addition to his usual opportunities on the ground.
The Cowboys have surrendered the third-most rushing yards (1,015) to running backs, along with a 40-247-3 receiving line to the position, so the matchup is certainly a palatable one. Dallas is also surrendering a generous 4.8 yards per carry to running backs, which helps ease some of the concern stemming from the fact McCaffrey is seeing a much lighter workload on a per-game basis than in past seasons. McCaffrey is still averaging 5.3 yards per touch and 17.3 touches per game, so if he consistently exploits the Cowboys’ porous front seven as lesser backs have before him, the Over is in play in a game that San Fran is a 4.5-point favorite in and carries an implied total of 30 points.
Original Line Publish: 97.5
Photo Credit: REUTERS
