Dolphins Vs. Bengals (9/29/22) Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay Strategy + Picks

After an absolute snooze-fest of a primetime slate in Week 3, the NFL primetime slate in Week 4 is set to deliver much more in the way of fireworks. The Thursday Night Football game between the Dolphins and Bengals is one of the most anticipated games of the week, and I’m incredibly excited to see Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa match up for the first time in the NFL.

With so many high-profile players set to take the field on Thursday, we have a great opportunity to build a Same Game Parlay (SGP) with excellent value. This article will focus on building a SGP with correlation that can boost your payout and increase the excitement on Thursday night. Let’s dive in.

*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook

Dolphins Vs. Bengals NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay

If you follow me on Twitter, you know that we grabbed the Bengals -2.5 as soon as the lines opened for the Week 4 games. While that number is now gone, we can still include it as an alternate spread for our SGP. I believe the Bengals can cover the current spread (-3.5), but since we’re including other player props in this SGP, we can take the juice on the alt spread.

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In my player props article for this game, I wrote about how I believe this will be a breakthrough game for Joe Mixon, particularly in the receiving game. It’s been an inefficient start to the year for him, and he has yet to score a touchdown, but the Bengals’ offense is improving. That should help his efficiency, and I’m taking him to score a touchdown (-150) and his receiving yards at over 20.5 (-114).

On the Dolphins side, Tyreek Hill has already spoken to his rivalry with Bengals cornerback Eli Apple this week, and I believe he will make it a point of emphasis to score against him. Tua Tagovailoa also spoke to targeting Hill in that matchup, and I take note when players are that open about a particular opponent. I’ll take Hill over 71.5 receiving yards for this SGP, particularly with Jaylen Waddle hampered by a groin injury. I’m also adding Hill to score a touchdown (+150).

Put it all together, and we have a high-value SGP that looks very enticing:

  • Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 (-174)
  • Joe Mixon Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
  • Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-150)
  • Tyreek Hill Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
  • Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+120)

Full SGP Odds: +1611 ($10 wins $161.17)

DraftKings Banner Update $1,050

NFL Week 4 Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay Bankroll Builder

In these articles, I always include a simple bankroll builder parlay with a combination of low-money props to get us back to even odds. These can be a great way to subsidize your high-value SGPs as they have a higher chance of hitting and are “safer” SGPs. Let’s look at our options for this Thursday Night Football game.

First, I’m taking the Bengals alternate spread of +3.5 at -330 odds. I believe they can cover whatever the spread is when you’re reading this, but for the purpose of this bankroll builder, we’re going for safety. I’m also grabbing the over 36.5 points at -520 odds, and while the under has been hitting at a high rate on primetime games, we’re getting good coverage at ten points below the actual line of 46.5.

Finally, I’m taking a couple of Bengals player props. First, I’ll grab Joe Burrow at 225+ passing yards (-390). He’s hit that number in 17 of his last 23 games dating back to last season (74%) and two of three games this year. I’ll also take Joe Mixon to hit 40+ rushing yards (-670). While Mixon didn’t hit that number last week as he left with an injury, he had gone 14 straight games with 40+ rushing yards prior to that.

Full Bankroll Builder on FanDuel:

  • Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-330)
  • Over 36.5 Total Points (-520)
  • Joe Burrow 225+ Passing Yards (-390)
  • Joe Mixon 40+ Rushing Yards (-670)

Full Bankroll Builder Odds: +115 ($10 wins $11.58)

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I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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