With the 2019 season wrapping up, we saw some historic years from Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, and Michael Thomas. Already looking ahead at next season, Thomas and McCaffrey come in at one-two, which won’t be changing. With still plenty of offseason moves and the NFL Draft up and coming in April, ranks will be updated until next season. With PPR being the more standard format these days, the rankings reflect PPR scoring. Be sure to follow along with our NFL Trade Tracker and NFL Free Agent Tracker throughout the offseason.
Top 100 Fantasy Football Players
|Rank||Player||Team||Position Rank||ADP||Auction Value|
|41||Odell Beckham Jr.||CLE||WR20||4.8||$25|
|83||Ronald Jones II||TB||RB36||7.10||$8|
Cream Of The Crop
Christian McCaffrey put up a monster season, and a 1,000/1,000 season has been hit. He also added 19 total touchdowns, and outscored the rest of the league by a hefty margin. Looking at drafts next year, McCaffrey is going to be a pretty much unanimous number one overall pick. Now Michael Thomas is now the record holder for most receptions in a season, finishing the year with a 149-1725-9 line. He outscored Chris Godwin by about 100 fantasy points, who was the WR2. There were always grumblings of Thomas getting a big bump having Drew Brees, and yes he does help. However, Thomas quieted any critic when he still dominated with Teddy Bridgewater under center. This is now his second season with over 300 PPR points, and averaging over 20 fantasy points per game. Both McCaffrey and Thomas just scream stability.
Lamar Jackson was the QB1 for this past season, with 43 total touchdowns, 1,206 rushing yards, and 36 passing touchdowns. Even if we project some touchdown regression, Jackson is a rare talent with his rushing ability. He will be an early quarterback off the board, and this is different from the Patrick Mahomes situation last season. Jackson’s rushing floor/ceiling remains the same, and Baltimore’s offense has been focused around his strengths. I also expect Baltimore to get him another receiving weapon. Of course the difference from this year and last year is that you will be paying the premium for Jackson.
Dalvin Cook comes in at three for me, which might be a bit different from others out there. Cook missed a few games, but ultimately was healthy this season and produced a RB6 season in PPR leagues. He is a solid talent, who averaged the second most PPR points per game at the position. Cook is a workhorse, and in this Minnesota offense he is going to be a fantasy goldmine again. The rest of the running back names are what we have seen before. Ezekiel Elliott had over 300 attempts this season, and finished RB3. Saquon Barkley and Alvin Kamara both missed some time this season, and struggled to find the end zone during a few stretches. Not much changes with this, as we look for the workhorse backs we can rely on.
An injured Davante Adams only played 12 games this season, and finished as WR23. Adams saw 127 targets still, which ranked 14th on the year. Most above him played a full season. Both him and DeAndre Hopkins follow Thomas within their position. Tyreek Hill saw 88 targets in 12 games this season, finishing WR32 in PPR formats. His PPR appeal isn’t as high as others, but a full season with Mahomes will put him back into being a top tier draft pick. Chris Godwin was a breakout candidate last season, and boy did he deliver. He finished with an 86-1333-9 line, finishing as WR2 in PPR leagues.
Not many quarterbacks usually crack the top 100, given it is a deep position. But very rarely does a quarterback even sniff the top 20. You could even make the case for Jackson to be ranked higher. Last year’s late round quarterback targets all hit, and they will jump up in ADP this season. I am a bit lower on Mahomes this season, where I project more of a season in between last year’s and the year prior. Deshaun Watson finished the season as QB5, missing just the last game of the year due to rest. Watson’s rushing production gives him an edge, and he finished with over 400 yards and seven touchdowns. Dak Prescott came to life, this year, tossing 4,902 yards and 30 touchdowns. Prescott isn’t going to put up the monster rushing yardage, but brings steady production in that department as well. The Cowboys have put together a strong core around him, granted they keep Cooper.
