UFC 326 Betting Trends, Odds & Data

By Thom Cunningham | Mar 06, 2026, 5:22pm

UFC heads to Las Vegas for UFC 326 that features an electric main event between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira for the BMF Title. Below are all the betting odds, data, trends and insights you need to make informed wagers on Saturday, March 7.

UFC 326 Betting Trends

Luke Fernandez vs. Rodolfo Bellato Match Trends

Luke Fernandez is on a 6-fight winning streak and the favorite, given a 68.3% chance to beat Rodolfo Bellato.

Luke Fernandez has seen a finished result in 5 of 6 fights and faces Rodolfo Bellato, given a 77.3% chance to see a finished result.

Luke Fernandez has seen 4 of 6 fights end in Round 1 but faces Rodolfo Bellato, given a 48.8% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds despite this.

Rafael Tobias vs. Diyar Nurgozhay Match Trends

Rafael Tobias has won 14 of 15 fights and is the favorite against Diyar Nurgozhay, given a 63.6% chance to win.

Diyar Nurgozhay has seen a finished result in 4 straight fights and faces Rafael Tobias, given an 81% chance to see a finished result.

Rafael Tobias has seen 6 of 9 fights end in Round 1 and faces Diyar Nurgozhay, given a 55.6% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

Su Mudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar Match Trends

Jesus Aguilar has won 12 of 14 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 35.7% chance to beat Su Mudaerji.

Su Muedaerji has seen 3 straight fights go the distance and faces Jesus Aguilar, given a 60.8% chance to go the distance.

Jesus Aguilar has entered Round 3 in 3 of 4 fights and faces Su Mudaerji, given a 64.3% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel Match Trends

Cody Durden has lost 4 straight flyweight fights and is the underdog against Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, given a 42.6% chance to win.

Cody Durden has seen a finished result in 5 of 6 fights and faces Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, given a 71.4% chance to see a finished result.

Cody Durden has failed to enter Round 3 in 5 of 6 fights and faces Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, given a 61.9% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds.

Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes Match Trends

Alberto Montes has won 11 of 12 fights and is the favorite, given a 64.3% chance to beat Ricky Turcios.

Alberto Montes has seen a finished result in 5 straight fights and faces Ricky Turcios, given a 51.5% chance to see a finished result.

Ricky Turcios has entered Round 3 in 4 of 5 fights and facesAlberto Montes, given a 61.5% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Donte Johnson vs. Cody Brundage Match Trends

Donte Johnson is on a 7-fight winning streak and the favorite against Cody Brundage, given an 89.5% chance to win.

Donte Johnson has seen a finished result in 7 straight fights and faces Cody Brundage, given an 88.2% chance to see a finished result.

Donte Johnson has seen 6 of 7 fights end in Round 1 and faces Cody Brundage, given a 65.5% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

Cody Garbrandt vs. Long Xiao Match Trends

Cody Garbrandt has won 5 straight UFC prelim card fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 42.6% chance to beat Long Xiao.

Cody Garbrandt has seen a finished result in 6 of 7 3-round fights when facing an orthodox opponent. He faces Long Xiao with a 47.6% chance to see a finished result despite this.

Long Xiao has entered Round 3 in 6 straight fights and faces Cody Garbrandt, given a 64.3% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Match Trends

Gregory Rodrigues has won 6 straight 3-round fights when fighting in the United States and is the favorite, given a 62.3% chance to beat Brunno Ferreira.

Brunno Ferreira has seen a finished result in 6 straight fights against orthodox opponents and faces Gregory Rodrigues, given an 81.8% chance to see a finished result.

Gregory Rodrigues has entered Round 3 in 4 of 5 fights and faces Brunno Ferreira, given a 53.5% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.

Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson Match Trends

Michael Johnson has won 3 straight fights and faces Drew Dober as the favorite, given a 54.1% chance to win.

Drew Dober has seen a finished result in 8 straight fights against American opponents and faces Michael Johnson, given a 66.7% chance to see a finished result.

Drew Dober has entered Round 3 in 3 of 4 fights and faces Michael Johnson, given a 68.3% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.

Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas, Jr. Match Trends

Raul Rosas, Jr. has won 11 of 12 fights and is the favorite, given a 73% chance to beat Rob Font.

Rob Font has seen 8 of 9 fights go the distance and faces Raul Rosas, Jr., given a 69.2% chance to go the distance.

Rob Font has entered Round 3 in 8 of 9 fights and faces Raul Rosas, Jr. given a 72.2% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Match Trends

Caio Borralho has won 6 straight 3-round fights and is the favorite, given a 72.1% chance to beat Reinier de Ridder

Reinier de Ridder has seen a finished result in 3 straight 3-round fights but faces Caio Borralho, given a 45.5% chance to see a finished result despite this.

Caio Borralho has entered Round 3 in 6 of 8 fights and faces Reinier de Ridder, given a 66.1% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Match Trends

Charles Oliveira has won 12 straight fights against American opponents but is the underdog despite this, given a 37% chance to beat Max Holloway.

Charles Oliveira has seen a finished result in 6 straight 5-round fights when fighting as the underdog. He is the underdog against Max Holloway with a 69.2% chance to see a finished result.

Max Holloway has entered Round 3 in 18 straight fights and faces Charles Oliveira, given a 63.6% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.