Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Final Match Preview, Picks & Odds for Sunday, July 19, 2026

And then there were two. We’ve finally reached the 2026 World Cup Final after a long, grueling, exciting and memorable handful of weeks. Spain will face Argentina in the anticipated showdown, with Lionel Messi undoubtably playing his final World Cup match against a team that hasn’t lost within regulation in over 35 matches. Let’s dive into the betting trends, data, numbers and odds for the World Cup Final from MetLife Stadium.

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Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Match Betting Analysis

As mentioned above, Spain is unbeaten in its last 37 matches – so despite the magic Argentina has provided thus far it will be tough to go against the Spaniards here. Spain is on a six match winning streak along with five straight World Cup match wins as a favorite. Argentina, however, is unbeaten in its last 14 matches that comes with 12 wins and just two draws. The draw seems reasonable with each team refusing to let go, but let’s move markets.

The Over seems fine to test if you fancy goals, with Spain seeing the Over hit in four straight matches after going Under the match prior. Spain has also scored Over 1.5 goals in four of six matches while opponent Argentina has scored Over 1.5 goals in 11 of 13 matches – 13 straight if you include extra time. Argentina has also allowed exactly one goal to opponents in four of five matches within regulatoon time. The Under has hit, however, in eight of 10 World Cup KO Stage matches for Spain.

The BTS has failed to hit in six of seven matches for Spain, while Argentina has seen the BTS occur in five straight straight along with eight of nine World Cup KO Stage matches. So while there is an argument to be made the BTS fails and the Under hits with a few of Spain’s data, there is much more to back regarding the BTS occurring. We’ll side with both team’s solid Over 1.5 goals scored trends but move markets from the total to the BTS to give us the Under 1.5 allowed for Spain, which has occurred in 11 straight matches. Moving to the BTS acts as a safety net for Over lovers here.

Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Match Best Bet, Pick & Prediction

Best Bet: ESP/ARG BTS Yes (-115)
Best Bet: ESP/ARG Draw (+200) at DraftKings
Score Prediction: Spain 1, Argentina 1

Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Match Odds

 

Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Match Information

  • Date: Sunday, July 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Network: FOX
  • Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA
  • Venue: MetLife Stadium –  3.1 goals per match; 5-2 O/U
  • Stage: Final

Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Match Betting Resources

Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Match Key Players

Spain

  • Mikel Oyarzabal – Last Game: 1 goal
  • Pedro Porro – Last Game: 1 goal
  • Unai Simon – Last Game: 3 saves, 0 goals allowed

Argentina

  • Lautaro Martinez – Last Game: 1 goal
  • Lionel Messi – Last Game: 2 assists
  • Enzo Fernandez – Last Game: 1 goal

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    Photo Credit: REUTERS

    Post
    Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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