Russell Wilson had most of his fantasy production in the first half, where his ceiling took a hit in the second half. Wilson still finished the season as QB4, and that is even with a lack of rushing numbers in comparison to his early years. Kyler Murray makes a big jump this season, who finished the 2020 season as QB7. While we can chalk up some aging and injured quarterbacks to him finishing that high, but the volume was there. He had over 3,7000 passing yards in a season where the Cardinals offense was not that great. He started to run more later in the year, ending up with over 500 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Cardinals should get another weapon or two in the offseason which bumps up Murray.
There is a group towards the end, with the names of Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, and Jameis Winston. All of them finished as top ten fantasy quarterbacks in 2019, with Winston finishing QB2. His volume was through the rook, and despite the 30 interceptions, he had over 5,000 yards and 33 touchdowns. Ryan had a similar year with 26 touchdowns, over 600 attempts, and 4,400 yards. The defenses were so bad at times where they had to throw the ball. They also have tremendous weapons at their disposal. Carson Wentz was the opposite, where he had no weapons, and tossed over 4,000 yards and 27 touchdowns. Wentz took a lot of heat at times this season, but he stayed healthy and delivered with what he had.
After talking about the first five backs in the rankings, I will be looking at the rest of the names more here. Derrick Henry is a free agent this offseason, and I expect him to return to Tennessee. Now that he is finally a workhorse back after those years splitting time with DeMarco Murray, he is a top tier fantasy candidate. While I don’t have him among the top five picks given their receiving value and factoring in both positive and negative regression with the group as a while, Henry checks in as RB6. H would have to duplicate stats from this past year to crack the top five in scoring next season. I expect positive regression with Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley who finished tenth or lower in running back scoring.
You will see it all offseason, but Leonard Fournette is due for positive regression in the touchdown department. He finished has RB7 with over 1,100 rushing yards and over 500 receiving yards. Fournette saw 100 targets last season, as he focused on that aspect of his game and being healthy in the offseason. He had just three touchdowns. Fournette should bounce back in the 7-9 range, with room for even more if he gets this amount of touches. When healthy he is a workhorse back, and will be a second round pick. Nick Chubb is going to be an interesting name if Kareem Hunt stays in Cleveland. Chubb finished as RB8 with 298 rushing attempts, nearly 1,500 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. He also chipped in with 36 receptions.
Aaron Jones clearly has the upside of a top five back that will go in the second round again, but can we bank on 19 total touchdowns again? Probably not. He works well in the passing game, and he didn’t even have a fully featured role with just 236 attempts. Jamaal Williams still checked in at times and had his moments. If Green Bay adds another receiving weapon, which they should, we will see a slight drop in numbers in the passing game. Joe Mixon finished the season strong, and ended up being RB13 in PPR formats. Not bad from the track he was on. With what should be an improved offensive line and better quarterback play, the Bengals offense get a major bump for me next season.
Todd Gurley’s fantasy value depended on his touchdown production. He had 14 total touchdowns and over 1,000 all purpose yards, but what we did fear did happen. He lost quite a bit of touches, but saw an increased workload down the stretch. Sean McVay sounded off late in the year that he had made a mistake in not getting Gurley the ball. I wonder if this carries over into next season. While he won’t be a first round draft pick again, the upside is worth biting on in the second round of drafts, and possibly third if he slips. Sticking in the division, Kenyan Drake is likely going to stick around in Arizona, and took over late in the year. Despite spending the first quarter of the season in Miami, he finished as RB17 in PPR formats. Drake is a high upside back to monitor for next season.
Marlon Mack was able to produce a top 20 fantasy season in PPR leagues despite not really having a role in the passing game. He had just 17 targets, and less than 100 receiving yards. Mack has a strong offensive line and volume on the ground, but the receiving game is not ideal. Phillip Lindsay had over 200 rushing attempts and 48 targets in the passing game. He finished as RB19 in PPR formats, and he continues to be a strong value as an RB2. Royce Freeman does cut into his workload, but we need to accept that at this point and project accordingly. Mark Ingram’s 15 touchdowns carried him to a top ten scoring season. He didn’t have the most volume, but was super efficient with the leading rushing team in football.
