2026 Italian Open Tennis Betting Preview, Odds, Picks & Analysis
Tennis uses its copy-and-paste skills for a second straight joint-1000 level event on the clay court surface, the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – also known as the Italian Open. This event is the last big stop on the tennis calendar before Roland Garros, which is a few weeks out from now. Below, we’ll go through the Italian Open betting odds, breakdown of both draws, best bets and the Roma forecast to help you prepare for this fun tournament from a historic venue.
2026 Italian Open Information & Resources
- Start Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
- Location: Rome, Italy
- Surface: Clay (Red)
- Event Level: 1000
- Where to Watch: Tennis Channel, Tennis App
- Defending Champion, ATP: Carlos Alcaraz
- Defending Champion, WTA: Jasmine Paolini
- Daily Tennis Betting Trends
- 2026 French Open Betting Odds
2026 ATP Italian Open Betting Odds
- Jannik Sinner -230
- Alexander Zverev +1000
- Novak Djokovic +1600
- Rafael Jodar +2000
- Arthur Fils +2200
- Lorenzo Musetti +4000
- Joao Fonseca +4000
- Casper Ruud +4000
- Francisco Cerundolo +5000
- Jiri Lehecka +6500
- Daniil Medvedev +6500
- Alex De Minaur +6500
- Ben Shelton +6500
- Tommy Paul +6500
- Flavio Cobolli +6500
- Jakub Mensik +8000
- Felix Auger Aliassime +8000
- Alexander Bublik +10000
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +10000
- Alexander Blockx +13000
- Karen Khachanov +15000
- Hamad Medjedovic +15000
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +15000
- Alejandro Tabilo +15000
- Huubert Hurkacz +15000
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry +15000
- Valentin Vacherot +15000
- Andrey Rublev +15000
- Tomas Machac +15000
- Matteo Berrettini +20000
- Luciano Darderi +20000
- Jaume Munar +20000
- Terence Atmane +20000
- Ethan Quinn +20000
- Learner Tien +20000
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo +20000
- Corentin Moutet +20000
- Matteo Arnaldi +20000
- Mariano Navone +20000
- Arthur Rinderknech +20000
- Sebastian Baez +20000
- Cam Norrie +20000
- Brandon Nakashima +20000
- Ugo Humbert +20000
- Thiago Agustin Tirante +20000
- Fabian Marozsan +20000
- Denis Shapovalov +20000
- Tallon Griekspoor +20000
- Frances Tiafoe +20000
- Vit Kopriva +20000
- Roman Andres Burruchaga +20000
- Zizou Bergs +25000
- Zach Svajda +25000
- Zhizhen Zhang +25000
- Roberto Bautista Agut +25000
- Luca Nardi +25000
- Valentin Royer +25000
- Federico Cina +25000
- Jan-Lennard Struff +25000
- Mattia Bellucci +25000
- Marin Cilic +25000
- Jenson Brooksby +25000
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +25000
- Yannick Hanfmann +25000
- Marcos Giron +25000
- Daniel Altmaier +25000
- Gianluca Cadenasso +25000
- Miomir Kecmanovic +25000
- Francesco Maestrelli +25000
- Lorenzo Sonego +25000
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli +25000
- Damir Dzumhur +25000
- Ignacio Buse +25000
- Marton Fucsovics +25000
- Marco Trungelliti +25000
- Adrian Mannarino +25000
- Alex Michelsen +25000
- Alexsandar Vukic +25000
- Alexei Popyrin +25000
- Botic Van De Zandschulp +25000
- Alexandre Muller +25000
- Sebastian Ofner +25000
- Alexander Shevchenko +25000
2026 WTA Italian Open Betting Odds
- Aryna Sabalenka +240
- Iga Swiatek +450
- Elena Rybakina +550
- Mirra Andreeva +600
- Coco Gauff +1100
- Karolina Muchova +1400
- Marta Kostyuk +1400
- Jessica Pegula +2000
- Victoria Mboko +2200
- Elina Svitolina +2500
- Amanda Anisimova +2800
- Belinda Bencic +3000
- Qinwen Zheng +3300
- Naomi Osaka +4000
- Jelena Ostapenko +6000
- Madison Keys +6000
- Iva Jovic +6600
- Barbora Krejcikova +6600
- Linda Noskova +6600
- Diana Shnaider +7000
- Ekaterina Alexandrova +8000
- Liudmila Samsonova +9000
- Clara Tauson +9000
- Karolina Pliskova +10000
- Jasmine Paolini +10000
- Elise Mertens +12500
- Emma Navarro +12500
- Leylah Fernandez +12500
- Anna Kalinskaya +15000
- Bianca Andreescu +15000
