Washington visits Oregon in their annual rivalry game after beating Oregon State the previous week in a really close game at home. Oregon, on the other side, is coming off a blow out win against Colorado on the road. This should be a very interesting matchup for the Pac-12 pecking order. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Washington vs. Oregon Prediction & Pick
The Pick: Washington +13.5
Not many teams have given Oregon a challenge outside of Georgia this year, but this game could be different. These two teams do not like each other and in rivalry games like this a lot of unexpected things tend to happen. The biggest difference for Washington this year is the fact that they can score points under new head coach, Kalen DeBoer. Michael Penix Jr. also transferred in from Indiana, and has been a key cog in helping the Husky offense be revitalized. The offense scores 39 points and averages 496 total yards a game on the year.
The Husky defense has been up and down this year, but recently has performed better than they started out. It’s still a question mark for the Huskies, especially against an offense like Oregon. The Ducks average 43 points and 521 total yards a game on offense with both the passing game and the running game being very balanced. The difference in this game is the matchup between the Washington offense and the Oregon defense. Oregon’s defense has been good, but could be better, and going up against a high-powered offense like Washington’s could be difficult. Take the Huskies here. This is the best offense Oregon has played since UCLA, and even though it’s a home game for Oregon, the rivalry aspect also comes into effect here too and this should be closer than a 13.5 point spread.
Washington vs. Oregon Odds
Oregon is a 13.5-point home favorite against Washington and is also at -475 on the money line. The over/under is also at 72.5. The spread may seem a little high, but Oregon has been rolling through their schedule ever since the loss to Georgia in Week 1, and Washington has obviously looked good on offense, but suspect on defense. The over/under may seem high too, but both of these offenses can score at will with Oregon averaging over 40 points and Washington averaging just below 40 points a game. This spread could move down a bit just because it’s a rivalry game, so that’s something to keep an eye on.
Washington vs. Oregon Key Matchups
Can the Washington defense slow down Bo Nix? Can Oregon slow down Michael Penix Jr.?
Bo Nix vs the Washington Secondary
Bo Nix has been one of the biggest surprises in all of college football. He has 2,495 passing yards, 22 passing touchdowns, five interceptions, and a 73% completion percentage on the year. The most passing yards he’s thrown in a game this year was against Washington State when he threw for 428 yards, but the most passing touchdowns he’s thrown was against UCLA at five. Washington allows 238 passing yards a game and Bo Nix could take advantage of that pretty well. If Washington can’t slow down Bo Nix, then this game will be over fast.
Michael Penix Jr. vs the Oregon Secondary
Michael Penix Jr. has been a revelation for the Washington on offense. He has 3,232 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, five interceptions, and a 67% completion percentage on the year too. The most passing yards he’s had this year was 516 passing yards against Arizona, and he’s had four passing touchdowns in a few different games which was the most he had all year. Oregon allows a lot through air at 277 passing yards a game. His hot streak could definitely continue here. Oregon will need to focus a lot on stopping Penix because he’s such a crucial part of the Husky offense.