The Steelers offense suffered last year with injuries and just the state of the overall offense. James Conner took a big drop for me, and I am looking at several running backs I would want to use over him right now. He has a wide range of outcomes, just like the rest of the Steelers offense, but as mentioned with Smith-Schuster, we can’t just expect everything to fall back into shape. The rookie running backs from this past season have cemented themselves a bit higher, which may be a hot take once we get into the summer.
There were a lot of wide receivers that thrived in what ended up to be rather poor situations. Kenny Golladay ended up missing Matthew Stafford for half the season, but finished with a 65-1190-11 line. He saw 116 targets as well, and enters the 2020 rankings as a top ten wide receiver. Allen Robinson had Mitch Trubisky throwing to him, which was not optimal at all. He had 153 targets, leading the Bears by a wide margin, and finished with 98 receptions, 1,147 yards, and seven touchdowns. Robinson continues to make the best of poor situations after leaving Blake Bortles and Jacksonville. Tyler Lockett and DJ Moore are just on the outside of the top ten, but by a slim margin. Moore was in another situation where the quarterback play in Carolina was not optimal. While we will need to keep an eye on this situation again, Moore’s production shouldn’t be hindered too much. Lockett had another season over 100 targets, and produced a WR13 season.
JuJu Smith-Schuster is going to be an interesting name to follow this offseason. He has banged up towards the end of the year and suffered with most of the Steelers offense given the quarterback play. With Ben Roethlisberger likely returning, it isn’t a given that everything will be back to normal either. While I am not as high on him as last year, a top 15-20 scoring season is still a likely landing spot if the quarterback play improves. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs had opposite seasons, where Diggs took advantage of Thielen’s absence and finished with a WR20 season. Thielen missed six games, although left early in two of the ten he did start. He had a 30-418-6 line, and was headed for another big year. If he can stay healthy, Thielen will return to being a top 20 wideout.
Robert Woods had just two touchdowns, and is due for some positive regression. He had 140 targets, and posted a 90-1134-2 line overall. He is the Rams wide receiver I want heading into 2020 with ADP in consideration. Cooper Kupp is right behind him, who rebounded with a WR4 scoring year, but his ADP will be on the rise once again now that we have seen him deliver after a nasty injury. Calvin Ridley couldn’t finish the season due to injury, but had 93 targets in 13 games, and posted a 63-866-7 line. The passing of the torch is coming soon, and Ridley has 1,000+ and 8 touchdown type upside again this season.
We will need to see if Buffalo brings back John Brown, but they should. He had 115 targets in Buffalo, which wasn’t much of a surprise given the surrounding options. He finished with over 1,000 yards and had six touchdowns as well. This was good for WR22 in PPR formats. Mike Williams went from scoring all the touchdowns, to scoring just two touchdowns. He went from being a negative regression candidate to a positive regression candidate. He had over 1,000 yards on just 49 catches. He relies on the deep ball and the Chargers quarterback situation is in a limbo which has me in some hesitation. There is no doubt he is a special talent though. The Dallas passing game broke out this season, and Michael Gallup benefitted. He had over 1,000 yards in 14 games and six touchdowns. Gallup also had 112 targets.
Jamison Crowder ended up being a strong PPR value throughout the year. He had over 120 targets in New York, and finished with a 78-833-6 line. The Jets should add another weapon which would take some targets away, but he is a reliable WR3 option to have. Curtis Samuel had so many chances for big games this season, and he was the one who suffered with the quarterback play. I like him this season, but still have concern with who is under center. On the other side of New York, the Giants have a ton of weapons, with Darius Slayton asserting himself, and Sterling Shepard producing when healthy. Even though they are not the most efficient offenses, they continue to find themselves in spots where they need to throw. Plenty of rookies have asserted themselves into the picture, knocking down some of these names.
