2026 Mutua Madrid Open Tennis Betting Preview, Odds, Picks & Analysis
The tennis season heads to Madrid, Spain for the first joint-1000 level clay court event of 2026 – the Mutua Madrid Open. The women are set to begin on Tuesday, April 21 while the men’s first matches are scheduled for Wednesday, April 22. Let’s go through the betting odds, draws, forecast and predictions for this two-week event.
2026 Mutua Madrid Open Information & Resources
- Start Date: Tue., Apr. 21
- Location: Madrid, Spain
- Surface: Clay (Red)
- Event Level: 1000
- Network: Tennis Channel
- Defending Champion, ATP: Casper Ruud
- Defending Champion, WTA: Aryna Sabalenka
- Daily Tennis Betting Trends
- 2026 French Open Betting Odds
2026 ATP Mutua Madrid Open Betting Odds
- Jannik Sinner -175
- Alexander Zverev +850
- Ben Shelton +2000
- Daniil Medvedev +2500
- Felix Auger Aliassime +3300
- Arthur Fils +3300
- Alexander Bublik +3300
- Joao Fonseca +4000
- Alex De Minaur +5000
- Casper Ruud +5000
- Flavio Cobolli +5000
- Jakub Mensik +5000
- Francisco Cerundolo +6600
- Rafael Jodar +6600
- Jiri Lehecka +6600
- Luciano Darderi +6600
- Karen Khachanov +6600
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +6600
- Valentin Vacerhot +8000
- Ugo Humbert +8000
- Sebastian Baez +10000
- Martin Landaluce +10000
- Andrey Rublev +10000
- Denis Shapovalov +10000
- Jaume Munar +10000
- Tommy Paul +10000
- Hubert Hurkacz +10000
- Pablo Carreno Busta +12500
- Alexandre Muller +12500
- Tomas Machac +12500
- Alexander Blockx +12500
- Corentin Moutet +12500
- Matteo Berrettini +12500
- Tallon Griekspoor +12500
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +12500
- Reilly Opelka +12500
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli +15000
- Cam Norrie +15000
- Alex Michelsen +15000
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo +15000
- Arthur Rinderknech +15000
- Alejandro Tabilo +15000
- Mariano Navone +15000
- Ignacio Buse +15000
- Fabian Marozsan +15000
- Brandon Nakashima +15000
- Grigor Dimitrov +15000
- Marton Fucsovics +20000
- Miomir Kecmanovic +20000
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry +20000
- Lorenzo Sonego +20000
- Mattia Bellucci +25000
- Gabriel Diallo +25000
- Thiago Agustin Tirante +25000
- Botic Van De Zandschulp +25000
- Marin Cilic +30000
- Raphael Collignon +30000
- Zizou Bergs +30000
- Yannick Hanfmann +35000
- Emilio Nava +35000
- Damir Dzumhur +40000
- Gael Monfils +50000
- Federico Cina +50000
- Roberto Bautista Agut +50000
- Ethan Quinn +50000
- Jan-Lennar Struff +50000
- Adam Walton +50000
- Francisco Comesana +50000
- Vit Kopriva +50000
- Zhizhen Zhang +50000
- Marcos Giron +50000
- Adrian Mannarino +50000
- Jesper De Jong +50000
- Sebastian Ofner +50000
- Daniel Altmaier +50000
- Nuno Borges +50000
- Valentin Royer +50000
- Alexander Shvechenko +50000
- Jenson Brooksby +50000
- Terence Atmane +50000
* ATP Odds Provided by bet365
2026 Mutua Madrid Open ATP Futures Markets
Unseeded Finalist?
Tournament Won Without Dropping a Set?
