UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan DFS & Prop Picks for Saturday, October 31, 2026

The UFC returns to the META APEX for a Halloween Fight Night after an exciting UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi last Saturday. UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan is headlined by a five-round lightweight bout between two top-15 fighters in the division. Fans are equally excited for the co-main event, which sees undefeated prospect Jacobe Smith step up in competition against Randy Brown in a welterweight showdown. The 12-fight card features several fan favorites and should make for a memorable event on the holiday.

Prelims for Saturday’s event begin at 5 p.m. ET. Here are the best props and DFS picks for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan.

Zach Reese vs. Mickey Gall – Zach Reese to Win by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 1 (+120)

The talented middleweight Zach Reese will look to pick up his first victory of the year after dropping each of his first two fights in 2026. The 32-year-old is now 4-4-1 since debuting in the promotion back in 2023. Despite coming up short in both outings this year, Reese is in a good bounce-back spot against Mickey Gall. He is one of the biggest betting favorites on the card, and we are backing the natural middleweight to come out fast against Gall, who is moving up a weight class for this fight.

Gall has already shown chin issues throughout his UFC tenure and will struggle with the power in the middleweight division in his debut at the weight. The 34-year-old arrives on a four-fight losing streak, with two of those losses coming by first-round knockout, and has now been knocked out three times in the UFC. Reese was known as a dangerous striker before arriving in the promotion, with five knockouts in his 10 career wins, and he will be highly motivated to secure a quick finish after his first two-fight skid.

Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith – Fight to End in Round 1 (+110)

The co-main event has everyone talking, and with good reason. The undefeated Smith has plenty of doubters around the MMA world after a relatively easy fight history through his first two years on the roster. The 30-year-old welterweight has finished all four of his UFC opponents and is rightfully the large betting favorite against veteran Randy Brown. Saturday’s fight will be the prospect’s second bout in October, following a sub-two-minute knockout of Bruce Whitehead at UFC 332.

That KO was the 10th of Smith’s career, and he now has nine first-round finishes in 13 professional fights. While Smith is once again expected to find an early finish, an opponent as experienced as Brown could turn that aggression against him in a surprise outcome. Brown, a former Ring of Combat champion, is no stranger to early finishes himself, with a fairly even mix of submissions and knockouts throughout his storied career. He also holds a significant five-inch height and six-inch reach advantage over the undefeated Smith. The co-main event is a big step up in competition for Smith, and we should find out whether he can continue his tear against a fighter as seasoned as Brown.

Ode’ Osbourne vs. Cody Durden – Under 1.5 Rounds (+135)

We’re predicting a relatively quick fight when flyweight veterans Ode’ Osbourne and Cody Durden meet on the prelims Saturday. The 35-year-old Durden has won just two of his last nine fights and is clearly on the back end of his career heading into his fourth bout of the year. He has been finished in seven of his nine UFC losses, including three of his four losses since 2025. He faces Jamaican fighter Osbourne, who does not arrive in the best form himself but could make some noise as the slight underdog.

The 34-year-old Osbourne has been involved in plenty of quick fights during his UFC tenure, with eight of his 14 contests ending in a finish for or against him inside 1.5 total rounds. It appeared he had lost his last fight against Alibi Idiris, but the result was overturned to a no contest after his opponent returned a failed drug test. With Durden more than comfortable keeping this one standing, Osbourne should be able to get his striking going, and based on recent history, one of these two is likely to go down.

Saturday’s UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan DFS Picks

Country	Player	Opponent	FPPF	Salary
🇯🇲	Ode’ Osbourne	Durden	43.9	$8,300
🇺🇸	Zachary Reese	Gall	51.4	$9,100
🇧🇷	Renato Moicano	Nolan	70.7	$8,000
🇺🇸	Joseph Kropschot	Klein	–	$9,300
🇺🇸	Julian Erosa	Lee	60.0	$7,600
🇸🇪	Theodor Berggren	Sezinando	10.9	$7,700

Ode’ Osbourne ($8,300)

We just touched on Osbourne in our final prop for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, and the Jamaican now headlines our DFS lineup for Saturday’s card. At just $8,300, Osborne is a solid value play as a betting underdog vs. veteran Durden in this one. We mentioned Durden’s poor form over the past few years, and whether Osbourne finds the quick finish as we predicted, or this one ends up going the distance, it’s hard to imagine Durden matching the output we should see from Osbourne in this one. The American southpaw has been in steady decline since his four-fight win streak ended in 2023, and has managed only two wins since then.

Zach Reese ($9,100)

Reese is another fighter we highlighted in the props for Saturday, with his $9,100 salary matching the outcome we predicted when he takes on Gall this weekend. The natural middleweight’s power will shine through, as Gall makes an ambitious move up a weight class after already suffering brutal knockout losses in the welterweight division. Reese should not only look more comfortable at 185 lbs than the career 170-pounder, but he also has a slight height and reach advantage that should help him find his range and secure an early finish.

Renato Moicano ($8,000)

We’re backing Renato Moicano in the main event, with the Brazilian entering as the slight betting favorite over Tom Nolan. Moicano comes in as the far more experienced fighter, and that should play a role in this one, with Nolan experiencing his first five-round camp in preparation for this fight. Moicano, a former lightweight title challenger, has faced some of the top names in the UFC and will be far more prepared for the moment than Nolan, who is taking a huge step up in competition in the main event. While the Australian comes into the event on a five-fight win streak, Moicano’s experience will shine through, with the Brazilian veteran looking to control this one on the ground and potentially find a submission.  

Joseph Kropschot ($9,300)

Highly touted middleweight prospect Joseph Kropschot makes his UFC debut on Saturday as the second-largest favorite on the card after a strong showing on Dana White’s Contender Series back in August. The 31-year-old submission artist arrives with a 9-3 professional record, finishing eight of his nine wins early. He will look to add to his six career submissions against another experienced grappler in Nick Klein. Klein also earned his UFC shot with an impressive DWCS showing but has been knocked out in the second round of both of his UFC fights. While Kropschot is most comfortable hunting submissions, he may need to lean on his striking a bit more against Klein, who has been very vulnerable on the feet so far.

Julian Erosa ($7,600)

UFC fan favorite Julian “Juicy J” Erosa looks to end a two-fight skid as the slight underdog against South Korea’s JeongYeong Lee. Erosa was knocked out in his lone fight of 2026 but now has a chance to use his veteran experience against the relatively inexperienced Lee, who also arrives on a two-fight losing streak. The 37-year-old had won three straight, all by finish, before this skid and still has his full array of weapons despite his age. Erosa has 12 career knockouts and 14 wins by submission, and he will not have to worry about Lee’s power as much as that of other opponents. His chin has been his biggest weakness, but if he can get this one to the mat and showcase his elite ground game, the veteran has a clear path to victory.

Theodor Berggren ($7,700)

We round out our lineup with another betting underdog, Swedish fighter Theodor Berggren, who takes on Brazilian striker Rodrigo Sezinando in a welterweight bout. The 26-year-old makes his second UFC appearance after suffering a knockout loss in his debut back in June. His opponent is also making his second appearance following a debut loss, though the general consensus is that the Brazilian is a bit more polished, while Berggren is something of a size bully in the weight class. Berggren earned his UFC shot on durability and a strong frame, but after being knocked out in his debut, many doubt whether he is fit for the task. Sezinando has a deep array of weapons to attack the bigger Berggren with, though the Swede could catch the Brazilian given the chin issues Sezinando showed in his own debut.

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