UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Top Prop Market Predictions for Saturday, July 11, 2026
UFC 329 is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated MMA events of the year, with Conor McGregor making his long-awaited return to the octagon. He and Max Holloway headline a stacked 14-fight card featuring several hungry young contenders eager to make their mark on one of the sport’s biggest stages.
The card includes multiple fighters looking to extend their undefeated records, headlined by newly signed heavyweight Gable Stevenson, who makes his highly anticipated UFC debut during the prelims. Featherweight Luke Riley and bantamweight Farid Basharat will also look to stay perfect heading into Saturday.
Despite the absence of a title bout, UFC 329 delivers the ideal blend of seasoned veterans and rising contenders, capped off by the return of a UFC legend facing a man he defeated nearly 13 years ago.
Here are the best props to target at UFC 329 on Saturday night.
Brandon Royval vs. Lone’er Kavanagh – Lone’er Kavanagh 70+ Significant Strikes (+100)
Kavanagh will look to pick up his fifth UFC victory against veteran flyweight Brandon Royval in one of the more anticipated main-card bouts. Having earned his UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series as recently as August 2024, Kavanagh has quickly established himself as a divisional contender.
The 27-year-old averages 4.13 significant strikes landed per minute across his 11 professional fights. The Englishman has gone the distance in three of his four UFC wins, steadily increasing his significant strike output with each performance. His most recent victory in February saw him land 97 significant strikes over five rounds. He now faces Royval, who absorbs 4.25 significant strikes per minute and has a significant strike defense of just 43%. Kavanagh will look to exploit those numbers against a veteran who has lost back-to-back fights against strikers.
Luke Riley vs. Kai Kamaka III – Luke Riley To Win KO/TKO/DQ (+215)
Riley is the second English flyweight on our list, with the knockout artist looking to remain unbeaten in his professional career. Now 13-0 after two UFC victories, one of which came by KO, the 27-year-old has stopped nine of his 13 opponents and will look to add another finish to his record during Saturday’s prelims.
He faces Kai Kamaka III, who returned to the UFC after a departure in 2021 and picked up a win in April of this year. Kamaka will look to extend his two-fight winning streak on Saturday, but he has been knocked out twice in his 26 professional bouts and now faces one of the division’s most powerful young prospects.
Farid Basharat vs. John Garza – Under 2.5 Total Rounds (-110)
Basharat looks to extend his winning run to eight consecutive UFC victories when he takes on debutant John Garza in a bantamweight prelim bout. Garza has impressed since turning professional in 2024, finishing four of his six wins inside the first two rounds, and figures to push Basharat, who has won his last four fights by decision.
Before joining the UFC, Basharat finished six of his first eight professional bouts by submission or knockout. Since debuting in the promotion in 2022, however, he has recorded just one submission, taking the rest of his victories via decision. Facing a dangerous newcomer looking to make a statement, I expect Basharat to look for the finish rather than settle into his usual rhythm.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