2026 WTA Mutua Madrid Open Betting Odds
- Aryna Sabalenka +225
- Elena Rybakina +450
- Iga Swiatek +600
- Coco Gauff +1200
- Mirra Andreeva +1200
- Jessica Pegula +1600
- Victoria Mboko +1800
- Amanda Anisimova +1800
- Elina Svitolina +2800
- Marta Kostyuk +5000
- Belinda Bencic +5000
- Madison Keys +5000
- Naomi Osaka +6500
- Iva Jovic +6500
- Qinwen Zheng +6500
- Linda Noskova +8000
- Jasmine Paolini +8000
- Alexandra Eala +10000
- Tereza Valentova +10000
- Diana Shnaider +10000
- Marie Bouzkova +10000
- Sorana Cirstea +10000
- Clara Tauson +10000
- Paula Badosa +10000
- Ekaterina Alexandrova +13000
- Leylah Fernandez +13000
- Jelena Ostapenko +13000
- Elise Mertens +15000
- Anna Kalinskaya +15000
- Maria Sakkari +15000
- Daria Kasatkina +15000
- Liudmila Samsonova +15000
- Katerina Siniakova +20000
- Karolina Pliskova +20000
- Katie Boulter +20000
- Antonia Ruzic +20000
- Xinyu Wang +20000
- Sofia Kenin +20000
- Peyton Stearns +20000
- Shuai Zhang +20000
- Laura Siegemund +20000
- Ashlyn Krueger +20000
- Beatriz Haddad Maia +25000
- Janice Tjen +30000
- Caty McNally +30000
- Magdalena Frech +30000
- Dayana Yastremska +30000
- Yulia Putintseva +30000
- Tatjana Maria +30000
- Magda Linette +30000
- Ann Li +30000
- Hailey Baptiste +30000
- Ajla Tomljanovic +30000
- Camila Osorio +30000
- Petra Marcinko +30000
- Lois Boisson +30000
- Solana Sierra +50000
- Eva Lys +50000
- Gabriela Ruse +50000
- Oksana Selekhmeteva +50000
- Cristina Bucsa +50000
- Elsa Jacquemot +50000
- Emiliana Arango +50000
- Talia Gibson +50000
- Taylor Townsend +50000
- Viktorija Golubic +50000
- Carlota Martinez Cirez +50000
- Oleksandra Oliynykova +50000
- Moyuka Uchijima +50000
- Kamilla Rakhimova +50000
- Elisabetta Cocciaretto +50000
- Anna Bondar +50000
- Zeynep Sonmez +50000
- Jaqueline Cristian +50000
- Julia Grabher +50000
- Venus Williams +50000
- Irina-Camelia Begu +50000
- Anastasia Zakharova +50000
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro +50000
- Laura Samson +50000
- Robin Montgomery +50000
- Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva +50000
- Kimberly Birrell +50000
- Kaitlin Quevedo +50000
* WTA Odds Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
2026 Mutua Madrid Open WTA Futures Markets
Any American Player to Win Tournament?
- Yes (+300)
Big Three vs. The Field?
Big Two vs. The Field?
First Time Winner?
2026 Mutua Madrid Open Forecast
A Look At The Draw
Men’s Quarter 1
Jannik Sinner is the No. 1 seed and the top name in Quarter 1, given -175 odds to win the event before it’s started. That’s insane, but justified. With Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic out, there is no excuse for Sinner not to win this event. His quarter is relatively simple until the Sweet 16 where he could face either Cam Norrie or Tommy Paul, both of which Sinner should be fine against regardless. The bottom section of Quarter 2 doesn’t pose too much of a threat either, where Alex De Minaur is the top name as the No. 5 seed.
Andrey Rublev is also nestled in nicely to make a run in this section of the bracket, but the dark horse name in this quarter is Joao Fonseca. Rublev, of the three names mentioned at the bottom of Quarter 1, has the most appeal to it with a finals appearance this past week while Fonseca and De Minaur would cross paths before Rublev would have to face either.
Quarter 1 Pick: Jannik Sinner -175
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Andrey Rublev +10000
Quarter 1 Wins Tournament: -225
Men’s Quarter 2
Now to less-chalk quarters, as Ben Shelton is the top name in Quarter 2 as Madrid’s No. 4 seed – fresh off a championship title in Munich. Despite the talent level, it was a surprise to see Shelton win a clay court tournament in Europe. This actually adds fuel to the thought he can go on a deep run in Roland Garros, but for Madrid he will have a tough test to go past quarters. The most difficult name for Shelton in his section is Tomas Martin Etcheverry, but the real challenges lie under his section.
Arthur Fils is without a doubt the biggest threat to Shelton making a deep run in Madrid, winning in Barcelona this past week and looking very impressive in tournaments leading into Spain. It seems inevitable that we will get a Shelton-Fils Sweet 16 encounter unless fatigue hits hard for either player. The names in Fils’ section are less threatening on clay than the names in Shelton’s section, so we’ll take Fils between the two.
