The Dallas Cowboys’ current 2024 Super Bowl odds are . The Cowboys were the third-largest Super Bowl favorites in the NFC for most of the season, and they jumped up to 2nd after the Eagles lost to the Cardinals in week 17. That Eagles loss basically handed the Cowboys the NFC East title and the NFC’s No. 2 seed. The Cowboys are one of the only legitimate Super Bowl contenders in the NFL and they have a very good chance to at least return to the NFC Championship Game for the first time since 1996.
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds & Futures 2023-24
|Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds & Futures
|Odds (Updated February 2024)
|Super Bowl 58 Odds
|NFC Winner Odds
|NFC East Odds
|To Make Playoffs Odds
|Cowboys Win Total Odds
The Cowboys currently have the fourth-best odds to win Super Bowl 58 behind the 49ers, Ravens, and Bills. They jumped ahead of the Dolphins, Eagles, and Chiefs after week 17 when they became the odds-on favorite to win the NFC East and earn the NFC’s No. 2 seed, but the Bills jumped them after winning the AFC East and earning the other two seed. The Cowboys’ odds to win the NFC improved from +600 to +350 over the last two weeks of the regular season as they secured their division title and the two seed.
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds Analysis
The Cowboys got the ultimate belated Christmas gift from the Arizona Cardinals. (They also may have gotten a gift from the referees at the end of their week 17 win over the Lions, but that’s a separate topic).
Dallas entered week 17 with slim hopes of winning the NFC East and earning the conference’s No. 2 seed. They not only needed to win their last two games against the Lions and Commanders, but they also needed the Eagles to lose one more game against two opponents against whom they would be heavily favored. The Cardinals were 11-point underdogs but they managed to come back from a 15-point halftime deficit to defeat the Eagles on New Year’s Eve.
Any bettors holding a Cowboys Super Bowl futures ticket rejoiced at that outcome, as it dramatically improved the Cowboys’ chances of reaching the big game. Dallas cemented its status as one of the top Super Bowl favorites entering the playoffs by defeating the Commanders in week 18 to secure the NFC’s No. 2 seed.
As the two seed, the Cowboys will have a favorable path to at least the NFC Championship Game. Most importantly, they will be guaranteed two home games, and they are a dramatically better team at home. They have not lost at home since week 1 of last season (16 wins in a row) and they are averaging a league-high 37.4 points per game at home this season.
Barring any upsets in the Wild Card round, Dallas will be slated for a rematch with the Detroit Lions in the Divisional Round. That game certainly will not be guaranteed, as the Lions were one questionable penalty call away from beating them in Dallas in week 17. However, before they jumped up to the No. 2 seed, the Cowboys likely would have faced the 49ers on the road in the Divisional Round instead, so playing the Lions again at home is a much more favorable matchup.
With their dominating week 14 win over the Eagles and their narrow week 17 win over Detroit, the Cowboys have dispelled the notion that they just beat up on bad teams and can’t beat playoff-caliber teams. However, Dallas has also suffered a few lopsided losses against playoff-caliber teams like the 49ers and Bills, so they still need to prove that they can compete with good teams on the road. They squandered their last opportunity for an impressive road victory when they lost to the Dolphins in week 16.
The Cowboys’ struggles on the road could prove fatal if they end up playing the 49ers again in the NFC Championship Game. It would be a good outcome for them just to make it that far, something they have not done since 1996. While it would be difficult to have much confidence in them beating the 49ers on the road to reach the Super Bowl, it’s certainly not out of the realm of possibility.
Any bettors who already have a Cowboys Super Bowl futures ticket should be feeling pretty good about it right now, and there is still some value in betting on the Cowboys even as the fourth-biggest favorite in the NFL at +900. Their struggles on the road are concerning, as is their recent track record in the playoffs, but they have all the pieces to make their longest playoff run in nearly three decades.
Reasons Why the Dallas Cowboys Can Win The Super Bowl
- Dak Prescott is playing the best football of his career and has been an MVP-caliber player this season
- Excellent skill position players on offense led by wide receiver CeeDee Lamb and emerging tight end Jake Ferguson
- Elite pass rush led by Micah Parsons coming off the edge
Reasons Why the Dallas Cowboys Can’t Win The Super Bowl
- They are a completely different team on the road compared to at home, and they likely will need to win at least one playoff game on the road
- Tony Pollard has struggled to make plays efficiently and consistently, and his backups have provided very little production
- The defense has declined over the second half of the season and is not as dominant as it was last year
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