2026 Wimbledon Sleepers: Top Picks, Odds, Predictions & Best Bets

By Thom Cunningham | Jun 27, 2026, 10:05am

Both the men’s and women’s tours seem as open as ever for a sleeper to win the 2026 Wimbledon title, which begins on Monday, June 29. We already went through some of the top betting favorites to contend for the prestigious grass court trophy, as we will go through dark horse contenders and top sleeper picks to consider in this article.

Let’s go through both the ATP and WTA fields of Wimbledon sleepers and dark horse contenders with analysis and odds to consider.

2026 Wimbledon Men’s Sleepers

Jack Draper (+4000)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 7-5
ATS: 4-5-2
Total: 5-5-1

While Jack Draper, on paper, is a terrific sleeper to consider winning Wimbledon he has a very difficult draw that begins with Taylor Fritz in Round 1. While he is the underdog against Fritz, he has won his last nine first round matches on grass while winning three of four matches outright against Fritz head-to-head. It makes sense to wait on the Draper-Fritz result before wagering on either, but if you’re searching for value in your sleeper selections then there’s no harm in taking Draper and Fritz in the futures prior.

Tommy Paul (+5000)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 29-12
ATS: 21-18-1
Total: 20-19-1

Tommy Paul has great value to test for winning Wimbledon, given a solid draw to contend through before potentially reaching Jannik Sinner in what would be the quarterfinals. Sinner has shown he is beatable in five sets under the heat, so conditions will have to match for the hypothetical meeting and possible upset. Before the quarters, though, Paul will have to contend with names such as Hubert Hurkacz, Hamad Medjedovic, Brandon Nakashima and Daniil Medvedev. Meddy is going to be the favorite to advance, but those are all matches Paul should win while Meddy is actually 4-4 SU over his last eight matches. Paul is also 10-3 SU over his last 13 matches while winning four of five grass court matches this season in straight sets.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (+6500)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 26-13
ATS: 19-14-4
Total: 14-22-1

Felix Auger-Aliassime is another player on the men’s side with a great draw to possibly take advantage of. Much like Paul has Sinner to overcome, for FAA the big name in his path would be Novak Djokovic – that is if Joker even makes it to the quarterfinals with Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca in his section. FAA has no excuse to not reach the Round of 16 before seeing real threats such as Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Learner Tien. From there it will be difficult, as he is just 3-2 on grass courts this season while failing to cover the spread in six straight matches at Wimbledon.

Frances Tiafoe (+6000)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 29-12
ATS: 22-17-2
Total: 18-22-1

Frances Tiafoe is a solid sleeper to consider on the men’s side, but he is in a tough section with Fritz/Draper and Alexander Bublik in his way of the quarterfinals. However, Tiafoe just won the Halle title after defeating Fritz in straight sets while also taking care of FAA and Flavio Cobolli en route to a championship and entering Wimbledon with a 7-1 SU record in eight grass matches this season. Much like FAA, however, his history at the All England Club isn’t the best – never reaching the Round of 16.

2026 Wimbledon Women’s Sleepers

Jessica Pegula (+1200)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 31-8
ATS: 21-16-1
Total: 17-20-1

After a Roland Garros to forget, expect a much more determined and focused Jessica Pegula to arrive in Wimbledon this season. She has a very winnable draw and presents the most consistency out of any player in her section with names such as Anastasia Potapova, Iva Jovic, Jaqueline Cristian, Belinda Bencic and Coco Gauff. She looked good in Berlin despite losing the final to Linda Noskova, which saw her get good wins over world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and fellow American and eventual Eastbourne champion Madison Keys. She has reached the quarterfinals or further in eight of 10 tournaments this season.

Madison Keys (+1400)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 22-9
ATS: 17-13-0
Total: 14-16

Speaking of Keys, she has looked impressive on grass this season which is nothing new, she typically does. She has reached the second week of Wimbledon in four of her last five appearances there (didn’t play in 2022), and will look to bounce back after an early exit to Laura Siegemund in 2025. The big name in her path of the draw is Amanda Anisimova, but she is dealing with injuries this season while Keys is looking lethal on the grass surface. From there, Berlin winner Noskova or Sorana Cirstea stand in her way – so it’s easy to see the potential path Keys has to reaching the quarterfinals. She has six grass court wins in seven matches this season with her only loss to fellow American Pegula.

Linda Noskova (+2500)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 20-11
ATS: 20-11
Total: 13-18

Noskova has quietly won 20 matches this season, more impressively covering the spread in 20 matches as well. She is coming off a title in Berlin and despite a quick exit in Bad Homburg, that’s a very low concern given the high she experienced in winning the Berlin trophy paired with fatigue issues. She is now well rested entering Wimbledon with terrific odds but zero expectations which comes with zero pressure. In 2025 she lost to Anisimova in three sets and her name this year is in a winnable section of the draw (described above). She is a great sleeper to take now as her odds will shorten significantly should she reach a potential meeting with Keys in the Round of 16.

Karolina Muchova (+2500)

2026 Betting Stats

Outright: 29-8
ATS: 20-11-4
Total: 16-17-2

It’s getting tiresome to continue writing the name Karolina Muchova under the ‘sleepers’ section, with her 2026 she should be considered a favorite/contender at this point. Despite the retirement from Naomi Osaka, Karo won the Bad Homburg title which adds to her 2026 trophy collection. The section she is in will not be easy to win, however, having to go through names such as Mirra Andreeva, Barbora Krejcikova, Maja Chwalinska and Sabalenka. However, if Karo brings her Bad Homburg form into London she is more than capable of winning with talent that can beat anyone in the world. Her style meshes well with grass courts as well, slice and dice with solid power. Our only concern is the fact she won Bad Homburg, an event that ended on Saturday while the cruel Wimbledon schedule setters have her first match scheduled for… Monday, oye vey.

2026 Wimbledon Sleeper Best Bet: Tommy Paul (+5000)

Photo Credit: AP/Maja Smiejkowska

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.