Under them, lies Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti. Lehecka is not a bad look outside Shelton and Fils, but Musetti is far from his form a year ago when he was a legit betting favorite to win on clay with the likes of Carlitos and Sinner. Despite the high level of confidence we have in Shelton or Fils winning this quarter, only one can advance past the Sweet 16. So process of elimination, we’ll take Lehecka as our sleeper.
Quarter 2 Pick: Arthur Fils +3300
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Jiri Lehecka +6600
Quarter 2 Wins Tournament: +750
Men’s Quarter 3
Sitting on the top bracket of Quarter 3 is Alexander Bublik, who might see Stefanos Tsitsipas in a fun Round 2 encounter. Under Bublik, though, is the defending champion and clay court specialist Casper Ruud. Much like Musetti, however, Ruud has looked very far from his elite form on clay and would be wise avoiding until further notice. Ruud is also lumped in a section of the draw with clay court monsters such as Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Pablo Carreno Busta and Jaume Munar (ironically all Spaniards) – so the grind will begin immediately for him.
Outside Bublik, ADF actually becomes the most intriguing name in this part of the section to make an upset run. Under their section lies Felix Auger Aliassime as the top name in the basement of Quarter 3. You never know if FAA will reach the semifinals or be eliminated in Round 2, as he could also get a very good clay court player in Sebastian Baez Round 2. Francisco Cerundolo is another good choice on clay, and him being in a section with the struggling Luciano Darderi also helps give conviction in him possibly sneaking out of Quarter 3. This quarter is a toss up, so try a dark horse here.
Quarter 3 Pick: Francisco Cerundolo +6600
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +6600
Quarter 3 Wins Tournament: +800
Men’s Quarter 4
Daniil Medvedev is the name at the top of Quarter 4, this year’s No. 7 seed. While the names lined up across from Meddy aren’t enough to fade him as a pick, the clay court itself is. It’s hard to back Medvedev on clay, regardless who’s in his section. With that said, his path to go to the Sweet 16 is reachable with names like Fabian Marozsan, Denis Shapovalov and Ethan Quinn standing in his way. Getting past the Sweet 16 will be tough, as the names under Medvedev’s section are where you’ll find better value.
Learner Tien, Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Flavio Cobolli should all be considered top picks before any of the names mentioned above. Tien, however, is the first person to tell you he hates clay. Let’s also not forget Cobolli reached the finals in Munich last week, while also winning a tournament earlier this season. Fatigue aside, Cobolli warrants the most conviction here while CUC is the best sleeper pick in this section.
Looking at the bottom of the quarter, Alexander Zverev is the top name in this section. His disappointing loss at home might add fuel to his fire on winning in Madrid, but the loss is still something to monitor entering this week. None of the names mentioned, besides Cobolli, really worry us from backing Zverev in Quarter 4. However, Zverev does have immediate challenges with a meeting against the winner of Mariano Navone and Nuno Borges in Round 2. From there, Jakub Mensik and Karen Khachanov await – so it will be tough for Zverev.
Quarter 4 Pick: Alexander Zverev +850
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Flavio Cobolli +5000
Quarter 4 Wins Tournament: +400
Women’s Quarter 1
Aryna Sabalenka is the top name in Madrid, the No. 1 seed and atop the brackets in Quarter 1. She returns to the court for the first time since winning the Sunshine Double, so it’ll be interesting to see her defend her title for her first clay court event of the season. Not only that, but she now has pressure to defend her points with Elena Rybakina coming for the world No. 1 status.
Sabby will get a tough test to begin between the winner of Peyton Stearns and Lois Boisson, with the former bursting on the scene during last year’s clay court calendar. Naomi Osaka presents the biggest challenge prior to the quarterfinals, but Osaka on clay is not as worrisome for top seeds as she is on the hard surface. Jasmine Paolini is the top seed at the bottom of Quarter 1, also not a threat to Sabby at the moment. However, Belinda Bencic is the top name to watch in Quarter 1 not named Sabalenka. If Bencic can get past a potential meeting with Diana Shnaider, then she becomes the best value play in Quarter 1.
