NBA Rookie Of The Year Odds 2022-23: Banchero Flashes Bright All-Star Future

NBA Rookie of the Year odds are officially out. Check out the table below for the most current NBA Rookie of the Year odds, as well as our favorite picks to win this award for the 2022-23 season! Throughout the year, the NBA Rookie of the Year odds will continue to fluctuate, so stay updated below.

NBA Rookie Of The Year Odds 2022-23

The NBA Rookie of the Year odds are available in every sportsbook that offers NBA futures, so take a look below at the board to see each player’s odds. Some players have solid preseason value, while others are a bit riskier, given the uncertainty of their spot in the respective team’s rotation. Check out all of the NBA Rookie of the Year odds analysis throughout this article, too.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Rookie of the Year Race

Throughout the 2022-23 season, the NBA Rookie of the Year odds and Rookie of the Year race will be updated weekly on this page. Currently, Paolo Banchero has the best NBA Rookie of the Year odds and is the runaway favorite for the award after averaging over 20 points per game in the first half of his rookie season.

1. Paolo Banchero, Orlando Magic

  • Last Week: 1
  • 2022-23 Statistics: 20.3 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 3.7 apg
  • ROTY Odds:

Banchero is by far the favorite for Rookie of the Year this season, with Chet Holmgren missing the whole year and Jabari Smith Jr struggling at times. Paolo averages roughly 21 points, seven rebounds, and four assists per game as a rookie; he is in line to potentially be an All-Star in his first season! He should run away with the ROTY award in 2022-23, and at this point, only an injury could derail him. Even so, he has almost played enough games where it still might not matter.

As far as the NBA Rookie of the Year odds and ROTY award is concerned, team success usually does not mean quite as much as in other individual awards, such as the Most Valuable Player. For that reason, Orlando’s success is virtually irrelevant; however, the Magic have still had a few impressive moments this season.

The rangy length and skill of Orlando’s frontcourt players, such as Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Wendell Carter Jr, Bol Bol, and Mo Bamba, have been fun and enticing, to say the least. All things considered, if Orlando surpasses its win total last season and Banchero stays healthy, the odds should continue to heavily favor him.

Banchero’s NBA Rookie of the Year odds will only continue to improve. Check out Banchero’s recent highlights against the Boston Celtics, thanks to the NBA on ESPN YouTube account.

2. Benn Mathurin, Indiana Pacers

  • Last Week: 2
  • 2022-23 Statistics: 17.4 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.4 apg
  • ROTY Odds:

Don’t look now, but Benn Mathurin is closing the gap on Paolo Banchero in their NBA Rookie of the Year odds! Mathurin has been absolutely on fire recently, as he has had to step up and take more offensive responsibility with Tyrese Haliburton sidelined still. Haliburton has missed ten straight games, and the Pacers have only won one of those; however, the margin of these losses would be significantly greater if Mathurin wasn’t playing at the level he is right now.

In his past five games, Mathurin has posted close to 25 points, six rebounds, and two assists on 45% shooting from the field. His three-point shooting has been a bit down from his season average, but he’s making up for it by getting to the line and converting there. Additionally, Mathurin has displayed extremely crafty finishing skills around the rim, which was one of the scouts’ biggest concerns with his transition to the next level. In short, it has taken him no time at all to dispel those worries.

If Mathurin can somehow find a way to keep this scoring streak up and average close to 25 points for the rest of the season, it is not out of the realm of possibility for him to steal this award from Banchero, which was a borderline inconceivable thought just a week or two ago.

In my opinion, Mathurin likely has a strong chance at winning this award if Indiana decides to hold Haliburton out for a large portion of the last third of the 2022-23 NBA regular season. This is possible, as teams will not be hoping to tank for the Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes.

Check out Mathurin’s recent highlights against the Los Angeles Lakers through the Indiana Pacers YouTube channel. His athleticism, poise, shooting, and fundamentals are on full display!

