UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Betting Trends, Odds & Data for Saturday, July 11, 2026
The UFC returns to the octagon on Saturday, July 11 with an enormous event in UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, taking place from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s go through the entire card with odds, betting data and trends for every fight below!
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Betting Trends
Alessandro Costa vs. Cody Durden Fight Trends
- Cody Durden has lost 5 straight UFC flyweight fights and is the underdog against Alessandro Costa, given a 34.5% chance to win.
- Alessandro Costa has seen a finished result in 5 straight UFC fights when the favorite. Costa faces Cody Durden as the favorite given a 62.3% chance to see a finished result.
- Cody Durden has entered Round 2 in 11 straight fights and faces Alessandro Costa, given a 66.1% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.
Ryan Gandra vs. Zach Reese Fight Trends
- Ryan Gandra has won 9 of 10 fights and is the favorite, given a 57.4% chance to beat Zach Reese.
- Ryan Gandra has seen a finished result in 5 straight fights and faces Zach Reese, given an 88.9% chance to see a finished result.
- Ryan Gandra has seen 7 of 9 fights end in Round 1 and faces Zach Reese, given a 66.7% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.
Farid Basharat vs. John Garza Fight Trends
- Farid Basharat has won 15 straight fights and is the favorite against John Garza, given an 85.7% chance to win.
- Farid Basharat has seen 4 straight UFC fights go the distance but faces John Garza, given a 47.6% chance to go the distance despite this.
- John Garza has failed to enter Round 3 in 3 of 4 fights and faces Farid Basharat, given a 52.4% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds.
Damian Pinas vs. Cesar Almeida Fight Trends
- Damian Pinas has won 9 of 10 fights and is the favorite against Cesar Almeida, given a 72.1% chance to win.
- Damian Pinas has seen a finished result in 10 straight fights and faces Cesar Almeida, given a 77.3% chance to see a finished result.
- Damian Pinas has seen 8 of 9 fights end in Round 1 and faces Cesar Almeida, given a 52.4% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.
Tracy Cortez vs. Cong Wang Fight Trends
- Cong Wang has won 9 of 10 fights and is the favorite, given a 53.5% chance to beat Tracy Cortez.
- Tracy Cortez has seen 6 straight UFC fights go the distance when facing an older opponent. She faces Cong Wang given a 71% chance to go the distance.
- Cong Wang has entered Round 3 in 9 of 10 fights and faces Cong Wang, given a 73.7% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.
Luke Riley vs. Kai Kamaka III Fight Trends
- Luke Riley is on a 13-fight winning streak and the favorite against Kai Kamaka III, given a 72.6% chance to win.
- Kai Kamaka has seen the 3 straight UFC fights go the distance and faces Luke Riley, given a 63.6% chance to go the distance.
- Luke Riley has failed to enter Round 3 in 3 of 4 fights but faces Kai Kamaka III, given a 38.5% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds despite this.
Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez Fight Trends
- Cody Garbrandt has won 6 straight UFC prelim card fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 23.3% chance to beat Adrian Yanez.
- Adrian Yanez has seen a finished result in 5 straight UFC fights when facing an American opponent as the favorite. He faces Cody Garbrandt as the favorite with a 62.3% chance to see a finished result.
- Adrian Yanez has entered Round 2 in 3 of 4 fights and faces Cody Garbrandt, given a 66.7% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.
Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison Fight Trends
- Gable Steveson has won 3 straight fights and is the favorite, given a 94.7% chance to beat Elisha Ellison.
- Elisha Ellison has seen a finished result in 7 straight fights and faces Gable Steveson, given a 98% chance to see a finished result.
- Elishe Ellison has seen 7 straight fights end in Round 1 and faces Elisha Ellison, given an 85.3% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.
Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov Fight Trends
- Robert Whittaker has won 7 straight 3-round UFC fights when facing an orthodox opponent and is the favorite, given a 55.6% chance to beat Nikita Krylov.
- Nikita Krylov has seen a finished result in 4 straight fights and faces Robert Whittaker, given a 61.5% chance to see a finished result.
- Nikita Krylov has seen 5 of 7 fights end in Round 1 but faces Robert Whittaker, given a 38.5% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds despite this.
King Green vs. Terrance McKinney Fight Trends
- Terrance McKinney has seen the favorite win 11 straight UFC fights He is the favorite with a 56.5% chance to beat King Green.
- Terrance McKinney has seen a finished result in 26 straight fights and faces King Green, given a 96.8% chance to see a finished result.
- Terrance McKinney has seen 7 straight fights end in Round 1 and faces King Green, given an 81% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.
Brandon Royval vs. Lone’er Kavanagh Fight Trends
- Lone’er Kavanagh has won 10 of 11 fights and is the favorite, given a 67.2% chance to beat Brandon Royval.
- Brandon Royval has seen 5 straight UFC main card fights go the distance when facing an orthodox opponent. He faces Lone’er Kavanagh given a 60% chance to go the distance.
- Brandon Royval has entered Round 3 in 4 of 5 fights and faces Lone’er Kavanagh, given a 65.5% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.
Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista Fight Trends
- Mario Bautista has won 9 straight UFC fights when fighting in the United States but is the underdog despite this, given a 47.6% chance to beat Cory Sandhagen.
- Mario Bautista has seen 5 straight 3-round UFC fights go the distance and faces Cory Sandhagen, given a 69.2% chance to go the distance.
- Mario Bautista has entered Round 3 in 5 of 6 fights and faces Cory Sandhagen, given a 72.2% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.
Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett Fight Trends
- Benoit Saint-Denis has won 9 straight 3-round UFC fights and is the favorite, given a 59.7% chance to beat Paddy Pimblett.
- Benoit Saint-Denis has seen a finished result in 11 straight UFC fights and faces Paddy Pimblett, given a 68.8% chance to see a finished result.
- Paddy Pimblett has entered Round 3 in 4 of 5 fights but faces Benoit Saint-Denis, given a 44.4% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds despite this.
Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway Fight Trends
- Conor McGregor has won 7 of 8 UFC fights when facing an orthodox opponent but is the underdog despite this, given a 35.1% chance to beat Max Holloway.
- Conor McGregor has seen a finished result in 7 straight UFC fights when facing an orthodox opponent and faces Max Holloway, given an 84.6% chance to see a finished result.
- Max Holloway has entered Round 3 in 19 straight UFC fights and faces Conor McGregor, given a 51.5% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