- Dayana Yastremska +15000
- Hailey Baptiste +15000
- Daria Kasatkina +15000
- Emma Raducanu +15000
- Talia Gibson +15000
- Sorana Cirstea +17500
- Tereza Valentova +17500
- Peyton Stearns +17500
- Anna Bondar +17500
- Caty McNally +20000
- Katerina Siniakova +20000
- Maria Sakkari +20000
- Cristina Bucsa +25000
- Sara Bejlek +25000
- Elisabetta Cocciaretto +25000
- Ann Li +25000
- Jaqueline Cristian +25000
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro +25000
- Beatriz Haddad Maia +25000
- Marie Bouzkova +27500
- Katie Boulter +27500
- McCartney Kessler +30000
- Alexandra Eala +30000
- Eva Lys +30000
- Yulia Putintseva +30000
- Antonia Ruzic +35000
- Solana Sierra +35000
- Magda Linette +35000
- Tyra Grant +35000
- Zeynep Sonmez +35000
- Oleksandra Oliynykova +40000
- Xinyu Wang +40000
- Sofia Kenin +40000
- Janice Tjen +40000
- Oksana Selekhmetova +40000
- Magdalena Frech +50000
- Maya Joint +50000
- Lois Boisson +50000
- Petra Marcinko +50000
- Anastasia Zakharova +50000
- Yuliia Starodubtseva +50000
- Elsa Jacquemot +75000
- Laura Siegmund +75000
- Panna Udvardy +80000
- Shuai Zhang +100000
- Martina Trevisan +100000
- Viktorija Golubic +100000
- Lisa Pigato +125000
- Lucia Bronzetti +125000
- Tatjana Maria +150000
- Lucrezia Stefanini +150000
- Jennifer Ruggeri +150000
- Nuria Brancaccio +150000
2026 Italian Open Forecast
A Look At The Draw
Men’s Quarter 1
Jannik Sinner. This is where we start and end. In all seriousness though, how can we look past him? With Carlos Alcaraz now out of the event, it’s hard not to pick Sinner for this event, let alone the quarter. Especially playing in his home country and quoted for saying he feels healthy, Sinner should win in Rome. Around him lies some solid competition such as Matteo Berrettini and Jakub Mensik, but it’s hard to back either against Sinner.
Under Sinner lies Arthur Fils, who does pose a potential upset threat to Sinner despite it not working out in Madrid. Fils is one of the few who is dominant enough on clay and athletic enough to beat Sinner on an ‘off’ day from the Italian. Ben Shelton is also athletic enough to beat Sinner on a random chance, but the comfort level on clay isn’t as strong as Fils’. Shelton and Fils would be the best names to back outside Sinner in Quarter 1, and a longshot look at maybe Andrey Rublev – but Sinner is the only pick at the moment while a sleeper to advance is unlikely despite the strong names that could fit that role well here.
Quarter 1 Pick: Jannik Sinner -230
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Ben Shelton +6500
Men’s Quarter 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime has quietly secured a Top 4 seed at an ATP 1000 level event as the first name in Quarter 2’s bracket. His road isn’t easy, though, as his first opponent could be clay court merchant Mariano Navone or fellow countryman Denis Shapovalov. Under FAA’s section lies the very vibrant dark horse selection of Joao Fonseca, while under that lies even more difficult opponents in Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Valentin Vacherot. For FAA, it is a draw he is capable of advancing through but it won’t be easy.
At the bottom of Quarter 2 lies Daniil Medvedev, who is an easy fade on clay despite playing well in Madrid. The draw was set up nicely for him to advance, however. In Rome, he will get the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Tomas Machac winner but has a real chance to go far again, should he advance past the winner of that match. The top of Meddy’s section is more concerning with Cam Norrie, Flavio Cobolli, Thiago Agustin Tirante, Terence Atmane and Zizou Bergs. It’s a gauntlet that Medvedev will likely get the scraps of.
Despite Meddy’s path a winnable one, it’s still hard to back him as a quarter winner on clay. This section is chaos waiting to happen, though, so feel free to shoot high here as a sleeper pick is likely to advance here.