There is a pretty glaring front three at this position, ranking inside the top 35. Travis Kelce finished as the top tight end, and we had a new name in the top five. Darren Waller finished with 223 PPR points this season, and joined Kelce as the only tight end over 90 receptions this season. Kelce enters the season as the top tight end once again, and it is hard to expect anything otherwise with him and Patrick Mahomes firing away. George Kittle missed two games, and still finished top three. He was one of the three names over 1,000 yards, and is 1B to Kelce’s 1A. There are some names close in terms of volume, but these guys just continue to produce year in and year out. There were questions about Zach Ertz’s targets this season with a lot of play makers threatening him. That changed due to a lot of injuries in the second half, and Ertz was one of the very few healthy bodies to throw to. He had 134 targets in 15 games, and posted an 88-916-6 line. Tyler Higbee is a name to keep an eye on and if he gets the starting tight end job into next season and can keep this sort of volume he had over the last 7-8 games of the season, he will be ranked as a top eight tight end.
Baltimore was one of the top offenses this season, and we saw Mark Andrews make a major jump in fantasy production. He saw 98 targets, finishing with a 64-852-10 line. His connection with Lamar Jackson was eye popping, and he will remain a focal point of the offense. A fully healthy Evan Engram can be a top five tight end, but he has yet to show he can remain healthy. There is a chance he can be a bit of a bargain if the injury risk knocks him down a peg in the upcoming draft season. Austin Hooper and Hunter Henry are in a tier of their own, ranking inside the top ten at the position. Henry suffered another injury scare, but did play in 12 games, finishing as TE9. Hooper thrived again, catching 75 balls and had six touchdowns. He did this in just 13 games as well. These are relatively consistent names to target, because things get really dicey after that. Jared Cook rounds out the rest of the tight ends in the top 100, who finally got going later in the year. Cook had nine touchdowns, and ended up finishing as TE6.
Kenyan Drake is someone who can take a major jump, granted he stays in Arizona and locks down that featured role. The Cardinals ranked 15h in total fantasy points by running backs this season, and that was with David Johnson struggling and a rough offensive line and negative game script. Drake has loads of talent, but has never been fully used, and Miami was never going to be a situation where he would improve. Speaking of Miami, DeVante Parker finished as WR11 this past season, going for 72-1202-9. Ryan Fitzpatrick helped unleash his potential and he was healthy for the first time in a while. Miami has a pretty solid group of wideouts with Preston Williams also coming back off an injury. Both showed potential to be a strong duo. Courtland Sutton has a chance to be a top ten fantasy wideout this season, and I have him at WR13 at the moment. Sutton finished 2019 as WR19 in PPR formats. Sutton saw 126 targets, posting a 72-112-6 line. With Drew Lock set for a full year and Denver likely getting him some help, Sutton is primed for a big season. If Tampa Bay doesn’t make a move at running back, Ronald Jones is going to be a name to keep an eye on. He ended up as RB25, and was way more explosive than Peyton Barber. However Arians was a pain yanking him from the game after a mistake at times.
There are a few wideouts that are trending downward in 2020. Brandin Cooks is one of them. He had a very odd season, seeing just 72 targets, which was his second lowest, with his rookie year being the lowest. He finished the season with a 42-583-2 line, and had the second lowest catch rate of his career. Cooks also battled another concussion this season. T.Y. Hilton battled injuries this past season, which kept him out six games. He finished with 501 receiving yards and five games in the ten games that he did play. It was his lowest yards per reception of his career, and Jacoby Brissett certainly contributed to that. I’m not in love with the Colts passing game if Brissett does return. Devonta Freeman is another name that is trending down for me. He comes in as RB26 this season, after looking at him as a top 15 back last year. Freeman finished as RB18, so he wasn’t far off, but on the ground he did not look good at all. He made up most of his damage in PPR leagues, where he had 59-410-4 in the passing game. Le’Veon Bell finished as RB16, and I can’t draft him behind this Jets offensive line again and also within this coaching staff. Bell rushed for 3.2 yards per carry. which was the lowest of his career. The volume was there, but not sure how much that helps him at this point.