3. Walker Kessler, Utah Jazz

  • Last Week: 5
  • 2022-23 Statistics: 7.9 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 0.8 apg
  • ROTY Odds:

Talk about a Rookie of the Year candidate that came out of nowhere! Walker Kessler has averaged an impressive 9.7 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks per game in his past 23 games. When Kessler starts, he is averaging a double-double with incredible rim protection for a Jazz team that desperately needs help on that end of the floor. He has done all of that in fewer than 24 minutes per game as a rookie!

Kessler logged some minutes at the beginning of the year but didn’t truly crack the rotation until the second fourth of the season. He only averaged five points and five rebounds in his first 21 games. It’s truly incredible to think that the Jazz not only got a handful of first-round picks but also got Kessler in that Rudy Gobert trade; he could be as effective in a matter of a few years if he keeps this level of play up. Keep an eye on his NBA Rookie of the Year odds.

4. Jalen Williams, Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Last Week: 3
  • 2022-23 Statistics: 11.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.8 apg
  • ROTY Odds:

It would be a longshot for Jalen Williams to overcome the significant gap between him and Paolo Banchero to take home the NBA Rookie of the Year award, but still, he has slowly chipped his way to third in our ROY Race. Williams has been a huge part of why the Oklahoma City Thunder are hovering around .500 and have a legitimate shot to be a playoff team in the Western Conference. Who could have predicted they would be this solid? Not me.

Williams’ biggest battle right now is time, as the season is already halfway over, and Banchero does not appear to be slowing down. It would take two things for Williams to win Rookie of the Year, which are not necessarily impossible: Banchero to sit most games at the end of the season and a 20-point per game average for the next 30ish games. Don’t count Williams out, though, as crazier things have happened in this league.

5. Keegan Murray, Sacramento Kings

  • Last Week: Not Ranked
  • 2022-23 Statistics: 12.1 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.0 apg
  • ROTY Odds:

Keegan Murray was drafted fourth overall to the Kings last season, and many people, including myself, questioned whether or not that was too high for him.

It seems that we were wrong, as Murray has been a pivotal piece for the Kings this season, averaging over 12 points per game on 41% shooting from deep. Murray’s blend of size, strength, length, and offensive prowess make him a tough assignment for any opponent, regardless of the fact he is a rookie.

What is most impressive about Murray’s 3P% (three-point percentage) is how poorly he was shooting the ball at the beginning of the season. In his past 26 games, Murray has shot over 46% from deep; that is an elite mark, even for the greatest shooters in the world.

Consistency is an area that Murray will have to improve in, even though his volume will likely change from game to game. Murray recently posted a three-game stretch of 2, 3, and 2 points. Obviously, that is not great.

However, he poured in a ridiculous 30 points on 8-for-12 from behind the arc the following game, shaking off that rough patch with ease. Murray has played better overall in the second half of the 2022-23 season than in the first half, but it would take something miraculous for him to climb much higher on this ladder.

If he consistently posts 25-30 points for the rest of the season, he could grab the Rookie of the Year award, but that is a huge “if,” especially with so many other talented shooters and scorers on this Kings roster.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds – Front-Runner: Paolo Banchero

The 2022-23 NBA Rookie of the Year odds frontrunner is none other than Paolo Banchero, the shocking (to some) No. 1 overall pick in last season’s NBA Draft. Many had written Banchero off as the first selection in the draft after Orlando’s mysterious draft process pointed towards Jabari Smith Jr. While there are still many years left for Banchero and Smith to reach their full form, it seems like selecting Banchero was the correct decision after all.

In his first season for the Orlando Magic, Paolo Banchero has already established himself as their primary scorer and an All-Star; he likely will make the All-Star team as a rookie, which is a feat that was last done by Blake Griffin over a decade ago. Banchero posts over 20 points per game, while pulling down roughly six rebounds, and dishing out four assists. The next step in his game is becoming a consistent three-point shooter, as he shoots in the low-30s from deep.

