CJ Cup Byron Nelson Odds: Four Longshots & PGA Tour Golf DFS Picks
The PGA Tour returns to Texas with TPC Craig Ranch next on tap to host the CJ Cup Byron Nelson for the fifth time since replacing Trinity Forest in 2021. This will be our first look at the brand new Craig Ranch, which underwent a $22m renovation at the end of 2025. The new modifications have actually shortened the course yardage, and will now be more than just a bomber’s paradise.
KH Lee paved the way for longshot hopes at this event in its first two years at TPC Craig Ranch. While Jason Day, Taylor Pendrith, and Scottie Scheffler may have disrupted that trend the last few years, this type of birdie-fest setup lends itself to longshot contenders. We’ll look to dig for some diamonds in the rough in this article ahead of the 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson.
Let’s get to our 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on the golf odds listed below to bet now at the best available prices in your state.
CJ CUP BYRON NELSON ODDS
CJ CUP BYRON NELSON INTRODUCTION
TPC Craig Ranch is not the most remarkable venue on the PGA Tour. It lacks a unique identity, memorable holes, or noteworthy finishes over its first five years hosting the PGA Tour. With its length, forgiving fairways, and straightforward green-side complexes, we know that this type of course likely boils down to a birdie-fest and provides a slight advantage for those with above-average driving distance. With heavy rain expected this week, it should continue to play easily for this field.
The course has undergone an extensive renovation, so it may not play exactly the same as we’ve seen in its first five years. Even still, the property remains the same, and in soft and wet conditions, the winning score will still post well under par. The course will continue to favor the best players on approaches from beyond 200 yards. This layout will still reward aggressive birdie makers, similar to what we would typically see throughout the Fall Swing.
Read my CJ Cup Byron Nelson preview for a deeper dive into the course. Let’s get to our 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks, focusing on longshots and PGA Tour golf sleepers for your DFS lineups.
FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: CJ CUP BYRON NELSON
To identify “value” for any given week on the PGA Tour, I find it’s best to understand the consensus key stat profile first. Then, take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, Recent Form, Course History, and Birdies or Better Gained in easy scoring conditions are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a sleeper perspective, I will emphasize the importance of Comp Course History at similar second-shot, wind-exposed courses, and Proximity 200+ as areas to identify buy-low value and differentiate my player pool.
Mac Meissner
In a natural bye week for the best players in the world, you’ll be hard-pressed to find many players in this field who enter this event in good form. Mac Meissner belongs on that short list, however. He’ll enter this week on the heels of back-to-back top-10 finishes, and four straight top-30s.
Meissner is a very solid total driver, above Tour average in terms of both Driving Distance and Driving Accuracy. He should welcome the course overhaul at TPC Craig Ranch as well, as he’s yet to break through at this event. Colonial Country Club – which I believe is the best comp course to the new and improved TPC Craig Ranch – has been far kinder to Meissner. He’s finished T28 and T5 in his last two Charles Schwab Challenge starts.
Adrien Dumont de Chassart
I am dubious about Lanny Wadkins’ vision for the new TPC Craig Ranch layout, and especially with rain and soft conditions expected, this should play out like another flavor of a birdie fest that pushes beyond 20 under par.
If 30 under par is required to win like it was last year, ADDC has that in his arsenal. He won the Compliance Solutions Championship on the Korn Ferry Tour last season at -33. More recently on the PGA Tour, we’ve seen him settle into form with consistency. He’s made the cut in each of his last seven starts with six top-30s over that stretch. Dumont de Chassart profiles as a pure bomber, which may prove to be advantageous on these generous fairways and soft conditions.
Chandler Blanchet
One of the most impressive ball strikers in his rookie class, ranking top-20 in terms of Proximity from inside 125 yards and beyond 200 yards. That’s encouraging on TPC Craig Ranch’s new layout, which effectively eliminates mid-iron approaches, and instead asks for a balanced offering of wedges and long irons.
Blanchet is a proven winner at the professional level, picking up multiple victories on the Korn Ferry Tour last season. At an event that offers so little resistance from both the course and field, I believe this is a week where the most recent Korn Ferry standouts can find success. Blanchet nearly won the Puerto Rico Open (solo 2nd), and has now gained strokes both off the tee and on approach in five consecutive starts.
Zecheng (Marty) Dou
Marty Supreme is gaining some steam this time of year. He is coming off of a season-best T13 in his most recent start in Myrtle Beach. That marks his fourth top-20 finish this PGA Tour season, an encouraging start to his first full season on Tour since 2023. Dou has a mediocre stat profile off the tee, but a generous second-shot layout like TPC Craig Ranch should help him mitigate those shortcomings. Otherwise, he’s been very consistent from fairway to green this season, ranking top-10 in SG: APP, SG: ARG, and Scrambling.
As a Dallas resident, Dou should have plenty of experience playing this course and playing this style of Texas golf in general. That familiarity has already manifested in a top-5 finish at this event back in 2023.
Best of luck if you bet or play any of these golf DFS picks for the CJ Cup Byron Nelson!
Photo Credit: AP/Caroline Brehman
