UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim Betting Trends, Odds & Data for Saturday, June 6, 2026

The first UFC event of June 2026 is set to take place on Saturday, June 6 with UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim from the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s go through the entire fight card odds, betting data and trends for this weekend’s event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim Betting Trends

Ketlen Souza vs. Ariane Carnelossi Fight Trends

  • Ketlen Souza has seen the favorite win 5 straight UFC fights inside Meta APEX. She is the favorite given a 75.6% chance to beat Ariane Carnelossi.
  • Ketlen Souza has seen 4 straight UFC fights go the distance when facing an older opponent. She faces Ariane Carnelossi given a 66.7% chance to go the distance.
  • Ketlen Souza has entered Round 3 in 4 of 5 fights and faces Ariane Carnelossi, given a 70.1% chance to cover Over 2.5 rounds.

 

Jeisla Chaves vs. Yuneisy Duben Fight Trends

  • Jeisla Chaves is on a 7-fight winning streak and the favorite against Yuneisy Duben, given a 78.9% chance to win.
  • Yuneisy Duben has seen a finished result in 7 straight fights and faces Jeisla Chaves, given a 54.5% chance to see a finished result.
  • Yuneisy Duben has seen 4 straight fights end in Round 1 and faces Jeisla Chaves, given a 51.5% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds.

 

Jordan Leavitt vs. Joanderson Brito Fight Trends

  • Joanderson Brito has won 5 straight UFC prelim card fights and is the favorite, given a 64.3% chance to beat Jordan Leavitt.
  • Jordan Leavitt has seen a finished result in 5 of 6 UFC fights when facing an orthodox opponent. He faces Joanderson Brito with a 53.5% chance to see a finished result.
  • Joanderson Brito has entered Round 3 in 3 straight fights and faces Jordan Leavitt, given a 57.4% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

 

Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler Fight Trends

  • Priscila Cachoeira has lost 4 of 5 UFC fights and is the underdog against Chelsea Chandler, given a 48.8% chance to win.
  • Priscila Cachoeira has seen a finished result in 4 straight UFC fights when facing a southpaw and faces Chelsea Chandler, given a 58.3% chance to see a finished result.
  • Chelsea Chandler has entered Round 3 in 4 of 6 fights and faces Priscila Cachoeira, given a 55.6% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

 

Bruno Gustavo da Silva vs. Edgar Chairez Fight Trends

  • Bruno Gustavo da Silva has lost 3 straight UFC fights in the United States but is the favorite despite this, given a 55% chance to beat Edgar Chairez.
  • Bruno Gustavo da Silva has seen a finished result in 7 of 8 UFC fights and faces Edgar Chairez, given a 53.5% chance to see a finished result.
  • Bruno Gustavo da Silva has entered Round 3 in 4 straight fights and faces Edgar Chairez, given a 59.2% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

 

Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis Fight Trends

  • Marcus McGhee has won 4 straight UFC prelim card fights and is the favorite, given an 83.3% chance to beat John Yannis.
  • John Yannis has seen a finished result in 6 straight fights and faces Marcus McGhee, given a 64.9% chance to see a finished result.
  • Marcus McGhee has entered Round 3 in 3 straight fights but faces John Yannis, given a 48.8% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds despite this.

 

Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa Fight Trends

  • Matt Schnell has lost 3 straight UFC fights inside Meta APEX and is the underdog against Alessandro Costa, given a 20.4% chance to win.
  • Matt Schnell has seen a finished result in 9 straight UFC fights when fighting in the United States as an underdog. He is the underdog against Alessandro Costa given an 86.7% chance to see a finished result.
  • Alessandro Costa has entered Round 3 in 6 straight fights after failing to enter Round 3 the fight prior. He faces Matt Schnell with a 44.4% chance go Over 1.5 rounds despite this.

 

Iwo Baraniewski vs. Junior Tafa Fight Trends

  • Iwo Baraniewski is on an 8-fight winning streak and the favorite against Junior Tafa, given a 79.8% chance to win.
  • Junior Tafa has seen a finished result in 7 straight UFC fights and faces Iwo Baraniewski, given a 93.3% chance to see a finished result.
  • Iwo Baraniewski has seen 8 straight fights end in Round 1 and faces Junior Tafa, given a 73.3% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

 

Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna Fight Trends

  • Santiago Luna is on an 8-fight winning streak but the underdog despite this, given a 47.6% chance to beat Bryce Mitchell.
  • Bryce Mitchell has seen a finished result in 3 straight UFC main card fights but faces Santiago Luna, given a 45.5% chance to see a finished result despite this.
  • Bryce Mitchell has entered Round 3 in 6 of 9 fights and faces Santiago Luna, given a 65.5% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

 

Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan Fight Trends

  • Fares Ziam has won 6 straight UFC fights and is the favorite, given a 75.6% chance to beat Tom Nolan.
  • Fares Ziam has seen 4 of 6 fights go the distance but faces Tom Nolan, given a 48.8% chance to go the distance despite this.
  • Fares Ziam has entered Round 3 in 5 of 6 fights and faces Tom Nolan, given a 68.3% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.

 

Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan Fight Trends

  • Edmen Shahbazyan has won 3 straight UFC fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 37.7% chance to beat Brendan Allen.
  • Edmen Shahbazyan has seen a finished result in 7 of 8 UFC fights and faces Brendan Allen, given a 64.3% chance to see a finished result.
  • Brendan Allen has entered Round 3 in 6 straight fights and faces Edmen Shahbazyan, given a 66.7% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.

 

Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim Fight Trends

  • Gabriel Bonfim has won 19 of 20 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 49.8% chance to beat Belal Muhammad.
  • Belal Muhammad has seen 11 straight UFC fights go the distance when fighting in the United States. He faces Gabrie Bonfim given a 53.5% chance to go the distance.
  • Belal Muhammad has entered the final round in 7 of 8 fights and faces Gabriel Bonfim, given a 65.5% chance to go Over 3.5 rounds.

 

Photo Crdit: AP/Frank Franklin II

Post
Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

Hot Betting News Stories

Sign up to our newsletter to get lineups latest hands-on reviews, expert advice, and exclusive offers delivered straight to your inbox.
You are already subscribed to our newsletter. Want to update your preferences data?
Thank you for signing up! You’re all set to receive the latest reviews, expert advice, and exclusive offers straight to your inbox. Stay tuned!
Something went wrong. Please try again later
Sign up to our newsletter to get lineups latest hands-on reviews, expert advice, and exclusive offers delivered straight to your inbox.
You are already subscribed to our newsletter. Want to update your preferences data?
Thank you for signing up! You’re all set to receive the latest reviews, expert advice, and exclusive offers straight to your inbox. Stay tuned!
Something went wrong. Please try again later