It’s time for the NFL playoffs, and we’re starting with an exciting Wild Card round. On Sunday night, the Bengals host the Ravens in a rematch between AFC North rivals. You can find full coverage for this and every Wild Card game across the site and on our YouTube channel.
In this article, I’ll put together a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for this Wild Card matchup. With SGPs, we can combine multiple different wagers across various markets to get an incredible boosted value. As always, don’t put more than you’re willing to lose on these SGPs. While the payout can be great, the odds are high for a reason. Let’s get to work.
*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook
Ravens Vs. Bengals Same Game Parlay
When these teams played last week, Ja’Marr Chase had eight catches for 86 yards and a touchdown. It was the latest instance of his success against the Ravens as he has averaged 7.5 catches for 115.5 yards across his four career games against his divisional foe.
Chase has seen at least ten targets in each of his last four games, and he’s been unstoppable since returning from his injury with an average of 88.2 yards across his five games since his return.
This season, Chase has an elite 29.3% target share (sixth) and 36.6 air yard share (ninth). Cornerbacks Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Peters, and Brandon Stephens are all listed as questionable for this game as the Ravens have suffered significant injuries on the back end all season.
It also helps Chase that the Bengals will continue to pass the ball in this game regardless of how big their lead grows. They know that the Ravens have an excellent run defense with more of a susceptible pass defense – they had a 65% pass rate last week even as they ran away with the game.
For this Same Game Parlay, let’s play into Chase having a monster game. He’s certainly capable as he averaged 92 receiving yards per game in the playoffs last year, and Tee Higgins isn’t at 100% as he’s reportedly dealing with an illness.
Chase sits at +220 odds to hit 100+ receiving yards in this game, and that’s not an overly lofty number for him – he had 97+ yards in every game of a four-game stretch earlier this season, and the Bengals could lean on him in this specific game. In addition, we’ll take his touchdown prop at -105 odds.
Finally, I’ll grab an alternate spread on the Bengals at -6.5 for -184 odds. The spread for the full game sits at -9.5, and while I believe that’s a touch overinflated, if Ja’Marr Chase is having this type of game the Bengals should be able to win by a touchdown or more.
With those three legs, we’re left with a highly correlated SGP centered around one of the best receivers in the game:
- Ja’Marr Chase 100+ Receiving Yards (+220)
- Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown (-105)
- Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 (-184)
NFL Wild Card Round Same Game Parlay Bankroll Builder – Ravens Vs. Bengals
We had some mixed results with our bankroll builders earlier in the season, and I stopped including them, but I want to give it a shot in these articles for the playoffs. I’m testing these out for the Wild Card round to see if we can make some profit here, and I wouldn’t go overboard with tailing these as we’re still in the trial phase.
First, I’m taking the Bengals -2.5 at -430 odds. While I believe the Ravens could keep this game somewhat close on the back of their run game and defense, I’m confident the Bengals come out on top here, particularly with Baltimore still missing Lamar Jackson. At home, Cincy should have enough firepower to get the job done for us.
Next, let’s add Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yardage prop at 50+ yards for -420 odds. Going back to last season, Chase has 50+ receiving yards in 17 of his last 19 games, and it’s difficult to imagine the Ravens’ somewhat vulnerable secondary holding him down past that point.
Along with Chase, we’ll take Joe Burrow 200+ passing yards at -600 odds. He’s had 200+ yards in all but one game this season, and in that game he finished with 199 passing yards. Burrow has averaged 311.2 passing yards in his five career games against the Ravens.
Finally, I’m taking an alternate over at 29.5 points. While we’ve certainly seen some lower-scoring AFC North battles in recent years, you have to go all the way back to 2017 to find a game between these teams that didn’t have 30+ total points scored. This last leg is simply to get over the plus-money threshold, and you can certainly leave it off if you want.
Full Bankroll Builder on FanDuel:
- Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 (-430)
- Ja’Marr Chase 50+ Receiving Yards (-420)
- Joe Burrow 200+ Passing Yards (-600)
- Over 29.5 Total Points (-720)
Full Bankroll Builder Odds: +100 ($10 wins $10.06)