NFL Week 3 Bills vs. Dolphins Same Game Parlay Strategy (9/25/22)

Week 3 of the NFL Season is here, and we’re set to watch an exhilarating divisional matchup between the Bills and Dolphins on Sunday. Buffalo has owned this matchup in recent years, and they are a 6-point favorite this week, but Miami is coming off a very impressive come-from-behind win over Baltimore. This article will focus on the best Same Game Parlay options for this game, and there’s a lot to choose from. Let’s dive in.

*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook

NFL Week 3 Bills vs. Dolphins Same Game Parlay

The first thing I want to add to this Same Game Parlay is the over. I was leaning towards making the over 52.5 points in this game a best bet in my weekly article, and I still might depending on the injury status of the Bills’ key defensive backs. For now, I’ll include it here as a great foundation to our SGP. The over would have hit here in three of these teams’ last five matchups, and none of those included Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins might not pull off the upset straight up, but they’re fully capable of putting up enough points to hang with the Bills and push the total over.

Next, I’m adding the Dolphins to cover an alternate spread of +7.5. You can get that spread at -170 odds. If that was the line for the actual game, it likely would have been a best bet for me. Like I mentioned, the Bills are dealing with injuries to Micah Hyde, Jordan Poyer, and Dane Jackson, in addition to Tre’Davious White’s continued absence. Of course, betting against Josh Allen has been a losing proposition recently, but the Dolphins have the receivers to make things interesting with Tua Tagovailoa delivering an accurate deep ball.

Speaking of those receivers, let’s add one in here. Jaylen Waddle is averaging 120 receiving yards per game so far this season, and you can still get his 80+ receiving yards prop at +198. That provides immense value for our SGP, and I love his big-play ability against the Bills’ banged up secondary. If the Bills play conservative defense, Waddle can pick them up with underneath crossers and screens. If they blitz, Waddle can take it to the house on any given play.

Finally, I’m adding Josh Allen’s rushing yardage prop at 40+ yards which sits at +110. Allen went over that line in six straight games and in ten of his last eleven prior to last week, but I’m not reading too much into that Titans game as it was a massive blowout. Miami is expected to blitz plenty in this game, and when they do, Allen will be comfortable taking off and scrambling to pick up yardage with his legs.

It’s important that the bets you select for your SGP have correlation as you want to combine wagers that are likely to happen together. I believe we accomplished that here. Put it all together, and we have a four-leg SGP that looks very enticing:

  • Total Points Over 52.5 (-110)
  • Miami Dolphins +7.5 (-170)
  • Jaylen Waddle 80+ Receiving Yards (+198)
  • Josh Allen 40+ Rushing Yards (+110)

Full SGP Odds: +1553 ($10 wins $155.31)

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I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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