The Giants continued to roll in Week 6, scoring two late touchdowns to take down the Ravens and improve to 5-1l. New York has won three straight and will face the Jaguars, who have lost three in a row. After Jacksonville’s defense imploded in a narrow loss to the Colts, can Trevor Lawrence and co. right the ship at home?
Let’s make predictions, dive into the depth charts, and take a look at the odds ahead of Sunday’s matchup in Jacksonville.
New York Giants vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Odds
Despite their struggles, the Jaguars enter as 3-point home favorites. Jacksonville sits -165 on the moneyline, and the over/under is set at 42 points.
Oddsmakers still aren’t totally buying into the Giants despite their 5-1 record. New York was a significant underdog against both the Packers and Ravens but pulled out a win anyway.
Any bettor who has consistently sided with the Giants has already won big this season. Is this a chance to get some more value out of Brian Daboll’s team again?
New York Giants vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
The Giants didn’t beat the Ravens because they had the more talented team. Instead, New York looked soundly coached and came up with a combination of huge defensive plays and crucial offensive breakthroughs in the 4th quarter. In this game, the Giants just might be the better team. Don Martindale has done an outstanding job drawing up defensive schemes against Aaron Rodgers and Lamar Jackson – he can do some damage against an inexperienced Lawrence.
Last week, a strong performance by the Jaguars’ offense was wasted by an ugly defensive effort. It’s impossible to tell week-to-week what kind of effort we’re going to get out of this Jacksonville defense. If the Giants’ defense shows up, the Jaguars’ defense will have even less margin for error this week.
The positive for the Jaguars: They’re not facing a dangerous quarterback this week. Daniel Jones is still Daniel Jones, though he’s taking better care of the ball and (mostly) not handing opponents any extra opportunities. However, a run defense that has slipped lately could struggle against Saquon Barkley.
This is setting up to be a typical Giants win. Jones should be able to do enough to keep the offense moving, Barkley can take care of the rest offensively, and the defense has a good chance to take advantage of a young quarterback. I’m not convinced the Jaguars have any real home-field advantage.
- The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, mirroring their overall record
- The Jaguars are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games
- The under is 7-1 in the Jaguars’ last 8 home games. Between that and their recent ATS record at home, it’s clear Jacksonville hasn’t had much of an advantage in front of their own fans
New York Giants Injuries: WR Kadarius Toney is highly questionable with a hamstring injury (and trade rumors). WR Kenny Golladay is also questionable with a knee injury. Edge rusher Azeez Ojulari is questionable after missing the last two games with a calf injury. RB Saquon Barkley is expected to play after battling a shoulder injury in Week 6.
Jacksonville Jaguars Injuries: WR Marvin Jones is questionable with a hamstring injury after missing Week 6. Special teams ace Jamal Agnew (knee) and CB Shaquill Griffin (CB) are questionable after missing Wednesday’s practice.
Giants vs Jaguars Key Matchups
Check out the key matchups and mismatches for Giants vs. Jaguars below.
Saquon Barkley vs. Jaguars Run Defense
The Jaguars’ run defense ranks among the best in the league in yards allowed, but it’s still riding the high of shutting down Jonathan Taylor and Austin Ekeler in September. Miles Sanders and Dameon Pierce have put together strong weeks against this defense, and Deon Jackson made a nice impact for the Colts with Jonathan Taylor out this past weekend.
Will Saquon Barkley deliver like Sanders did, or will he struggle like Ekeler did? If the last three games are any indication, Barkley should be able to carry the load for the Giants’ offense on Sunday.
Jaguars Receivers vs. Giants Secondary
A Giants secondary that wasn’t exactly feared coming into the season has shut down receivers in recent weeks. No Ravens wide receiver had more than 27 yards against this defense last weekend (TE Mark Andrews had 106), while only Randall Cobb had more than 35 yards against this defense a week earlier. Trevor Lawrence likes to get several weapons involved, but it’ll be worth watching whether the Giants are able to take some of them out of the equation.