Oregon is coming off a huge win against UCLA that cemented themselves as the odds-on favorite to win the Pac-12, while Cal is coming off a loss to Washington. This should be an interesting matchup for the Pac-12 pecking order and specifically in the North. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Oregon vs. Cal Team Odds
Oregon is a 17.5-point road favorite against Cal and is also at -900 on the money line. The over/under is set at 58 too. Oregon being this big of a favorite might jump out a bit, but it makes sense because of just how much of a statement they made last week against UCLA. It’s also an indictment of Cal because they’ve struggled a bit, especially on offense. The over/under also makes sense because even though the Cal offense has struggled this season oddsmakers are banking on an Oregon blowout. This line has been steadily rising throughout the week, so keep an eye on if it moves up any more.
Oregon vs. Cal Prediction & Pick
The Pick: Oregon -17.5
Oregon has come a long way since Week 1 when they got blown out against Georgia. The defense was always going to be the story for the Ducks, but the offense has turned a corner and seems like they are playing like the best offense in the Pac-12. The key has been the running game, but also how good Bo Nix has been at quarterback for the Ducks. The Oregon offense is averaging 42 points and 517 total yards up to this point in the year. Their offense has been the epitome of balance too. Cal, on the other hand, has struggled a lot on offense.
The strength of the Golden Bears is their defense. The defense has been giving up 23 points and 393 total yards a game. Another factor working in Cal’s favor is the fact that they’ll have the home crowd in their favor. Oregon hasn’t been on the road a lot this year, and this could be a perfect spot for a let down for the Ducks after such a big win last week. The Ducks are the better team here and even though the spread seems like a lot, it just doesn’t seem like the Bears will be able to keep pace on offense at all.
Oregon vs. Cal Key Matchups
Can Cal’s defense slow down Bo Nix at all? Will Oregon be able to contain Jaydn Ott?
Bo Nix vs the Cal Secondary
Bo Nix has had a career revival with the Oregon Ducks. Nix got off to a slow start against Georgia, but he’s been great ever since. He has 1,809 passing yards, 17 passing touchdowns, three interceptions, and a 72% completion percentage on the year.
The most passing yards he’s thrown this year was 428 against Washington State, but his best overall game was probably last week against UCLA. He only had 283 passing yards, but he also had five passing touchdowns, and a 79% completion percentage. Cal is giving up 275 yards through the air, so Bo Nix could have another great game here too. If Cal can’t contain Nix, then this will get out of hand quickly.
Jaydn Ott vs the Oregon Front Seven
Jaydn Ott has been a bright spot for a Cal offense that has struggled all year to produce at all. He has 103 carries, 618 rushing yards, and five rushing touchdowns on the year. He’s a freshman too, which means he’s just going to continue to get better. He burst on to the scene against Arizona with 274 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, but since then he hasn’t done a ton after that game.
Oregon has been allowing 111 rushing yards a game, so Ott could get a lot of yards thanks to that average too. This is a big matchup because Ott needs to get going on the ground for Cal to have any chance in this game.