Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (11/8/23)
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The Boston Celtics travel to face the Philadelphia 76ers this Wednesday (11/8/23). Get Celtics vs. 76ers player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.
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Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers Player Prop Picks
Which players will thrive in the Celtics vs. 76ers matchup?
Joel Embiid Over 4.5 Assists (-135 BMGM)
With James Harden gone, Joel Embiid has stepped up his playmaking duties to the tune of 6.2 assists and 8.3 potential assists per game (via NBA.com). Whether it’s posting up or acting as a roll man, Embiid is frequently drawing double teams and subsequently finding the open shooter on the arc.
He meets a Boston defense that has given up the third most pace adjusted open plus wide open three-point attempts. Maxey, Melton, Oubre, Harris, Batum and Korkmaz are all shooting above 37 percent from three, so Embiid has the surrounding shooters to morph potential assists into actual assists. Plus, Embiid should play heavy minutes in this matchup, which boosts his over probability.
Based on his odds, Embiid needs to hit five assists about 57 percent of the time for the bet to own a positive expected value.
Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 3PM (-136 FD)
Philadelphia has only faced one stretch-center so far, and Brook Lopez went 3/4 from deep. Joel Embiid doesn’t possess the mobility to aggressively close out on pick-and-pops, which bodes well for Porzingis. He prefers to operate from the outside, as 41.8 percent of his field goal attempts are three-point attempts. Embiid’s rim protection against Boston’s drivers will be desperately needed by Philadelphia too, so he won’t be eager to step out to the three-point line even if Porzingis knocks down a few threes.
Porzingis must make two three-pointers about 58 percent of the time given his odds.
SGP: Jayson Tatum 25+ Points & Tyrese Maxey 2+ 3PM & Joel Embiid 2+ Assists (-159 FD)
Jayson Tatum has breached 30 points in five of six games to start the year. The MVP candidate is scoring at all three levels, especially from deep (42 3PT%, 8.3 3PA). Philadelphia has allowed the fourth most restricted area field goal attempts, and Tatum is averaging the ninth most restricted area field goal attempts across the league. He’s shooting a remarkable 78 percent on those attempts too! Overall, it would take a horrible shooting night for Tatum to fall short of 25 points.
As stated above, Boston is absolutely bleeding open plus wide open three-point attempts, and they have given up the second most made threes to opposing point guards. Tyrese Maxey is scorching hot at the moment to the tune of a 44.2 3PT% on 7.2 attempts per game. He’s hit two threes in five of six games and should easily clear that mark here.
Finally, it would be shocking if Embiid failed to throw two assists given his usage, passing talent, and efficient teammates. He recorded at least two assists in 59 of 66 games last year (89.3%), and that was with Harden dominating the ball.
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