What makes Banchero so dangerous is his combination of size, athleticism, and skill. It was evident that he was the most NBA-ready prospect in last year’s draft and that has translated perfectly in his rookie year. Banchero might be one of the best rookies since LeBron James 20 years ago, which should lead him to a clear-cut Rookie of the Year award. His NBA Rookie of the Year odds at this point don’t have a ton of value since he is such a heavy favorite.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds – Second: Bennedict Mathurin

After former Arizona Wildcats guards Bennedict Mathurin was drafted, he immediately called out one of the greatest players of all time, LeBron James. It took all but one day for him to make a splash. Mathurin had plenty of moments as a sophomore at Arizona that spelled out “superstar” frontwards and backward; his insane leaping ability, defensive length, prowess, IQ, and superb three-point shooting were on full display all season long for Arizona.

Mathurin was drafted by the Indiana Pacers, who are actually better than everyone expected this season. Through mid-January, Mathurin has averaged close to 18 points and four rebounds per game, despite coming off the bench. An interesting thought is what would have happened if he was selected by a team like Detroit, where he would start and play at least 32-36 minutes per game. The injury to Cade Cunningham also would have given Mathurin such a high usage.

Regardless, his NBA Rookie of the Year odds were much tighter after the first month of the season, so there could be some value, but Banchero seems to be running away with the award.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds – Surging: Jalen Williams

A non-Top 10 pick has made his way into the Rookie of the Year picture, even if he is a longshot, to say the least! It took Jalen Williams a few games to acclimate to the speed of the game at the next level, but he has adjusted well, displaying his poise and reads in the pick-and-roll and his shooting from the mid-range and behind the arc.

Hypothetically, if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were to miss significant time (hopefully not, of course), Williams would see a huge uptick in volume; he would turn into a primary or secondary scoring option for this Thunder team. This future is a long shot, as evidenced by the +7000 odds, but it could be worth keeping an eye on it.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds – Long-Shots: Jaden Ivey (+3000) and Keegan Murray

As for Keegan Murray, we are very aware of one thing: he can score at a high level. Murray dissipated NBA Summer League defenses with his beautiful shooting stroke, strong interior finishing ability, and speed in transition; it was a beautiful display of basketball from the Iowa alum!

Murray’s situation does make me a little hesitant to sprinkle on his future, though. He’s playing alongside De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis, two All-Star caliber players who will continue to command a significant amount of shots and touches on the offensive end. Murray will keep getting some clean looks, but his situation is a little more complicated than Banchero’s.

Ivey averages close to 15 points, four rebounds, and four assists. There are plenty of years in the league’s history where this type of stat line could get him the Rookie of the Year award; however, those years did not have Paolo Banchero in them.

Ivey is in a similar situation to Benn Mathurin in that a Banchero injury or exceptional cold streak are the only variables that could catapult them to the top of the ROTY race. Still, we are merely one-fourth of the way through the 2022-23 season, so I don’t hate the idea of sprinkling a little bit on him just in case something weird happens.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds – Stay Away: Jabari Smith Jr and Shaedon Sharpe 

Once thought to be the surefire No. 1 pick, Smith fell to the third overall pick after a mysterious pre-draft process from the Orlando Magic. It makes sense for a team that doesn’t have the first pick in the draft to be aloof; however, it makes little difference for the lucky lottery winners to confuse everyone for months.

Regardless, Smith has an impressive combination of size, length, and shooting at 6-foot-10, and is likely, still growing. He was snagged with the third overall pick due to his sky-high ceiling, but it is clear that Smith is not ready to provide the production level to win the Rookie of the Year.

The primary driver for Smith’s struggles is his inability to create clean looks off the dribble. Against NBA-caliber defenders, Smith currently has to rely on his incredibly tough shot-making ability. 

Meanwhile, Shaedon Sharpe has flashed the star potential that many thought he had. I, for one, am pleased to have been right about his capabilities. Sharpe has a truckload of individual offensive talent but is still adjusting to the speed of the NBA. 

He has primarily been coming off the bench for Portland, which makes it difficult for him to produce big-time numbers to compete with the likes of Banchero or Ivey. 