Quarter 2 Pick: Felix Auger Aliassime +8000
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Joao Fonseca +4000
Men’s Quarter 3
Lorenzo Musetti is the No. 8 seed in Rome, entering his home country event at the top of the Quarter 3 bracket. His form is still far from his past-dominant play on clay, but his latest results have shown some improvement. He will have his work cut out for him with Francisco Cerundolo, Alejandro Tabilo and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard all lumped in his section. Under him also lies both Casper Ruud and Jiri Lehecka, where the winner of that potential meeting is likely to be your Quarter 3 winner.
There is one name to mention, though. Novak Djokovic. The Joker is at the very bottom of Quarter 3 as the No. 3 seed in Rome. While Joker is a fine pick to win this quarter, his presence only adds juice to both Ruud and Lehecka’s odds (along with everyone else). So if you like Novak then more power to you, but his participation just gives you a better deal on likely winners Ruud, Lehecka, Musetti, etc…
Ruud woke up last week, and we all know how elite he can turn on his skill set when playing on a clay court. Musetti would be one to pass but Lehecka becomes the big question. For us, we’ll pass and go with Ruud as our sleeper but Novak in the lineup allows you to go after some other names too if desired. As for Novak, he actually has a pretty nice draw with no real names as a stand out threat. However, he hasn’t played in quite some time while put in a draw with the names mentioned above and more. Taking Novak is fine and recommended, but be sure to have another ticket in this quarter as well.
Quarter 3 Pick: Novak Djokovic +1600
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Casper Ruud +4000
Men’s Quarter 4
Alex De Minaur is the name at the top of Quarter 4 as the No. 6 seed, but his results lately are worth fading. This is very true considering Rafael Jodar is lumped in his section, a poses a massive threat to disrupt the brackets in Italy. Jodar actually presents the best odds to win the quarter, and should be your top take based on skill set and value. We’ll get to Alexander Zverev in a bit, but much like Novak in Quarter 3, Zverev’s name adds more value to players around him. So Jodar is our top take here, but Alexander Bublik is a great choice to potentially knock Jodar off his clay court high-horse.
Bublik is in a section with Learner Tien, who is not a great player on clay. Look for Bublik to take advantage and see solid advancement in Rome. While Zverev is a consistent pick to win most quarters, this one will be difficult with names in his section such as Tallon Griekspoor, Tommy Paul, Hubert Hurkacz and Luciano Darderi. Zverev should be fine to reach the quarterfinals on paper, but it won’t be easy while Jodar or Bublik above pose a massive threat to disrupt this quarter.
Quarter 4 Pick: Alexander Zverev +1000
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Rafael Jodar +2000
Women’s Quarter 1
Aryna Sabalenka is looking to rebound after an insane match against Hailey Baptiste saw her leave Madrid early. She is the top seed, settled at the very top of the bracket. Sorana Cirstea is the first name that stands out who can threaten Sabalenka early in this draw, although unlikely with Cirstea seemingly dealing with some issue the last few weeks now with a walkover and her lack of energy last match.
If Cirstea is healthy, then Sabalenka could be in danger early but otherwise she should reach the Sweet 16 with ease. Under Sabalenka’s section lies Linda Noskova, the tournament’s No. 13 seed and seemingly growing with confidence each tournament. Clara Tauson also get a BYE in this section, but has spent too much time away with an injury to seriously consider knocking out Sabalenka from the quarter.
More players with injuries are found in this section, as the No. 6 seed Amanda Anisimova is also hard to back with her injury status. Jelena Ostapenko and Qinwen Zheng are probably the best bets from the bottom of this section with Anisimova’s injury, each capable of beating Sabalenka should they go on runs. Above this section is Belinda Bencic, who fell victim to the Baptiste-buzzsaw in Madrid and looking to rebound with conviction. Bencic has an easier path than the Zheng, Penko and Anisimova section – so she becomes our top sleeper pick from Quarter 1.
Quarter 1 Pick: Aryna Sabalenka +240
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Belinda Bencic +3000
Women’s Quarter 2
Coco Gauff holds down the top spot in Quarter 2 as the No. 3 seed, and should see solid results unless Emma Raducanu provides a potential upset. Gauff is solid on clay while Emma has been out for some time, so push comes to shove we’ll side with the American here but it’s not a lock by any means. Marie Bouzkova and Iva Jovic are the seeded players under Coco’s section, as the former has a title in Bogota this season. Jovic is playing better lately, but still hard to back as a quarter winner on a major clay court event.