Second Year Players
We had a pretty impressive rookie class as far as fantasy production goes. Miles Sanders finished as RB15 and Josh Jacobs finished as RB21. Jacobs played just 13 games, and battled a shoulder injury in the second half of the season. We also had David Montgomery at RB24 and Devin Singletary as RB33 in just 12 games played. All four are in a position to finish higher than where they did in 2019. Sanders is extremely special, and worked well in the Eagles offense. However he got a featured role when Jordan Howard was out. It has generally been a committee approach in Philadelphia which would hurt Sanders upside. He saw 63 targets and produced over 1,300 all-purpose yards and had six total touchdowns. Josh Jacobs had an excellent year, rushing over 1,100 yards and seven rushing touchdowns. He lacked in the passing game, not because he can’t be a factor there, but because he wasn’t used. It was weird to see knowing Jacobs could be a factor there. That will be a question heading into 2020.
David Montgomery had 242 rushing attempts and 35 targets in the passing game. He wasn’t super efficient behind a poor performing offensive line, and it was tough to see him used the way he was at times. However the volume was still something to be after, and offensive line play should improve in 2020. I still prefer the other two backs ahead of him, and still Devin Singletary more. Singletary played 12 games in Buffalo, which was a good landing spot for him in the recent draft. He did battle a hamstring injury, and is due for some touchdown regression as well. He had nearly 1,000 all purpose yards and four total touchdowns. Singletary will likely see an increase in touches with Frank Gore likely leaving.
Out of the top 25 scoring wide receivers last season, all but two saw more than 100 targets. A.J. Brown and Stefon Diggs were the two. Brown saw just 84 targets, but posted a 52-1051-8 line, and also had 60 rushing yards and a touchdown. Out of the second year wide receivers, Brown enters as the highest ranked. His value will be dictated a bit by how the Titans address Ryan Tannehill’s free agency. Either way he is the real deal. Terry McLaurin is as well, and did in on a poor Washington offense. He finished as WR29 in PPR leagues, putting up a 58-919-7 line. The quarterback play is still not optimal, but we started to see him grow with Dwayne Haskins over the last few weeks of the season.
DK Metcalf saw 100 targets in his rookie season, catching 58 of them for 900 yards and seven touchdowns. There was some negative talk around Metcalf’s game being one dimensional, but that was not the case one bit. Playing with Russell Wilson is always a plus and the targets will be there again next season. Deebo Samuel had a really strong rookie season, finishing as WR31. He did a bit of everything, finishing with 159 rushing yards and three touchdowns. He also put together a 57-802-3 line. The 49ers have certainly found a starting wideout for years to come and his fantasy value will be there moving forward. Marquise Brown is down towards the end of the list, but still cracks the top 100 for me. He battled a hamstring injury that forced him to miss a few games, but had a few games he didn’t quite look right in. He was a deep threat and saw 71 targets. He finished with seven touchdowns, and has monster upside for next season.
Rookies That Can Crack Top 100
Landing spots are always the most crucial for rookies having immediate fantasy production. We saw Miles Sanders move into Philadelphia and have success, and then Josh Jacobs walked into a featured role in Oakland. David Montgomery got opportunity, but behind a struggling offensive line it hindered his upside. Terry McLaurin and DK Metcalf walked into teams where they had strong roles seeing over 90 targets. Looking at the draft this year, this is a heavy quarterback class, although none of them will be cracking the top 100, not even Joe Burrow. Instead there are some running backs that could find their way into fantasy relevance. CeeDee Lamb and Jerry Jeudy are the top wide receivers in the draft, and will be going within the first 20 picks. They are likely headed to teams where targets will be available and their fantasy potential will be there. Depending on the landing spots, these are the names that have a chance of being in the top 100.