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Key Factors

There are plenty of factors to consider when debating which rookies to bet on: usage, opportunity, and efficiency on both ends of the floor. NBA Rookie of the Year odds often mirror these factors quantitatively. Last season’s winner, Scottie Barnes, did not lead rookies in point, rebound, assist, steal, or block averages per game. However, Barnes was consistent and efficient on offense and defense and elevated the Toronto Raptors to new heights.

Additionally, Barnes saw significant usage at the beginning of the year due to Pascal Siakam’s injury, which helped him gain confidence early in the season; he posted 18 points and nine rebounds per game during that stretch. The lesson here is that there can always be elements of unpredictability and luck.

Paolo Banchero is the most obvious choice for Rookie of the Year this season, and not just because he was the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NBA Draft. After all, it was the fourth overall pick who won the award last season! The NBA Rookie of the Year odds heavily favor Banchero due to his volume, situation, stats, and play, which are the most important factors in eliminating certain draftees from contention.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Past Winners

The Rookie of the Year award (abbreviated ROTY) has yielded quite a few unexpected winners over the past decade, including Scottie Barnes, Malcolm Brogdon, and Michael Carter-Williams. Brogdon became the lowest pick (36th) to win the ROTY award in 2017, instilling confidence in future players who fall in the draft that they, too, can win the award. His NBA Rookie of the Year odds were quite literally non-existent. 

Damian Lillard was even once an underdog to win the award as the No. 6 pick; he was relatively unknown until he was drafted out of Weber State. The other six ROTYs in their respective draft classes were top-three picks, which bodes well for a player like Paolo Banchero from Orlando, especially after his huge start to the 2022-23 season.

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Conclusion

As we have seen before, the Rookie of the Year race can range from highly lopsided for the preseason favorite, which is the case in the 2022-23 season, to a complete surprise (think Malcolm Brogdon) from a long shot and anywhere in between. Based on talent, usage, and situation, Paolo Banchero is in a prime position to run away with the Rookie of the Year award; the NBA Rookie of the Year odds reflect that in the table above and continue to be more and more in his favor every single day.

Injuries and cold streaks have derailed players from individual awards in the past, but there is no indication that Banchero will fall to these award deterrents. Additionally, check out the Lineups YouTube channel to stay up-to-date on key games, previews, and injuries!

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds FAQ

Which player won NBA Rookie of the Year last season?

In the 2021-22 season, Scottie Barnes won the NBA Rookie of the Year award, despite not being a preseason favorite. Barnes helped the Toronto Raptors take a big step in an improved Eastern Conference and flexed his two-way power by being a great defender and solid offensive option.

Who are the past ten winners of the NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Scottie Barnes, LaMelo Ball, Ja Morant, Luka Doncic, Ben Simmons, Malcolm Brogdon, Karl Anthony-Towns, Andrew Wiggins, Michael Carter-Williams, and Damian Lillard are the past ten winners of the NBA Rookie of the Year award. The respective NBA Rookie of the Year odds for these former winners were certainly tighter in some years than others.

Who has the best NBA Rookie of the Year odds in 2022-23?

Paolo Banchero’s NBA Rookie of the Year odds in 2022-23 are by far the best. Banchero starts for the Orlando Magic and is one of their leading scorers, averaging roughly 22 points, seven rebounds, and four assists per game.

Has an NBA Rookie of the Year ever made an All-Star team?

Yes, there have been a number of players who have won NBA Rookie of the Year and also made an All-Star team. However, this is not an easy task by any stretch of the imagination. The last player who was able to do so was Blake Griffin, who won the award in his second year after sitting out his entire first season due to an injury.

How many second-round draft picks win the NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Winning the NBA ROTY award as a second-round draft pick is a daunting task. Oftentimes, there aren’t any NBA Rookie of the Year odds available for these players in the preseason. There has only been one player ever to win the award as a second-round draft pick: Malcolm Brogdon. He won the award in the 2016-17 season while playing for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Drew is one of the NBA Lead Writers at Lineups.com, specializing in betting content such as game predictions and player props. With a deep knowledge of players and prospects, Drew has an extensive edge in covering everything NBA.

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