Ravens-Dolphins TNF Parlay Pick & Predictions: NFL Week 9 SGP Best Bet (Thursday, Oct. 30)
The Baltimore Ravens will look to turn their season around this week with the return of Lamar Jackson, and their first task will be firmly dominating a weak Miami Dolphins defense which may grow weaker due to injury.
In our Ravens vs Dolphins same-game parlay predictions for Thursday Night Football, we’ll explain the best way to bet on both quarterbacks and lay out one man who should be in a delectable matchup for the road team.
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Ravens-Dolphins Odds: NFL Week 9 Spread, Moneyline, Total
Ravens-Dolphins: TNF Same-Game Parlay (+575, DraftKings)
Lamar Jackson 260+ Passing Yards (+170)
This has all the makings of a magical performance for Jackson in his return. Not only do the Dolphins struggle in getting to the quarterback, ranking just 21st in pressures, they’ve also allowed the sixth-highest completion percentage on deep balls — classified as any target 20 or more yards downfield.
That’s music to our ears here, as Jackson was throwing up plenty of deep passes prior to his injury. He ranks eighth among all quarterbacks in deep passing rate and has completed a handsome seven of these 14 attempts.
With both strong safeties looking unlikely to play on Thursday night for Miami and edge rusher Bradley Chubb questionable as well, Jackson should have a field day here and I’ll gladly take an alt line with him.
Tua Tagovailoa 1+ Interceptions Thrown (-144)
It’s really a marvel that Tua Tagovailoa has developed so many issues in taking care of the football. The Dolphins have protected him well, giving him one of the 10 best clean-pocket rates in football, but he now leads the league with 10 interceptions after throwing three apiece in Week 6 and Week 7.
Baltimore has been one of the worst in the league at takeaways, but it’s now recorded one in back-to-back weeks after picking off Caleb Williams last week. Now that this Ravens defense is much more healthy and inspired by the return of Jackson, I certainly wouldn’t rule out this secondary coming up with another takeaway. It’s not like the Browns had picked off that many passes prior to doing so three times against the veteran.
Isaiah Likely Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Let’s finally take a look at a player who won’t be throwing the ball here to have a noteworthy performance, and let’s focus in on the Ravens’ offense given there’s not much to like on the other side.
Miami has allowed ninth-most targets per game to the tight end position and the 12th-most yards, ranking 20th in overall DVOA.
While we could go with Mark Andrews here, I’d rather take the discount on Isaiah Likely. He’s been sharing the field with Andrews, playing 58% of the snaps last week to Andrews’ 60%, and he actually out-snapped Andrews in Week 6 prior to the bye.
Likely has caught two passes in each of his last two games, and while I do think his volume will increase here I also think he could easily get home on this number with two grabs given how generous Miami’s been to tight ends.
Final Ravens-Dolphins TNF Same-Game Parlay (SGP) Prediction
As of this publication, these picks combine for (+575) SGP odds. Given the potential volatility with same-game parlays, I recommend only betting with pizza money if you choose to do so. Remember to always wager responsibly.
Whether you tail or fade my picks, best of luck building your same-game parlay for Vikings vs. Chargers!