There are quite a few running backs, starting with D’Andre Swift and Jonathan Taylor. With Trevor Etienne returning to school, these are the names that teams will be after. Both were wildly successful at the college level, and produced both in the ground game and through the air. There will be some spots where teams need a featured running back. A key aspect in viewing possible workloads is how many attempts or targets are going to be up for grabs. The Dolphins will have plenty of rushing attempts up for grabs, and with the amount of draft picks that they have, they are likely going to be landing a running back. While the offensive line needs improvement here, we still rank volume higher. The Chiefs might be letting Damien Williams go as a free agent, which means any rookie back coming in is going to be in a slight committee, but also in an offense that has catered to fantasy value for running backs.
Players That Could Be On The Move
I highly doubt the Cowboys move on from Dak Prescott and/or Amari Cooper, but they are free agents. The value in Dallas was high last year, although Prescott is going to be a higher pick than last season, and Cooper will be viewed as the same top 25 player. If they move, I don’t see their value moving much. Any team landing Cooper is in dire need of a wide receiver, and volume would continue in the same direction as being in Dallas. The Chargers have some decisions to make, as Melvin Gordon is a free agent and Austin Ekeler is a restricted free agent. Gordon suffered from the holdout, and showed up towards the end of the year once he got up to speed. What was clear was that Ekeler is more than just a role player and teams will be looking at him this offseason even as a restricted agent. I expect Gordon to be out of Los Angeles, yet the destination is still a question mark. With plenty of backs in the draft on a cheaper contract, that might be a route most take. These two names are some possibly movers in the ranking depending on how things shake out.
Kareem Hunt is a restricted free agent this season, and he showed no rust in the role he had behind Chubb in Cleveland. He had more of a role in the passing game with Cleveland, catching 37 balls for 285 yards and a touchdown. Hunt’s off the field issues pushed him out of Kansas City and into Cleveland. He served his suspension and teams will be looking at his talents. If Hunt lands a starting role somewhere, his ranking is going to skyrocket. David Johnson is a name floating around as a trade rumor. This makes sense given Kenyan Drake took over late in the year, and Johnson didn’t have that same flash in Arizona that he had prior. Tampa Bay has been linked, mainly due to Bruce Arians. If that move did happen he would move up the rankings, and it would be a knock against Ronald Jones II.
Everyone has an injury risk when you truly look at it, as it takes one play to end a season. However, some have been more prone to injuries over the last few seasons. Can we label Odell Beckham as injury prone? He played 12 and 15 games over the last two seasons, but we have reason to believe he wasn’t fully healthy. It sounded like he gutted out numerous injuries over the last two seasons, yet his antics are always in question after he has been on two toxic teams in the last two seasons. His ranking has suffered from last season. I have big concern for the Seattle backfield heading into next season with Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny suffering pretty major injuries that were season ending. Penny’s is going to be a lengthier recovery, but Carson’s hip injury is tricky. He will be back in full for next season, but I have some concerns about what his durability will be.
Kerryon Johnson has had two serious knee sprains since entering the league, causing him to miss a total of 14 games, and one required a surgery. I have some questions whether he can play a full season, and handle a featured workload. We have yet to seen it so far, and Detroit might rely upon another back to keep him fresh. Evan Engram is another one who just can’t stay healthy, but when he is out there he is extremely productive. Engram started just 14 games over the last two seasons, and 25 in the three years since being drafted. James Conner had a rather rocky 2019, partly due to the offense being in bad shape, but he battled injuries all year long. I talk about T.Y. Hilton a bit above where his injury history the last two seasons is knocking him down. He battled injuries in 2018 and put up one of his better seasons, but 2019 was when he played just 10 games and two of those he was not healthy in either. Hilton will be 31 next year, and durability is now a major question.
A.J. Green will be returning, although we are not quite sure where just yet. Green will be 32 heading into the season, and has had two seasons in the last three where he played just nine or ten games due to injury. He missed all of 2019 and we just don’t know how he is going to hold up. Alshon Jeffery will have surgery in the offseason, and was one of the many Eagles wideouts who went down last season. He will be 30 this year, which it feels like he should be 34-35. While he has been a bit limited, he can be a serviceable fantasy option when healthy. Green will likely head to a team in a more stable situation, which would bode well for his fantasy upside.