Philadelphia Phillies Vs. New York Mets (4/29/22) Starting Lineup, Betting Odds, Prediction

Philadelphia was 82-80 in 2021, second place in the National League East.  In his third season as Phillies manager Joe Girardi has won over 120 games as the Philadelphia skipper.  Philadelphia is +3000 to win the 2022 World Series, they last won the title in 2008.  Their last playoff appearance was 2011, they made the playoffs five consecutive seasons, 2008-11.  The Phillies have won nine of their first 19 games this year.  The New York Mets were third in the National League East with a 77-85 record in 2021.  Buck Showalter in his first season as the skipper in Queens has won over 1,500 games as a major league manager with the New York Yankees, Arizona Diamondbacks, Texas Rangers, and Baltimore Orioles.  New York’s last appearance in the playoffs was in 2016; losing at home to the San Francisco Giants in the Wild Card Game. Currently the Mets are +850 to win the 2022 World Series, they last won the championship in 1986.  This season New York is 14-6; first place in the National League East.    

Philadelphia Phillies Vs. New York Mets Betting Odds

The Phillies are 5-2 in their last seven Friday games.  Under is 6-1 in Philadelphia’s last seven during game one of a series.  Under is 8-2-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. National League East foes.  Philadelphia is 6-1 in the last seven meetings against New York.  The Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 Friday games.  Under is 19-7-1 in New York’s last 27 Friday games.  The Mets are 15-6 in their last 21 games following an off day.  Under is 4-1-1 in New York’s last six during game one of a series.  The Mets are 4-1 in their last five home games.

Philadelphia Phillies Starting Lineup

LF Kyle Schwarber L
C J.T. Realmuto R
RF Bryce Harper L
DH Nicholas Castellanos R
1B Rhys Hoskins R
SS Didi Gregorius L
2B Jean Segura R
3B Bryson Stott L
CF Matt Vierling R

Philadelphia Phillies Vs. Tylor Megill (R)

In 2021, Bryce Harper won his second National League MVP in his career.  In 141 games, he hit .309 with 35 home runs and 84 runs driven in.  Additionally, the Phillies number three led the National League in doubles (42), slugging percentage (.615), OPS (1.044) and OPS + (179).  Bryce Harper is +1200 to his second straight National League MVP; third overall.  To start the 2022 season, he’s hitting .274 (20-73) seven doubles, one triple, a home run, 38 total bases, which leads the Phillies and a team leading 13 runs batted in.  Additionally, he’s slugging .521 with an OPS of .850. 

Last year, Rhys Hoskins played in 107 games, hitting .247 with 27 home runs and 71 runs batted in.  This season, he has five doubles, a triple, one home run, five runs batted in with an OPS of .707.  J.T. Realmuto hit .263 with 17 home runs and 73 runs batted.  The three-time All-Star had 209 total bases with 25 doubles and four triples in 2021.  The Philadelphia catcher is hitting .303 (20-66) in 2022.  He has four doubles, one home run, three runs batted in with an OPS + of 122. 

Kyle Schwarber who signed with the Phillies in the off-season, hit .266 with 32 home runs and 71 runs batted in while playing for the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox last season.  Schwarber had 221 total bases, .554 slugging percentage and an OPS of .928.  The 2016 World Series champion has hit at least 30 home runs in four major league seasons.  Schwarber has three doubles, four home runs, which leads Philadelphia, 26 total bases, 11 runs batted in with an OPS of .661.  Nick Castellanos hit .309 last season with 34 home runs and 100 runs batted in.  Additionally, he had an OPS of .936, .576 slugging percentage with 306 total bases as a Cincinnati Red.  This year he’s hitting .329 with three home runs, 11 runs batted in with an OPS of .921.  He’s +5000 to win the 2022 National League MVP.

Tylor Megill has been fantastic this season as he was thrust in the rotation due to Jacob deGrom’s shoulder injury.  In 2022 he’s 3-0 in four starts with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of .913.  He’s struck out 22 batters in 23 innings pitched while allowing six runs this season.  Against Philadelphia he has a lifetime record of 1-1 with an ERA of 3.60 with a WHIP of .90 in 10 innings pitched.

New York Mets Starting Lineup

CF Brandon Nimmo L
RF Starling Marte R
SS Francisco Lindor S
1B Pete Alonso R
DH Robinson Cano L
3B Eduardo Escobar S
LF Mark Canha R
2B Jeff McNeil L
C James McCann R

New York Mets Vs. Aaron Nola (R)

Pete Alonso smashed 37 home runs, drove in 97 runs, hit a career high .262 with an OPS of .863 in 2021.  The Mets first baseman is averaging 46 home runs and 109 RBI with a .542 slugging percentage in a full 162 game schedule. To start the 2022 season, Alonso is tied for third in the National League in runs batted in with 16.  He’s added three home runs with 32 total bases and an OPS of .730.  The New York slugger is +2200 to win his first National League MVP award. 

In his first season with the Mets last year, Francisco Lindor hit .230 with 20 home runs, 63 runs batted in, 73 runs scored and an OPS of .734.  The New York shortstop is batting .273 to start the new season (21-77).  He leads the club in home runs with four and has driven in 13 runs with 38 total bases for an OPS of .853.  Lindor is listed at +1000 to win the National League MVP award.  Jeff McNeil is a lifetime .300 career hitter, hit .251 in 2021.  He hit seven home runs, knocked in 51 runs with an on base percentage .319 in 386 at-bats.  McNeil is hitting .328 (20-61) to begin the season.  New York’s number one has hit a home run, driven in seven runs with 30 total bases for an OPS of .880 in 2022.  Eduardo Escobar in his first season with New York is hitting .269 with eight doubles, a triple, one home run, five runs batted in with an OPS of .858.

Starling Marte hit .310 with 12 home runs and 55 runs batted in playing for the Marlins and Athletics last season.  The first year Met is fourth in the National League in runs batted in with 15 in 2022.  He has two doubles, two home runs and an OPS of .652 in 2022.  Mark Canha in his first year with the Mets is batting .333 in 48 at-bats this year.  The outfielder has driven in six runs, scored three runs and has an OPS of .762 in 2022.

Aaron Nola is 1-2 in four starts with an ERA of 3.74 in 2022.  He’s struck out 25 batters in 21 2/3 innings, allowing nine runs with a .877 WHIP this year.  Nola in his eighth season in the majors has a lifetime record of 68-51 with a 3.68 ERA in 1,045 innings.  In 21 career starts against the New York Mets, he’s 9-4 with an ERA of 3.26, 1.171 WHIP, 152 strikeouts in 118 2/3 innings pitched.

Philadelphia Phillies Vs. New York Mets Picks & Prediction

Offensively, the Phillies are averaging 4.7 runs per nine innings, eighth in the majors.  They are fourth in batting average at .255 with a team OPS of .733, eighth in the big leagues.  Philadelphia’s pitching staff is allowing 4.59 runs per nine innings, 22nd in Major League Baseball.  New York is scoring 4.75 runs per game, sixth in the majors.  The Mets are hitting .259 as a team, second in MLB with an OPS of .736 which is seventh in the big leagues.  New York’s pitching staff is allowing 3.08 runs per nine innings, fourth in the majors.  I’m going with the home team Mets in this game to win by over 1.5 runs and the teams to combine for under 7.5 runs.  Tylor Megill will continue to pitch like a future ace, while Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor will continue delivering big hits for New York.

Scott is graduate of Hofstra University and has worked in the sports media for over 20 years as a Producer and Writer. His dream is to see the New York Jets one day hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy. He lives outside of Chicago with his wife and two children.

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