Looking at all the names, barring a great performance from Raducanu which could see Gauff out early, Coco really has no excuse not to reach the Sweet 16 here. The defending champion is in the bottom half of Quarter 2 with Jasmine Paolini looking to turn her season around in her home country as the No. 9 seed. She is set up nicely for a possible Round of 32 encounter with Elise Mertens, while the winner of Jaqueline Cristian and Beatriz Haddad Maia will get the defending champion in Round 2.
This is a great measuring stick event for Paolini, on paper she should reach the Round of 32 and even the Sweet 16 but will be facing opponents (Cristian, Mertens, etc…) that can discard her. We’ll see which Paolini shows up but it will be hard to back her as the Quarter 2 winner. Why? Because Mirra Andreeva is at the very bottom and has been dominant this clay court season. While it might be a bumpy road for them, Quarter 2 should only go through Coco and Mirra – no excuses. Coco becomes a sleeper based on odds.
Quarter 2 Pick: Mirra Andreeva +600
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Coco Gauff +1100
Women’s Quarter 3
Jessica Pegula is at the very top of Quarter 3 as the No. 5 seed, set up very nicely to make a deep run as Leylah Fernandez is the only name that threatens her from reaching the Sweet 16. While Zeynep Sonmez is making some noise this clay court season, it’s not enough to confidently name her a legit sleeper over Pegula. The name that should worry everyone lies under Pegula’s section – Karolina Muchova. Her path is quite simple with Liudmila Samsonova as the top name across from her, while Ann Li does provide some dark horse value to consider.
However, both Jess and Karo’s paths are simple enough to back in a potential Sweet 16 meeting which should see the winner take Quarter 3. Under the Pegula-Muchova section lies Iga Swiatek, who might be a great pick to rebound this tournament. Iga has been far from her dominant self, but has a nice draw set up where we see a returning Emma Navarro.
Above Iga lies Naomi Osaka, who looked very good on clay in Madrid, but is also in New York attending a gala event so distractions and fatigue might be enough to avoid her over Iga. Diana Shnaider also plays in this section and has had a decent clay court season so far, but unless Iga struggles early in her section of the draw it seems she should be the one to face-off against a potential Pegula-Muchova showdown.
Quarter 3 Pick: Iga Swiatek +450
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Karolina Muchova +1400
Women’s Quarter 4
The final quarter sees Elina Svitolina at the top of the bracket as the No. 9 seed. Unfortunately for her, she is lined up against Baptiste who is coming off a high after beating Sabalenka in Spain. How Baptiste responds is yet to be seen, but Svit needs to trend carefully should she face Baptiste. Under them lie a couple of players looking to get into some sort of form before Roland Garros – Madison Keys and Victoria Mboko. Both have been quiet this clay court season, so look for them to ramp up the intensity to try and find momentum.
The top half of Quarter 4 should see Svitolina advance, but the play of all other ladies mentioned could shake things up in this part of the section. Under them is the tournament’s No. 2 seed Elena Rybakina, paired in a tough section with Marta Kostyuk who is on a double-digit match winning streak. Kostyuk took both the Rouen and Madrid titles, catapulting her odds to win Roland Garros.
The potential Rybakina-Kostyuk meeting is far away, though, opposite sides of the half although Lena’s path is a bit easier than Marta’s. The name that could cause issues for Kostyuk is Karolina Pliskova, showing flashes of her old self lately and with success in Rome while Rybakina’s top threat is Maria Sakkari. If Kostyuk and Rybakina can get by their second round matches then they should meet in the Sweet 16.
Quarter 4 Pick: Elena Rybakina +550
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Elina Svitolina +2500
Men’s Tournament Pick: Jannik Sinner -230
Men’s Tournament Sleeper: Casper Ruud +4000
Women’s Tournament Pick: Mirra Andreeva +600
Women’s Tournament Sleeper: Karolina Muchova +1400
Last Week’s Tennis Tournament Picks
- Men’s Q1: Jannik Sinner -175 ✅
- Men’s Q2: Arthur Fils +3300 ✅
- Men’s Q3: Francisco Cerundolo +6600 ❌
- Men’s Q4: Alexander Zverev +850 ✅
- Women’s Q1: Aryna Sabalenka +225 ❌
- Women’s Q2: Mirra Andreeva +1200 ✅
- Women’s Q3: Victoria Mboko +1800 ❌
- Women’s Q4: Elena Rybakina +450 ❌
- Men’s Winner: Jannik Sinner -175 ✅
- Women’s Winner: Elena Rybakina +450 ❌
Photo Credit: AP/Manu Fernandez
