Mississippi State vs Alabama Odds, Picks, Predictions (10/22/22)

Mississippi State visits Alabama after losing last week to Kentucky. Alabama also lost last week in a thrilling game to Tennessee. This should be an interesting game because both teams need to rebound after last week. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Odds

Alabama is a 21-point home favorite and is also at -1250 on the money line. The over/under is also at 61.5. Alabama being this big of a favorite makes a lot of sense. Oddsmakers are banking on Alabama rebounding a lot in this spot after that loss last week. It also doesn’t help that Mississippi State lost last week too. This spread makes sense because of the rebound factor for Alabama. The over/under makes sense here too because both of these teams have very good offenses, but it also makes sense because oddsmakers are banking on an Alabama blowout. This spread has a chance of moving up a bit too.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Prediction & Pick

The Pick: Alabama -21

This spot screams take Alabama plus whatever the spread would be. They just lost a very emotional rivalry game to Tennessee and are going to be re-focused and re-energized coming into this week. Alabama has a great offense this year and are averaging 45 points and 513 yards a game. The defense has also been good, but hasn’t been as good as it normally is. They are giving up 18 points and 296 total yards a game. The loss to Tennessee last week was emotional and heartbreaking, but also was very uncharacteristic of a typical Alabama team under Nick Saban. The biggest aberration in the game being that Alabama had 17 penalties in the game, which was the worst Alabama’s ever had under Nick Saban. That will most likely not happen again.

Mississippi State has had a very good year so far too. They are averaging 35 points and 428 total yards a game on offense, while also giving up 22 points and 375 total yards on defense. The Bulldogs lost last week to Kentucky, and their reward is a road game against Alabama. Everything adds up to Alabama getting back on track and potentially rolling in this spot. The Bulldogs are a very good team, but they are entering a buzzsaw on Saturday so take the Crimson Tide.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Key Matchups

Can Mississippi State do anything to slow down Bryce Young? Can Will Rogers get anything going against the Alabama secondary?

Bryce Young vs the Mississippi State Secondary

Bryce Young has picked up where he’s left off from his Heisman trophy winning campaign last year. He has 1,657 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, and three interceptions. He also has a 67% completion percentage on the year. His best game was actually last week when he had 455 passing yards, two touchdown passes, and a 67% completion percentage. Mississippi State is giving up 222 passing yards a game on average, and the most they have given up was against Arizona when they gave up 276 yards through the air. Bryce Young is the biggest key for Alabama, because he makes them immediate contenders. The Bulldogs need to try and contain him to have a chance here.

Will Rogers vs the Alabama Secondary

Will Rogers has been great for Mississippi State so far this year. He has 2,313 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, and four interceptions on the year so far. He also has a 71% completion percentage on the year. Rogers has been integral for the Bulldogs because of the type of offense they run. The air raid is all based around the quarterback, so they need to be decent at the very least. His best game was in Week 1 against Memphis when he had 450 passing yards, five touchdowns, a 78% completion percentage, and just one interception. He will face an Alabama defense that has allowed 198 passing yards a game. Alabama’s main concern on defense is trying to contain Will Rogers and the air raid offense.

Jake Faigus, a Phoenix native, graduated from the University of Arizona with a bachelor’s degree in journalism and minored in sports management. He also has written for the student newspaper, The Daily Wildcat, as well as the Arizona Fansided blog, Zona Zealots. He currently writes for Aaron Torres Media and runs social media for Solid Verbal as well.

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