Baylor visits West Virginia in Week 7 after both teams had byes this past week. Baylor’s last game was a close loss to Oklahoma State at home, while West Virginia lost on the road to Texas in a game that wasn’t that close at all. This game has a lot of potential since both need to rebound. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Baylor vs. West Virginia Odds
Baylor is a 3.5-point road favorite against West Virginia, and is also at -155 on the money line. The over/under is also at 54.5. This spread doesn’t make a lot of sense. Baylor has been a very solid team all year, while West Virginia might be in free fall. Baylor should be favored by even more here, even after some of their earlier struggles, they’ve just looked like a more complete team than West Virginia. The over/under here does make sense because West Virginia’s strength is on offense, and then Baylor’s offense is pretty decent too, but their defense will be the deciding factor for the over/under.
Baylor vs. West Virginia Prediction & Pick
The Pick: Baylor -3.5
There’s a lot to love about Baylor in this spot. The Bears still have a lot to play for and it starts in this game. The Bears have been all about efficiency on offense and for the most part it’s worked out. They are averaging 37 points and 436 total yards a game up to this point. The key has been about the balance between the run game and the pass game. The defense has also been very good on the other end, and is giving up an average of 21 points and 320 total yards a game. The key has been how good the rush defense has been too. West Virginia, on the other end, does have a good offense, but that’s about it. They are averaging 38 points and 455 total yards.
The difference will be what Baylor does against this West Virginia defense because they are not good. They are giving up an average of 30 points and 331 total yards. The Bears have stumbled this year, but they still have the talent to compete against the best in the Big 12. Baylor is the more reliable and consistent team here, take them because the Mountaineers might be in free-fall, and there’s a chance their coach is also coaching for his job.
Baylor vs. West Virginia Key Matchups
Will the West Virginia Front Seven be able to contain Richard Reese? Can JT Daniels take advantage of the Baylor secondary?
Richard Reese vs the West Virginia Front Seven
Richard Reese has been a very good running back for Baylor this year. He has 72 carries, 400 yards, and seven touchdowns on the year so far. His best game so far this year was against Texas State where he had 156 yards and three touchdowns. The Baylor offense is built around their running game, and then being able to pass because the run is established. The Mountaineers are giving up 186 rushing yards a game, with the most they have given being 200 to Kansas. Containing Reese is a huge key for the Mountaineers to win here.
JT Daniels vs the Baylor Secondary
JT Daniels has been a great bright spot for West Virginia. He has 1,209 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and just two interceptions. His best game was against Kansas when he threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns. Daniels has had a good start to the year and it’s been in large part to him reuniting with his former offensive coordinator, Graham Harrell, from USC. The Baylor secondary has been decent this year and has given up an average of 248 yards through the air. The most they have given up has been 284 yards against Iowa State. For West Virginia to have any shot in this game, they need to try and contain the Mountaineers and JT Daniels through the air.