Quarter 1 Pick: Aryna Sabalenka +225
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Belinda Bencic +5000
Women’s Quarter 2
Iga Swiatek holds down the top spot in Quarter 2 as the… No. 4 seed? It’s not often we see Iga seeded at No. 4 on a clay court event, but the form of Iga might have the least conviction behind it of any top seed for the women. She has tough names in her section such as Daria Kasatkina, Ann Li and Elisabetta Cocciaretto – all of which Iga should handle, but also pose a serious level of upset alert. Iva Jovic and Leylah Fernandez can also knock off Iga if they meet her in the Sweet 16 – so just getting to the quarterfinals will be a large task for Swiatek.
Then potential quarterfinal opponents don’t get any easier with Elina Svitolina as the top name at the bottom of Quarter 2. Across from Svit is also Mirra Andreeva, so one might argue the winner of Quarter 2 is actually from the bottom of the section. Anna Kalinskaya is streaky, but has success in doubles here last year and if catches fire, can easily go on a run as well. Anna Bondar is a longshot to consider, but it almost seems as if Iga should be a sleeper pick in this quarter compared to the names on the bottom. Weird times indeed.
Quarter 2 Pick: Mirra Andreeva +1200
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Anna Kalinskaya +15000
Women’s Quarter 3
Jessica Pegula is at the top of Quarter 3, which on paper is a gauntlet with names such as Taylor Townsend, Marta Kostyuk, Tereza Valentova and Katie Boulter all lie. Pegula should be a favorite against all those names, but any of those names are more than capable of pulling off a run. We still side with Jess as no fatigue issues are on her side, while Kostyuk went deep a week ago. Boulter is beginning to fall back down to earth a bit despite one of the best ATS records no one is talking about on the WTA.
Pegula’s top threat lurks under her section in the No. 10 seed Victoria Mboko, who usually comes with a great price to back in any tournament she enters. Mboko’s path to the Sweet 16 is easier than Pegula’s, so of the two we actually lean with the Canadian despite Jess always being a consistently safe pick. Fellow American Coco Gauff is at the very bottom of Quarter 3, with interesting hurdles in her way of reaching the quarterfinals.
Sorana Cirstea is a looming threat to win the Quarter, but a withdrawal in Rouen makes us question her health status entering. Also, Linda Noskova has been on a tear lately and seems poised both in form and the draw to make a deep run and potentially face Gauff. This quarter is very difficult to decide on, but the safe bets side with the Americans Pegula and Gauff. The better bets lie with value elsewhere, though.
Quarter 3 Pick: Victoria Mboko +1800
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Linda Noskova +8000
Women’s Quarter 4
The final quarter sees Rybakina fresh off a Porsche as the top seed, nestled at the very bottom with the No. 2 status attached. The first thing that stands out is her potential Round 2 opponent, Antonia Ruzic, who already has a win over Rybakina this season. Gabriela Ruse, however, could end that potential meeting with a win and entering with lots of confidence. Regardless, Lena looks to be the best player on tour right now and should reach the quarterfinals pretty easily. Above her lurks a tough crop of players, though, specifically Jelena Ostapenko who can upset any player on tour. Also, Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng are there but miles from their top forms.
Above Rybakina’s section lies Amanda Anisimova, who is also dealing with nagging injuries that has sidelined her for a while now. Her path to the Sweet 16 isn’t overly difficult, although Dayana Yastremska or Zeynep Sonmez are capable of going on runs should the American’s injury impact her play. If Amanda is healthy enough to go on a run, the names under her section shouldn’t be too much a bother. Elise Mertens is always a threat, but the drop off against Karolina Muchova is hard to back in a big event. Also, Alexandra Eala struggles on the clay surface while Ekaterina Alexandrova is still trying to find traction this season. It’s hard to trust anyone in Quarter 4 not named Rybakina based on both Rybakina’s form along with the number of question marks that come with the other players in the quarter.
Quarter 4 Pick: Elena Rybakina +450
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Amanda Anisimova +1800
Men’s Tournament Pick: Jannik Sinner -175
Men’s Tournament Sleeper: Arthur Fils +3300
Women’s Tournament Pick: Elena Rybakina +450
Women’s Tournament Sleeper: Victoria Mboko +1800
Last Week’s Tennis Tournament Picks
- Munich: Alexander Zverev +200 ❌
- Barcelona: Carlos Alcaraz -275 ↔️
- Stuttgart: Elena Rybakina +200 ✅
- Rouen: Marta Kostyuk +330 ✅
Photo Credit: AP/Joan Monfort
